Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Werder Bremen - St. Pauli
Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 6
  • Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.74
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
78% (364/464)83% (542/652)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.400.29
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
106
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2313
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
98
Passes
78% (364/464)83% (542/652)
Long passes
46% (29/63)44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
64% (61/96)70% (136/193)
Crosses
20% (1/5)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.96
Throw-ins
1131
Fouls
89
Tackles
46% (11/24)75% (15/20)
Duels won
5950
Clearances
3313
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.291.40
Goals prevented
0.290.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Mbangula S. ,
  • 45', Agu F. , Schmidt I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Njinmah J. , Grull M. ,
  • 68', Puertas C. 🟨,
  • 71', Pyrka A. , Saliakas M. ,
  • 71', Ritzka L. , Ceesay A. ,
  • 71', Sands J. , Metcalfe C. ,
  • 73', Stage J. 🟨,
  • 81', Puertas C. , Covic P. ,
  • 81', Mbangula S. , Boniface V. ,
  • 90', Grull M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Werder Bremen
45.8%
Draw
28%
St. Pauli
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 25.1% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 25.7% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Werder Bremen - St. Pauli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.22)
    3.67
    (3.85)
    4.07
    (3.09)
    -3%
    (3.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Werder Bremen - St. Pauli?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 10 - 30.3%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 17 - 51.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 34.4%68.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Pauli will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 1.
    • Recent form of Werder has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • St. Pauli has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Werder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Werder: Backhaus M. (Shoulder Injury) Deman O. (Ankle Injury) Stark N. (Hip Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Jones R.J. (Shoulder Injury) Nemeth D. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Werder: Malatini J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Pauli: Irvine J. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Werder won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Werder Bremen - St. Pauli were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 0:0
    14.12.2024 St. Pauli - Werder Bremen 0:2
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    19.09.2025 Stuttgart - St. Pauli 2:0
    14.09.2025 St. Pauli - Augsburg 2:1
    03.09.2025 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:1
    29.08.2025 Hamburger SV - St. Pauli 0:2
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich770027:42321
    2RB Leipzig751110:9116
    3Stuttgart750211:6515
    4Dortmund742113:6714
    5Bayer Leverkusen742116:11514
    6FC Koln732212:10211
    7Eintracht Frankfurt731319:18110
    8Hoffenheim731312:12010
    9Union Berlin731311:14-310
    10Freiburg723211:1109
    11Hamburger SV72237:10-38
    12Werder Bremen722311:16-58
    13Augsburg721412:14-27
    14St. Pauli72148:12-47
    15Wolfsburg71248:13-55
    16Mainz71158:14-64
    17Heidenheim71156:13-74
    18B. Monchengladbach70346:15-93

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga