South Sydney Rabbitohs vs St. George Illawarra Dragons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL South Sydney Rabbitohs - St. George Illawarra Dragons
Result
40:0
21/08/2025 at 05:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Sports 1
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2

Match Stats

Tries
70
Conversion Goals
60
Conversion Goal Attempts
70
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
860
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
210163
Metres Run With Ball
22001578

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (16 - 0)
  • 17', Host J. (Try),
  • 19', Ward A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 27', Gray J. (Try),
  • 29', Ward A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 38', Johnston A. (Try),
  • 40', Ward A. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (24 - 0)
  • 47', Duncan T. (Try),
  • 48', Ward A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 65', Mamouzelos P. (Try),
  • 67', Ward A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 72', Fletcher T. (Try),
  • 73', Ward A. (Conversion Goal),
  • 76', Munro T. (Try),
  • 77', Ward A. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


South Sydney Rabbitohs
50.1%
Draw
4.9%
St. George Illawarra Dragons
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 4.1% 57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 4.2% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Sydney Rabbitohs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Sydney Rabbitohs's performance.
  • St. George Illawarra Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. George Illawarra Dragons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Sydney Rabbitohs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George Illawarra Dragons than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. George Illawarra Dragons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs - St. George Illawarra Dragons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.45)
    18.84
    (22.5)
    2.11
    (1.61)
    5.8%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 39.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
  • What is the prediction for South Sydney Rabbitohs - St. George Illawarra Dragons?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. St. George Illawarra (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: St. George Illawarra Dragons will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 18:23.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 516:390. (average 25.8:19.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, South Sydney won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 239:128. (average 23.9:12.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Sydney Rabbitohs - St. George Illawarra Dragons were as follows:
    15.03.2025 St. George Illawarra Dragons - South Sydney Rabbitohs 24:25
    21.02.2025 St. George Illawarra Dragons - South Sydney Rabbitohs 46:26
    11.05.2024 St. George Illawarra Dragons - South Sydney Rabbitohs 28:14
    17.02.2024 South Sydney Rabbitohs - St. George Illawarra Dragons 28:6
    12.08.2023 South Sydney Rabbitohs - St. George Illawarra Dragons 26:14
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2