St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 23
  • Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, RedeTV!, Sky+, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 3 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDaystar Pacific, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.221.64
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
513
Shots on target
44
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
15
Passes
76% (311/408)82% (462/563)
Yellow cards
26
Expected goals (xG)
0.221.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.442.28
Total shots
513
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
15
Blocked shots
04
Shots inside the box
411
Shots outside the box
02
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1026
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
51
Free kicks
106
Passes
76% (311/408)82% (462/563)
Long passes
30% (13/43)42% (28/66)
Passes in final third
53% (48/91)65% (93/142)
Crosses
21% (3/14)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.89
Throw ins
2729
Fouls
610
Tackles
64% (9/14)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4636
Clearances
4225
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
2.280.44
Goals prevented
1.28-1.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Schmidt I. 🟨,
  • 29', Kaars M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 53', Kaars M. , Pereira Lage M. ,
  • 54', Lynen S. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Wahl H. , Sinani D. (A),
  • 60', Schmid R. , Bittencourt L. ,
  • 61', Grull M. , Milosevic J. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Milosevic J. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Fujita J. , Saliakas M. (A),
  • 75', Friedl M. 🟨,
  • 76', Saliakas M. 🟨,
  • 76', Milosevic J. 🟨,
  • 76', Bittencourt L. 🟨,
  • 79', Puertas C. , Topp K. ,
  • 80', Irvine J. , Sands J. ,
  • 87', Fujita J. , Rasmussen M. ,
  • 88', Stark N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
34.6%
Draw
30.7%
Werder Bremen
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 30.7% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 31% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • St. Pauli - Werder Bremen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.84)
    3.1
    (3.09)
    2.75
    (2.64)
    4.8%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Werder Bremen?
  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 13 - 35.1%). Werder will win (votes: 4 - 10.8%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 54.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38%70.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Werder (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Werder (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Werder (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Werder (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Werder (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 0.
    • St. Pauli is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Werder has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Hountondji A. (Ankle Injury) Jones R.J. (Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Werder: Adeh W. (Knee Injury) Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly K. (Thigh Injury) Pieper A. (Knee Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Werder Bremen were as follows:
    04.01.2026 St. Pauli - Werder Bremen 0:0
    04.10.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 1:0
    27.04.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 0:0
    14.12.2024 St. Pauli - Werder Bremen 0:2
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    07.02.2026 St. Pauli - Stuttgart 2:1
    31.01.2026 Augsburg - St. Pauli 2:1
    27.01.2026 St. Pauli - RB Leipzig 1:1
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich23193185:216460
    2Dortmund23157149:222752
    3Hoffenheim23144549:301946
    4Stuttgart23134644:321243
    5RB Leipzig23125644:321241
    6Bayer Leverkusen22123743:281539
    7Freiburg2396834:37-333
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2387846:49-331
    9Union Berlin2377929:37-828
    10Augsburg23841128:41-1328
    11Hamburger SV2268825:32-726
    12FC Koln23661133:39-624
    13Mainz23571126:38-1222
    14B. Monchengladbach23571126:39-1322
    15Wolfsburg23551333:49-1620
    16St. Pauli23551322:40-1820
    17Werder Bremen23471223:44-2119
    18Heidenheim23351522:51-2914

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga