Result
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Ayr United Media, BBC Alba, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport, Saints TV |
Chances of winning
St. Johnstone
58.8% | Draw
23.6% | Ayr United
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
St. Johnstone - Ayr United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.66) |
3.84 ↑
(3.8) |
5.22 ↑
(4.29) |
9.9%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St. Johnstone - Ayr United?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. St. Johnstone will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - St. Johnstone (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Johnstone will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. St. Johnstone (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- St. Johnstone is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ayr has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ayr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, St. Johnstone has had a series of home games.
- In this match, St. Johnstone is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Johnstone won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Johnstone won against Ayr United?
St. Johnstone has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against St. Johnstone?
Ayr United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Johnstone - Ayr United were as follows:
12.12.2025
Ayr United
-
St. Johnstone
2:4
04.10.2025
St. Johnstone
-
Ayr United
0:0
25.07.2023
St. Johnstone
-
Ayr United
1:2
Latest results of St. Johnstone
Latest results of Ayr United
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Arbroath | Kelty Hearts | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Elgin City | East Fife | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Alloa | Airdrieonians | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Montrose | Spartans | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Queen's Park | Clyde | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Forfar Athletic | Edinburgh City | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Raith | Hamilton | 5 : 2 |
| 8 | Queen of South | Dunfermline | 4 : 3 |
| 9 | Hearts B | St Johnstone | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Ross County | Celtic B | 4 : 0 |
| 11 | Ayr | Peterhead | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | East Kilbride | Stranraer | 1 : 4 |
| 13 | Cove Rangers | Partick Thistle | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Dumbarton | Inverness | 0 : 9 |
| 15 | Stirling | Morton | 3 : 2 |
| 16 | Stenhousemuir | Annan | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Arbroath | East Fife | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Airdrieonians | Montrose | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Queen's Park | Forfar Athletic | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Raith | Queen of South | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | St Johnstone | Ross County | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ayr | Stranraer | 4 : 1 |
| 7 | Partick Thistle | Inverness | 3 : 4 |
| 8 | Stirling | Stenhousemuir | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Arbroath | Airdrieonians | 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Queen's Park | Raith | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | St Johnstone | Ayr | |
| 4 | Inverness | Stenhousemuir | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Airdrieonians | Raith | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | Inverness | |
Final
