Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Werder Bremen - St. Pauli
04/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Werder Bremen
43%
Draw
25.7%
St. Pauli
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 25.1% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 25.7% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • The chances for St. Pauli have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Werder Bremen - St. Pauli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.22)
    3.78
    (3.85)
    3.07
    (3.09)
    3.8%
    (3.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 1.
    • Werder has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • St. Pauli has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • St. Pauli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Werder will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Werder won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Werder Bremen - St. Pauli were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 0:0
    14.12.2024 St. Pauli - Werder Bremen 0:2
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    19.09.2025 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 2:0
    14.09.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 2:1
    03.09.2025 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:1
    29.08.2025 Hamburger SV - St. Pauli 0:2
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich550022:31915
    2Dortmund43109:3610
    3RB Leipzig43016:7-19
    4FC Koln42119:727
    5St. Pauli42117:617
    6Eintracht Frankfurt420211:926
    7Freiburg42028:806
    8Stuttgart42025:506
    9Hoffenheim42028:10-26
    10Union Berlin42028:11-36
    11Bayer Leverkusen41218:715
    12Wolfsburg41217:615
    13Mainz41125:414
    14Werder Bremen51138:14-64
    15Hamburger SV41122:8-64
    16Augsburg41037:10-33
    17B. Monchengladbach40221:6-52
    18Heidenheim40042:9-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga