Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 27
- Referee: McFarlane D. (Sco)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, McAlear R. ⚽,
- 18', 1 - 1, Dick L. ⚽, Dempsey B. (A),
- 31', Dempsey B. 🟨,
- 33', Summers B. 🟨,
- 37', Stanton S. 🟨,
- 38', McPake J. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 1, Diabate C. ⚽, Gullan J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Gullan J. ↓, Steven T. ↑,
- 54', McAllister N. 🟨,
- 59', McAllister N. ↓, Finney G. ↑,
- 64', Smith L. ↓, Forrester A. ↑,
- 71', Fowler J. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
- 75', Bonnar J. ↓, Hislop J. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 1, Paton R. ⚽,
- 88', McKenzie M. ↓, McRoberts L. ↑,
- 88', Summers B. ↓, Turley F. ↑,
Chances of winning
St. Johnstone
60.2% | Draw
23.5% | Ayr United
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Johnstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
St. Johnstone - Ayr United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.51) |
3.98 ↑
(3.87) |
5.72 ↓
(5.89) |
7.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Ayr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, St. Johnstone is a strong favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Johnstone won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Johnstone won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Johnstone won against Ayr United?
St. Johnstone has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against St. Johnstone?
Ayr United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Johnstone - Ayr United were as follows:
17.02.2026
St. Johnstone
-
Ayr United
3:4
12.12.2025
Ayr United
-
St. Johnstone
2:4
04.10.2025
St. Johnstone
-
Ayr United
0:0
25.07.2023
St. Johnstone
-
Ayr United
1:2
Latest results of St. Johnstone
Latest results of Ayr United
Scottish Football Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St Johnstone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:22 | 28 | 54 |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40:30 | 10 | 49 |
| 3 | Arbroath | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 4 | Dunfermline | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 5 | Ayr | 26 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 32:31 | 1 | 34 |
| 6 | Raith | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:28 | 0 | 30 |
| 7 | Morton | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 |
| 8 | Queen's Park | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 28:39 | -11 | 28 |
| 9 | Airdrieonians | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 23:35 | -12 | 26 |
| 10 | Ross County | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Premiership
Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
Championship (Relegation)
Relegation ~ League One
