St. Pauli vs Eintracht Frankfurt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg).

Bundesliga - Round 25
Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 3
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Caze TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Sky Sport 257
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.48	0.41
Ball possession
28%	72%
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
2	2
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
6	5
Passes
68% (165/243)	89% (604/679)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.48	0.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.48	0.23
Total shots
11	8
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked shots
5	4
Shots inside the box
6	6
Shots outside the box
5	2
Hit the woodwork
2	0
Big chances
0	0
Corner kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
20	18
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
8	13
Passes
68% (165/243)	89% (604/679)
Long passes
26% (8/31)	52% (31/60)
Passes in final third
52% (47/90)	73% (104/142)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.57	0.95
Throw ins
20	15
Fouls
13	8
Tackles
73% (11/15)	75% (6/8)
Duels won
44	36
Clearances
32	21
Interceptions
5	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.23	0.48
Goals prevented
0.23	0.48

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Saliakas M. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
62', Ando T. 🟨,
66', Hojlund O. ↓, Doan R. ↑,
66', Ando T. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
76', Doan R. 🟨,
81', Sands J. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
83', Kalimuendo A. ↓, Amaimouni A. ↑,
87', Chaibi F. ↓, Arrhov L. ↑,
89', Metcalfe C. 🟨,
90+4', Blessin A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

St. Pauli
37.4%

Draw
28.8%

Eintracht Frankfurt
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

27.7%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.1%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Eintracht Frankfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Frankfurt than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.49)	3.29 ↓ (3.43)	2.83 ↑ (2.78)	4.8% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt?

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Eintracht will win (votes: 14 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eintracht: 28.8% – 64.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Pauli (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Eintracht (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Eintracht (1.91) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.25 - Eintracht (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Eintracht (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Pauli (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Eintracht (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A. (Ankle Injury) Jones R.J. (Injury) Mets K. (Calf Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury) Rasmussen M. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Eintracht: Batshuayi M. (Foot Injury) Ebnoutalib Y. (Injury) Kaua Santos (Knee Injury) Knauff A. (Surgery) Kristensen R. (Ankle Injury) Theate A. (Knee Injury) Uzun C. Y. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Eintracht Frankfurt?

St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Eintracht Frankfurt won against St. Pauli?

Eintracht Frankfurt has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt were as follows:

25.10.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli 2:0

11.05.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli 2:2

11.01.2025 St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt 0:1

Latest results of St. Pauli

28.02.2026 Hoffenheim - St. Pauli 0:1 ✺

22.02.2026 St. Pauli - Werder Bremen 2:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli 4:0 ✺

07.02.2026 St. Pauli - Stuttgart 2:1 ✺

03.02.2026 Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Eintracht Frankfurt

01.03.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg 2:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Bayern Munich - Eintracht Frankfurt 3:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:0 ✺

06.02.2026 Union Berlin - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen 1:3 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	29	24	4	1	105:27	78	76
2	Dortmund	29	19	7	3	60:29	31	64
3	Stuttgart	29	17	5	7	60:38	22	56
4	RB Leipzig	29	17	5	7	56:36	20	56
5	Bayer Leverkusen	29	15	7	7	59:39	20	52
6	Hoffenheim	29	15	6	8	57:43	14	51
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	29	11	9	9	54:54	0	42
8	Freiburg	29	11	7	11	42:47	-5	40
9	Mainz	29	8	9	12	35:44	-9	33
10	Augsburg	29	9	6	14	36:53	-17	33
11	Union Berlin	29	8	8	13	33:50	-17	32
12	Hamburger SV	29	7	10	12	32:45	-13	31
13	FC Koln	29	7	9	13	43:50	-7	30
14	B. Monchengladbach	29	7	9	13	35:49	-14	30
15	Werder Bremen	29	7	7	15	32:52	-20	28
16	St. Pauli	29	6	7	16	25:50	-25	25
17	Wolfsburg	29	5	6	18	39:65	-26	21
18	Heidenheim	29	4	7	18	32:64	-32	19

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bayern Munich is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )