Result
4:1
03/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 9
- Referee: O'Sullivan K. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.58 | 0.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (401/490) | 71% (254/360) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.58 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 5.58 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 21 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (401/490) | 71% (254/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (44/81) | 37% (30/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (119/170) | 48% (49/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 5.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Redmond J. (Own goal),
- 12', 1 - 1, Palmer R. ⚽, Leavy K. (A),
- 14', McClelland J. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
- 36', 2 - 1, Edmondson R. ⚽, Baggley B. (A),
- 43', Denham O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', McHugh C. ↓, McDonagh K. ↑,
- 52', 3 - 1, Breslin A. ⚽, Palmer R. (A),
- 64', McManus J. ↓, Patton D. ↑,
- 72', Leavy K. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
- 72', Hoare S. ↓, Grivosti T. ↑,
- 73', Edmondson R. ↓, Lennon J. ↑,
- 76', 4 - 1, Nugent D. ⚽,
- 78', Palmer R. ↓, Mata M. A. ↑,
- 78', Nolan A. ↓, Lynch C. ↑,
- 82', Traore M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St Patricks Athletic
70% | Draw
20% | Sligo Rovers
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Sligo Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sligo Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
St Patricks Athletic - Sligo Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.36) |
4.72 ↓
(4.76) |
9.26 ↑
(7.99) |
6.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for St Patricks Athletic - Sligo Rovers?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. St Patricks will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St Patricks: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9 in the zone Premier Division (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 4.
- St Patricks is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sligo Rovers is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, St Patricks is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in St Patricks: Elbouzedi Z.
(Injury)
Power S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sligo Rovers: Blaney S.
(Inactive)
Hakiki J.
(Injury)
O'Kane R.
(Injury)
Patton D.
(Inactive)
Reynolds C.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in St Patricks: Forrester C.
(Inactive)
Lennon J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sligo Rovers: Stewart S.
(Injury)
- We predict that St Patricks will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Sligo Rovers?
St Patricks Athletic has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sligo Rovers won against St Patricks Athletic?
Sligo Rovers has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St Patricks Athletic - Sligo Rovers were as follows:
27.09.2025
Sligo Rovers
-
St Patricks Athletic
1:0
10.08.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Sligo Rovers
3:0
30.05.2025
Sligo Rovers
-
St Patricks Athletic
0:1
28.02.2025
St Patricks Athletic
-
Sligo Rovers
4:3
01.11.2024
Sligo Rovers
-
St Patricks Athletic
0:2
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Latest results of Sligo Rovers
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St. Patricks | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 20:15 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Galway | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Derry City | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:16 | -12 | 5 |
| 10 | Waterford | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
