Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 6
- Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Albania | Tring Sport 6 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports Extra 1 |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.58 | 0.74 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
78% (364/464) | 83% (542/652) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.58 | 0.74 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.40 | 0.29 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
78% (364/464) | 83% (542/652) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (29/63) | 44% (23/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (61/96) | 70% (136/193) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (1/5) | 12% (2/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.59 | 0.96 |
Throw-ins |
---|
11 | 31 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
46% (11/24) | 75% (15/20) |
Duels won |
---|
59 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
33 | 13 |
Interceptions |
---|
13 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.29 | 1.40 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.29 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Mbangula S. ⚽,
- 45', Agu F. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Njinmah J. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
- 68', Puertas C. 🟨,
- 71', Pyrka A. ↓, Saliakas M. ↑,
- 71', Ritzka L. ↓, Ceesay A. ↑,
- 71', Sands J. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
- 73', Stage J. 🟨,
- 81', Puertas C. ↓, Covic P. ↑,
- 81', Mbangula S. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
- 90', Grull M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Werder Bremen 45.8% | Draw 28% | St. Pauli 26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Werder Bremen - St. Pauli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.22 (2.22) |
3.67 ↓ (3.85) |
4.07 ↑ (3.09) |
-3% (3.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Werder Bremen - St. Pauli?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 10 - 30.3%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 17 - 51.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 34.4% – 68.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Pauli will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 1.
- Recent form of Werder has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- St. Pauli has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Werder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Werder: Backhaus M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Deman O.
(Ankle Injury)
Stark N.
(Hip Injury)
Weiser M.
(Knee Injury)
Wober M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in St. Pauli: Jones R.J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Nemeth D.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Werder: Malatini J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Pauli: Irvine J.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Werder won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against St. Pauli?
Werder Bremen has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Werder Bremen?
St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Werder Bremen - St. Pauli were as follows:
27.04.2025
Werder Bremen
-
St. Pauli
0:0
14.12.2024
St. Pauli
-
Werder Bremen
0:2
Latest results of Werder Bremen
Latest results of St. Pauli
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 23 | 21 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
3 | Stuttgart | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 15 |
4 | Dortmund | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 14 |
5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:11 | 5 | 14 |
6 | FC Koln | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Union Berlin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
10 | Freiburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
13 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 7 |
14 | St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
15 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
16 | Mainz | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
17 | Heidenheim | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
18 | B. Monchengladbach | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga