St. Pölten vs Sturm Graz B – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
26/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Liga - Round 8
  • Referee: Baumann M. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaLaola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
germanyGermanyLaola1
switzerlandSwitzerlandLAOLA1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
187
Shots on target
91
Corner Kicks
34
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
187
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
96
Corner Kicks
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Stendera M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Haider G. , Locker J. ,
  • 46', Weinhandl L. , Gurmann T. ,
  • 64', Jastrzembski D. , Osayantin R. ,
  • 65', Amoah W. 🟨,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Amoah W. , Young R. (A),
  • 68', Mane E. H. , Dursun F. ,
  • 69', Scharmer T. 🟨,
  • 72', Hausjell M. 🟨,
  • 76', 3 - 0, Dursun F. , Krasniqi L. (A),
  • 77', Nsumbu D. , Koita Y. ,
  • 77', Stendera M. , Kleinbruckner M. ,
  • 82', Amoah W. , Kasparek D. ,
  • 82', Hausjell M. , Ferstl V. ,
  • 83', Scharmer T. , Morgenstern L. ,
  • 86', 4 - 0, Ferstl V. , Kasparek D. (A),
  • 90+2', Riegler D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


St. Pölten
66.7%
Draw
18.3%
Sturm Graz B
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.1% 17.2% 15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1% 16% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pölten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Sturm Graz B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Pölten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • St. Pölten - Sturm Graz B Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.38)
    5.13
    (5.36)
    6.23
    (5.89)
    6.7%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for St. Pölten - Sturm Graz B?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. St. Pölten will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pölten: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. St. Pölten (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 15 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pölten won 4.
    • St. Pölten is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sturm B is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, St. Pölten has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Sturm B has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, St. Pölten is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that St. Pölten will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Pölten won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 2.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Pölten won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.7:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pölten - Sturm Graz B were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Sturm Graz B - St. Pölten 2:4
    01.11.2024 St. Pölten - Sturm Graz B 0:2
    01.12.2023 St. Pölten - Sturm Graz B 3:1
    30.07.2023 Sturm Graz B - St. Pölten 1:4
    26.02.2023 Sturm Graz B - St. Pölten 0:2
    Latest results of St. Pölten
    12.09.2025 St. Pölten - Stripfing 3:1
    26.08.2025 SPG Wels - St. Pölten 2:3
    22.08.2025 Amstetten - St. Pölten 0:0
    Latest results of Sturm Graz B
    Austrian 2 Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Admira20108246:212538
    2Floridsdorfer AC20115429:111838
    3A. Lustenau19114424:16837
    4Amstetten2098333:231035
    5St. Polten19112635:221335
    6Austria Vienna (Am)20103725:25033
    7Liefering2087530:31-131
    8A. Salzburg2075826:29-326
    9First Vienna1965821:21023
    10Hertha Wels20551020:27-720
    11SK Rapid II20551023:33-1020
    12Kapfenberg19531123:39-1618
    13A. Klagenfurt1955922:31-917
    14Sturm Graz II19351117:32-1514
    15Bregenz20281025:38-1311
    16Stripfing00000:000

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