Result
2:2 ET
31/07/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Menelaos A. (Cyp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Solidsport TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Ivanov N. 🟨,
- 25', Kask K. 🟨,
- 35', Redmond J. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Patrikejevs I. ⚽, Kask K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Melia M. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 0, Mannilaan M. ⚽, Ivanov N. (A),
- 51', Baggley B. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
- 58', Kenny S. 🟨,
- 72', Leavy K. ↓, Kavanagh B. ↑,
- 72', Keena A. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
- 80', Ivanov N. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
- 87', Guilherme Smith ↓, Jabir I. ↑,
- 90', Patrikejevs I. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Redmond J. ⚽,
- Extra Time (0 - 1)
- 93', 2 - 2, Mulraney J. ⚽,
- 96', Kask K. ↓, Lotar Eyang E. E. ↑,
- 96', McClelland J. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
- 106', Mulraney J. ↓, Kazeem A. ↑,
- 106', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
- 106', Power S. 🟨,
- 109', Andreev N. 🟨,
- 112', Musolitin O. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nõmme Kalju
22.6% | Draw
25.6% | St Patricks Athletic
51.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Patricks Athletic's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Patricks Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nõmme Kalju - St Patricks Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.09 ↑
(3.25) |
3.63 ↑
(3.17) |
1.81 ↓
(2.01) |
7.1%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju - St Patricks Athletic?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.5 - St Patricks (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
St Patricks Athletic will win
(22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St Patricks Athletic will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. St Patricks (votes: 12 - 80%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - A. Le Coq Arena.
- Recent performances by Nõmme Kalju have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- St Patricks is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, St Patricks has had a series of home games.
- In this match, St Patricks is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nõmme Kalju won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against St Patricks Athletic?
Nõmme Kalju has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Nõmme Kalju?
St Patricks Athletic has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme Kalju - St Patricks Athletic were as follows:
24.07.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:0
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
