St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
87:92
13/07/2025 at 01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Sports 503
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 4

Match Stats

Goals
1314
Behinds
98
Kicks
212191
Handballs
139123
Disposals
351314
Frees For
2730
Frees Against
3027
Clearances Completed
3435
Marks
8778
Tackles
7367
Hitouts
2352

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (24 - 33)
  • 02:26, Owens M. (G),
  • 05:49, McLean H. (G),
  • 08:53, Sinclair J. (G),
  • 10:54, Heeney I. (G),
  • 12:39, Buller J. (G),
  • 14:07, Lloyd J. (G),
  • 15:56, McInerney J. (Behind),
  • 21:38, Lloyd J. (G),
  • 23:21, Heeney I. (Behind),
  • 25:54, Francis A. (Behind),
  • 28:46, Steele J. (G),
  • 30:38, Boxshall H. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (22 - 3)
  • 00:34, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
  • 01:16, Higgins J. (Behind),
  • 07:38, Sinclair J. (Behind),
  • 11:26, (Behind Rushed),
  • 14:25, Sharman C. (G),
  • 22:30, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:10, McLean H. (Behind),
  • 26:18, Hall M. (G),
  • 28:58, Hall M. (G),
  • 30:28, (Behind Rushed),
  • 3rd Quarter (28 - 25)
  • 02:58, Heath M. (G),
  • 06:27, Lloyd J. (G),
  • 08:27, Hayward W. (G),
  • 09:32, Garcia H. (G),
  • 13:01, Steele J. (Behind),
  • 14:40, Hastie A. (Behind),
  • 17:16, Sharman C. (G),
  • 18:32, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:32, Sheldrick A. (G),
  • 22:36, Buller J. (G),
  • 26:20, Jordon J. (Behind),
  • 27:43, Owens M. (G),
  • 31:38, Marshall R. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (13 - 31)
  • 02:29, Rowbottom J. (G),
  • 04:15, Hall M. (G),
  • 06:09, Jordon J. (G),
  • 09:51, Hayward W. (G),
  • 14:34, Hayward W. (G),
  • 16:28, Wicks S. (Behind),
  • 21:39, Marshall R. (G),
  • 24:13, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:53, Gulden E. (G),

Chances of winning


St Kilda Saints
41%
Sydney Swans
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 54.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Sydney Swans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.24)

    1.59
    (1.65)
    6.6%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 167.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
    What is the prediction for St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans?
  • Users Predictions: St Kilda Saints will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): St Kilda Saints will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:89.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 3.
    • St Kilda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sydney's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • St Kilda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sydney might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Sydney will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1159:1659. (average 58:83).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 726:963. (average 60.5:80.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans were as follows:
    07.07.2024 St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans 84:82
    08.06.2023 Sydney Swans - St Kilda Saints 66:80
    Latest results of St Kilda Saints
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Sydney Swans5401581:331175.5316
    2Fremantle Dockers5401444:338131.3616
    3Hawthorn Hawks5401535:442121.0416
    4Western Bulldogs5401502:416120.6716
    5Gold Coast Suns5302541:410131.9512
    6Brisbane Lions5302490:426115.0212
    7North Melbourne5302450:425105.8812
    8Geelong Cats5302460:453101.5512
    9Melbourne Demons5302467:50492.6612
    10Port Adelaide Power5203447:404110.648
    11Adelaide Crows5203431:405106.428
    12GWS Giants5203434:46992.548
    13Collingwood Magpies5203348:37792.318
    14St Kilda Saints5203412:45291.158
    15West Coast Eagles5203386:60064.338
    16Carlton Blues5104393:51376.614
    17Essendon Bombers5104400:52676.054
    18Richmond Tigers5005297:52756.360

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )