St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
87:92
13/07/2025 at 01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Sports 503
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 4

Match Stats

Goals
1314
Behinds
98
Kicks
212191
Handballs
139123
Disposals
351314
Frees For
2730
Frees Against
3027
Clearances Completed
3435
Marks
8778
Tackles
7367
Hitouts
2352

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (24 - 33)
  • 02:26, Owens M. (G),
  • 05:49, McLean H. (G),
  • 08:53, Sinclair J. (G),
  • 10:54, Heeney I. (G),
  • 12:39, Buller J. (G),
  • 14:07, Lloyd J. (G),
  • 15:56, McInerney J. (Behind),
  • 21:38, Lloyd J. (G),
  • 23:21, Heeney I. (Behind),
  • 25:54, Francis A. (Behind),
  • 28:46, Steele J. (G),
  • 30:38, Boxshall H. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (22 - 3)
  • 00:34, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
  • 01:16, Higgins J. (Behind),
  • 07:38, Sinclair J. (Behind),
  • 11:26, (Behind Rushed),
  • 14:25, Sharman C. (G),
  • 22:30, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:10, McLean H. (Behind),
  • 26:18, Hall M. (G),
  • 28:58, Hall M. (G),
  • 30:28, (Behind Rushed),
  • 3rd Quarter (28 - 25)
  • 02:58, Heath M. (G),
  • 06:27, Lloyd J. (G),
  • 08:27, Hayward W. (G),
  • 09:32, Garcia H. (G),
  • 13:01, Steele J. (Behind),
  • 14:40, Hastie A. (Behind),
  • 17:16, Sharman C. (G),
  • 18:32, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:32, Sheldrick A. (G),
  • 22:36, Buller J. (G),
  • 26:20, Jordon J. (Behind),
  • 27:43, Owens M. (G),
  • 31:38, Marshall R. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (13 - 31)
  • 02:29, Rowbottom J. (G),
  • 04:15, Hall M. (G),
  • 06:09, Jordon J. (G),
  • 09:51, Hayward W. (G),
  • 14:34, Hayward W. (G),
  • 16:28, Wicks S. (Behind),
  • 21:39, Marshall R. (G),
  • 24:13, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:53, Gulden E. (G),

Chances of winning


St Kilda Saints
41%
Sydney Swans
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 54.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Sydney Swans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.24)

    1.59
    (1.65)
    6.6%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 167.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
    What is the prediction for St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans?
  • Users Predictions: St Kilda Saints will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St Kilda Saints will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:89.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 3.
    • St Kilda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sydney's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • St Kilda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sydney might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Sydney will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1159:1659. (average 58:83).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 726:963. (average 60.5:80.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans were as follows:
    07.07.2024 St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans 84:82
    08.06.2023 Sydney Swans - St Kilda Saints 66:80
    Latest results of St Kilda Saints
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Gold Coast Suns3300384:201191.0412
    2Western Bulldogs3300339:247137.2512
    3Sydney Swans3201318:228139.478
    4Hawthorn Hawks3201339:287118.128
    5Fremantle Dockers2101218:180121.114
    6North Melbourne2101207:178116.294
    7Port Adelaide Power2101200:183109.294
    8Adelaide Crows2101181:173104.624
    9Collingwood Magpies2101157:15998.744
    10St Kilda Saints3102251:27292.284
    11Melbourne Demons2101190:22584.444
    12West Coast Eagles2101183:22581.334
    13GWS Giants3102249:30781.114
    14Geelong Cats2101179:22579.564
    15Carlton Blues2101144:20370.944
    16Brisbane Lions2002166:21577.210
    17Richmond Tigers2002131:20364.530
    18Essendon Bombers2002153:27855.040

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )