Eintracht Frankfurt vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli
Result
2:2
11/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 33
  • Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.87
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
135
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
89% (584/655)70% (173/246)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.87
xG on target (xGOT)
2.371.17
Total shots
135
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
339
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
89% (584/655)70% (173/246)
Long passes
66% (29/44)22% (13/58)
Passes in final third
75% (138/184)39% (25/64)
Crosses
28% (5/18)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.810.15
Throw-ins
2515
Fouls
1112
Tackles
43% (3/7)31% (4/13)
Duels won
5035
Clearances
1331
Interceptions
32
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
1.172.37
Goals prevented
-0.830.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Kristensen R. , Larsson H. (A),
  • 4', 1 - 1, Saliakas M. , Guilavogui M. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 2, Guilavogui M. , Voll B. A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bahoya J. , Batshuayi M. ,
  • 59', Treu P. , Dzwigala A. ,
  • 61', Tuta , Uzun C. Y. ,
  • 69', Skhiri E. , Chaibi F. ,
  • 71', 2 - 2, Batshuayi M. , Chaibi F. (A),
  • 76', Afolayan O. , Weisshaupt N. ,
  • 78', Smith E. 🟨,
  • 79', Knauff A. , Collins N. ,
  • 84', Guilavogui M. , Metcalfe C. ,
  • 84', Ritzka L. , Wagner R. ,
  • 84', Theate A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Kristensen R. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Voll B. A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Eintracht Frankfurt
59.4%
Draw
22.4%
St. Pauli
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 23.1% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 22.8% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.68)
    4.31
    (4.16)
    5.26
    (4.91)
    4.1%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Eintracht (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Eintracht Frankfurt will win (42 of 51 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.89%92.81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Eintracht Frankfurt will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Eintracht is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Eintracht: Gotze M. (Hamstring Injury) Kaua Santos (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Irvine J. (Foot Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Saad E. (Thigh Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Van Der Heyden S. (Red Card) Vasilj N. (Red Card) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli were as follows:
    11.01.2025 St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt 0:1
    Latest results of Eintracht Frankfurt
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga