Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Weserstadion (Bremen).

: Bundesliga - Round 31
Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.27	0.62
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
1	3
Passes
84% (399/473)	83% (385/463)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27	0.62
xG on target (xGOT)
0.72	1.27
Total shots
11	10
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
9	6
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
1	3
Touches in opposition box
21	21
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
16	9
Passes
84% (399/473)	83% (385/463)
Long passes
59% (26/44)	42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
68% (67/99)	66% (74/112)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.95	0.82
Throw-ins
10	15
Fouls
9	16
Tackles
50% (5/10)	82% (9/11)
Duels won
53	46
Clearances
22	35
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
2	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.27	0.72
Goals prevented
1.27	0.72

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Weisshaupt N. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
63', Saliakas M. 🟨,
69', Njinmah J. ↓, Burke O. ↑,
75', Sinani D. ↓, Metcalfe C. ↑,
75', Boukhalfa C. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
81', Agu F. ↓, Kohn D. ↑,
81', Lynen S. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
82', Bittencourt L. 🟨,
88', Ducksch M. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
88', Van Der Heyden S. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
88', Guilavogui M. ↓, Eggestein J. ↑,
89', Metcalfe C. 🟨,
90+1', Friedl M. 🟨,
90+2', Metcalfe C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Werder Bremen
48.4%

Draw
26.6%

St. Pauli
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

26%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

25.7%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Werder Bremen - St. Pauli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.03)	3.59 ↓ (3.69)	3.84 ↑ (3.6)	4.5% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Werder Bremen - St. Pauli?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - St. Pauli (votes: 3 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Werder Bremen will win (45 of 53 users predict this - 84.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.27% – 94.55%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Werder Bremen will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Werder won 2.
Werder is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches St. Pauli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Werder could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Werder is a favorite.
There will not play in Werder: Veljkovic M. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in St. Pauli: Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Irvine J. (Foot Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
Last 10 head-to-head matches Werder won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:15 (average 1.4:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Werder won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against St. Pauli?

Werder Bremen has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Werder Bremen?

St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Werder Bremen - St. Pauli were as follows:

14.12.2024 St. Pauli - Werder Bremen 0:2

Latest results of Werder Bremen

19.04.2025 Werder Bremen - Bochum 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Stuttgart - Werder Bremen 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Holstein Kiel - Werder Bremen 0:3 ✺

15.03.2025 Werder Bremen - Borussia Mönchengladbach 2:4 ✺

Latest results of St. Pauli

20.04.2025 St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:2 ✺

06.04.2025 St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Bayern Munich - St. Pauli 3:2 ✺

19.03.2025 Hertha Berlin - St. Pauli 0:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Wolfsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	B. Monchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Koln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Mainz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Heidenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Werder Bremen - St. Pauli?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, TV Cultura, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free, New World TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, RCTI+, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	SuperSport 5
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan
North-central-america	Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+, Fox Sports 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 9, SportKlub 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-america	ESPN 5 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, PPTV Sports
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, Onefootball