Result
2:2 ET
31/07/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Menelaos A. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Solidsport TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Ivanov N. 🟨,
- 25', Kask K. 🟨,
- 35', Redmond J. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Patrikejevs I. ⚽, Kask K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Melia M. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 0, Mannilaan M. ⚽, Ivanov N. (A),
- 51', Baggley B. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
- 58', Kenny S. 🟨,
- 72', Leavy K. ↓, Kavanagh B. ↑,
- 72', Keena A. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
- 80', Ivanov N. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
- 87', Guilherme Smith ↓, Jabir I. ↑,
- 90', Patrikejevs I. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Redmond J. ⚽,
- Extra Time (0 - 1)
- 93', 2 - 2, Mulraney J. ⚽,
- 96', Kask K. ↓, Lotar Eyang E. E. ↑,
- 96', McClelland J. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
- 106', Mulraney J. ↓, Kazeem A. ↑,
- 106', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
- 106', Power S. 🟨,
- 109', Andreev N. 🟨,
- 112', Musolitin O. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nõmme Kalju
22.6% | Draw
25.6% | St Patricks Athletic
51.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Patricks Athletic's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Patricks Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nõmme Kalju - St Patricks Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.09 ↑
(3.25) |
3.63 ↑
(3.17) |
1.81 ↓
(2.01) |
7.1%
(12.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju - St Patricks Athletic?
Users Predictions:
St Patricks Athletic will win
(22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St Patricks Athletic will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - A. Le Coq Arena.
- Recent performances by Nõmme Kalju have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- St Patricks is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, St Patricks has had a series of home games.
- In this match, St Patricks is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nõmme Kalju won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against St Patricks Athletic?
Nõmme Kalju has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Nõmme Kalju?
St Patricks Athletic has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme Kalju - St Patricks Athletic were as follows:
24.07.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:0
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zrinjski | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Lausanne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Celje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mainz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Samsunspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Noah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Drita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Hacken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Shelbourne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Aberdeen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Rijeka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Omonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | Legia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Hamrun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 28 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | Dyn. Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | Shkendija | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 | Univ. Craiova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | SK Rapid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 | Shamrock Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 | Breidablik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 | Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
