Result
1:2
12/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Bundesliga - Round 29
- Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (345/424) | 84% (326/388) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (345/424) | 84% (326/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/52) | 38% (21/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (37/77) | 63% (59/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/11) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 45 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 43 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Bernhardsson A. ⚽, Gigovic A. (A),
- 34', 1 - 1, Sinani D. ⚽,
- 37', Nemeth D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Becker T. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
- 46', Saad E. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
- 47', Afolayan O. 🟨,
- 60', Ivezic M. 🟨,
- 61', Afolayan O. ↓, Weisshaupt N. ↑,
- 64', Dzwigala A. ↓, Van Der Heyden S. ↑,
- 68', Komenda M. ↓, Geschwill M. ↑,
- 68', Machino S. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
- 75', Knudsen M. ↓, Schulz M. ↑,
- 77', Harres P. 🟨,
- 82', Wahl H. 🟨,
- 83', Gigovic A. ↓, Skrzybski S. ↑,
- 86', Schulz M. 🟨,
- 87', Sinani D. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Geschwill M. (Own goal),
- 90+2', Guilavogui M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Holstein Kiel
29.7% | Draw
27.8% | St. Pauli
42.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↑
(2.92) |
3.46 ↓
(3.48) |
2.24 ↓
(2.44) |
4.4%
(3.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 43.5% – 83.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 0.
- Holstein Kiel is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches St. Pauli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- St. Pauli will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P.
(Concussion)
Holtby L.
(Muscle Injury)
Kelati A. Y.
(Knee Injury)
Kleine-Bekel C.
(Knee Injury)
Nekic I.
(Knee Injury)
Pichler B.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Zec D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Burchert S.
(Groin Injury)
Mets K.
(Knee Injury)
Sands J.
(Broken Leg)
Zoller S.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29:30 (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:13 (average 2.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against St. Pauli?
Holstein Kiel has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Holstein Kiel?
St. Pauli has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli were as follows:
29.11.2024
St. Pauli
-
Holstein Kiel
3:1
23.02.2024
Holstein Kiel
-
St. Pauli
3:4
17.09.2023
St. Pauli
-
Holstein Kiel
5:1
19.05.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
St. Pauli
3:4
08.11.2022
St. Pauli
-
Holstein Kiel
0:0
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
Latest results of St. Pauli
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Which TV channels are streaming of Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
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