Eintracht Frankfurt vs St. Pauli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt).

: Bundesliga - Round 33
Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.58	0.87
Ball Possession
73%	27%
Total shots
13	5
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
3	1
Passes
89% (584/655)	70% (173/246)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58	0.87
xG on target (xGOT)
2.37	1.17
Total shots
13	5
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
7	1
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
9	5
Shots outside the Box
4	0
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
3	1
Touches in opposition box
33	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
12	11
Passes
89% (584/655)	70% (173/246)
Long passes
66% (29/44)	22% (13/58)
Passes in final third
75% (138/184)	39% (25/64)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.81	0.15
Throw-ins
25	15
Fouls
11	12
Tackles
43% (3/7)	31% (4/13)
Duels won
50	35
Clearances
13	31
Interceptions
3	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
1.17	2.37
Goals prevented
-0.83	0.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Kristensen R. ⚽, Larsson H. (A),
4', 1 - 1, Saliakas M. ⚽, Guilavogui M. (A),
16', 1 - 2, Guilavogui M. ⚽, Voll B. A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bahoya J. ↓, Batshuayi M. ↑,
59', Treu P. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
61', Tuta ↓, Uzun C. Y. ↑,
69', Skhiri E. ↓, Chaibi F. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Batshuayi M. ⚽, Chaibi F. (A),
76', Afolayan O. ↓, Weisshaupt N. ↑,
78', Smith E. 🟨,
79', Knauff A. ↓, Collins N. ↑,
84', Guilavogui M. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
84', Ritzka L. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
84', Theate A. 🟨,
90+4', Kristensen R. 🟨,
90+4', Voll B. A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Eintracht Frankfurt
59.4%

Draw
22.4%

St. Pauli
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

23.1%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

22.8%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eintracht Frankfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.68)	4.31 ↑ (4.16)	5.26 ↑ (4.91)	4.1% (4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Eintracht (votes: 8 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Eintracht Frankfurt will win (42 of 51 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.89% – 92.81%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Eintracht Frankfurt will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 15).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Eintracht is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Eintracht: Gotze M. (Hamstring Injury) Kaua Santos (Knee Injury)
There will not play in St. Pauli: Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Irvine J. (Foot Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Saad E. (Thigh Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Van Der Heyden S. (Red Card) Vasilj N. (Red Card) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eintracht won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Eintracht Frankfurt won against St. Pauli?

Eintracht Frankfurt has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Eintracht Frankfurt?

St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli were as follows:

11.01.2025 St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt 0:1

Latest results of Eintracht Frankfurt

04.05.2025 Mainz - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig 4:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 ✺

17.04.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Tottenham Hotspur 0:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Heidenheim 3:0 ✺

Latest results of St. Pauli

03.05.2025 St. Pauli - Stuttgart 0:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 0:0 ✺

20.04.2025 St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:2 ✺

06.04.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Wolfsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	B. Monchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Koln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Mainz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Heidenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, RCTI+, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, SportKlub 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball