St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
87:92
13/07/2025 at 01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Sports 503
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 4

Match Stats

Goals
1314
Behinds
98
Kicks
212191
Handballs
139123
Disposals
351314
Frees For
2730
Frees Against
3027
Clearances Completed
3435
Marks
8778
Tackles
7367
Hitouts
2352

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (24 - 33)
  • 02:26, Owens M. (G),
  • 05:49, McLean H. (G),
  • 08:53, Sinclair J. (G),
  • 10:54, Heeney I. (G),
  • 12:39, Buller J. (G),
  • 14:07, Lloyd J. (G),
  • 15:56, McInerney J. (Behind),
  • 21:38, Lloyd J. (G),
  • 23:21, Heeney I. (Behind),
  • 25:54, Francis A. (Behind),
  • 28:46, Steele J. (G),
  • 30:38, Boxshall H. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (22 - 3)
  • 00:34, Rowbottom J. (Behind),
  • 01:16, Higgins J. (Behind),
  • 07:38, Sinclair J. (Behind),
  • 11:26, (Behind Rushed),
  • 14:25, Sharman C. (G),
  • 22:30, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:10, McLean H. (Behind),
  • 26:18, Hall M. (G),
  • 28:58, Hall M. (G),
  • 30:28, (Behind Rushed),
  • 3rd Quarter (28 - 25)
  • 02:58, Heath M. (G),
  • 06:27, Lloyd J. (G),
  • 08:27, Hayward W. (G),
  • 09:32, Garcia H. (G),
  • 13:01, Steele J. (Behind),
  • 14:40, Hastie A. (Behind),
  • 17:16, Sharman C. (G),
  • 18:32, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:32, Sheldrick A. (G),
  • 22:36, Buller J. (G),
  • 26:20, Jordon J. (Behind),
  • 27:43, Owens M. (G),
  • 31:38, Marshall R. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (13 - 31)
  • 02:29, Rowbottom J. (G),
  • 04:15, Hall M. (G),
  • 06:09, Jordon J. (G),
  • 09:51, Hayward W. (G),
  • 14:34, Hayward W. (G),
  • 16:28, Wicks S. (Behind),
  • 21:39, Marshall R. (G),
  • 24:13, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:53, Gulden E. (G),

Chances of winning


St Kilda Saints
41%
Sydney Swans
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7% 54.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St Kilda Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Sydney Swans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Swans than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.24)

    1.59
    (1.65)
    6.6%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 167.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
    What is the prediction for St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans?
  • Users Predictions: St Kilda Saints will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): St Kilda Saints will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:89.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 3.
    • St Kilda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sydney's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • St Kilda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Sydney might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Sydney will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1159:1659. (average 58:83).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 726:963. (average 60.5:80.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans were as follows:
    07.07.2024 St Kilda Saints - Sydney Swans 84:82
    08.06.2023 Sydney Swans - St Kilda Saints 66:80
    Latest results of St Kilda Saints
    Latest results of Sydney Swans
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Sydney Swans8701945:571165.5028
    2Fremantle Dockers8701758:570132.9828
    3Hawthorn Hawks8611829:684121.2026
    4Brisbane Lions8503862:684126.0220
    5Gold Coast Suns8503806:695115.9720
    6Geelong Cats8503791:690114.6420
    7Melbourne Demons8503811:809100.2520
    8Collingwood Magpies8413666:613108.6518
    9St Kilda Saints8404765:666114.8616
    10North Melbourne8404764:720106.1116
    11Adelaide Crows8404685:70996.6116
    12Western Bulldogs8404720:78791.4916
    13Port Adelaide Power8305703:634110.8812
    14GWS Giants8305668:75788.2412
    15West Coast Eagles8206557:93959.328
    16Carlton Blues8107634:81278.084
    17Essendon Bombers8107649:92570.164
    18Richmond Tigers8107523:87160.054

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