St. George Illawarra Dragons vs North Queensland Cowboys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:32
04/04/2026 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 5
  • Referee: Raymond W. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ

Match Stats

Tries
06
Conversion goals
04
Conversion goal attempts
06
Penalty goals
00
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
067
Dropped goals
00
Dropped goal attempts
00
Total runs
166205
Metres run with ball
16062097

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 16)
  • 12', Drinkwater S. (Try),
  • 14', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 22', Lawrie B. , Couchman T. ,
  • 23', Hess C. , Mikaele T. ,
  • 23', Taumalolo J. , Neame G. ,
  • 24', McIntyre S. , O'Donnell K. ,
  • 29', Purdue J. (Try),
  • 30', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 31', Guler E. , Sele H. ,
  • 38', Purdue J. (Try),
  • 39', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 16)
  • 47', Cook D. , Liddle J. ,
  • 51', Burns B. (Try),
  • 53', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 53', Stewart H. , Guler E. ,
  • 55', Neame G. , Hess C. ,
  • 56', Burns B. , Laybutt Z. ,
  • 58', Sele H. , Halangahu J. ,
  • 59', Mikaele T. , Taumalolo J. ,
  • 61', Taulagi M. (Try),
  • 63', Clifford J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 66', Su'A J. , Stewart H. ,
  • 69', Liddle J. , Cook D. ,
  • 73', Hess C. , Mikaele T. ,
  • 79', Clifford J. (Try),
  • 79', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


St. George Illawarra Dragons
43.9%
Draw
4.4%
North Queensland Cowboys
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 4.6% 50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 5.2% 44.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • North Queensland Cowboys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. George Illawarra Dragons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Queensland Cowboys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • St. George Illawarra Dragons - North Queensland Cowboys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.06)
    20.78
    (20.13)
    1.8
    (1.85)
    8%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 0.
    • St. George Illawarra is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • North Queensland's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. George Illawarra won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 368:535. (average 18.4:26.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. George Illawarra won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 213:283. (average 19.4:25.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. George Illawarra Dragons - North Queensland Cowboys were as follows:
    25.07.2025 North Queensland Cowboys - St. George Illawarra Dragons 38:32
    23.03.2024 St. George Illawarra Dragons - North Queensland Cowboys 24:46
    13.05.2023 North Queensland Cowboys - St. George Illawarra Dragons 42:22
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penrith Panthers651206:7210
    2Wests Tigers541156:9210
    3New Zealand Warriors642194:1188
    4Manly Sea Eagles633178:1408
    5Newcastle Knights642154:1428
    6South Sydney Rabbitohs532144:1328
    7Canterbury Bulldogs532101:968
    8NQ Cowboys743165:1818
    9Sydney Roosters532115:1388
    10Cronulla Sharks633158:1526
    11Brisbane Broncos633133:1396
    12Dolphins523116:1426
    13Melbourne Storm624160:1584
    14Gold Coast Titans624126:1484
    15Canberra Raiders624115:1824
    16Parramatta Eels624124:2264
    17St. George Illawarra Dragons60686:1730

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