Stabæk vs Aalesunds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
06/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • OBOS-ligaen - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
norwayNorwayTV2 Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
137
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
103
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Diabate B. , Vinge R. E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Orsahl J. , Andresen M. ,
  • 52', Haram S. , Gudmundsson O. ,
  • 52', Johannsson D. , Melland H. ,
  • 52', Vinge R. E. , Olderheim S. ,
  • 68', Myrlid E. , Lonebu K. ,
  • 76', Diabate B. , Afrim D. ,
  • 76', Onsrud K. , Bawa A. ,
  • 78', Afrim D. 🟨,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Heiselberg F. , Christensen M. (A),
  • 85', 1 - 2, Hammer H. , Melland H. (A),
  • 89', Grytebust S. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Kjelsen A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Lankhof-Dahlby M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+3', Hellan M. , Pedersen K. ,

Chances of winning


Stabæk
31.9%
Draw
26.2%
Aalesunds
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 25% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 24.5% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stabæk's form might have worsened.
  • Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Stabæk - Aalesunds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.94
    (2.52)
    3.56
    (3.75)
    2.23
    (2.48)
    7.1%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Stabæk - Aalesunds?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Aalesunds will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aalesunds: 30.4%86.2%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalesunds (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Aalesunds (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.25 - Stabæk (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Stabæk (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Aalesunds (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 1.
    • Stabæk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Aalesunds is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Aalesunds will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stabæk won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stabæk - Aalesunds were as follows:
    15.06.2025 Aalesunds - Stabæk 2:2
    09.11.2024 Stabæk - Aalesunds 1:4
    01.04.2024 Aalesunds - Stabæk 1:1
    23.09.2023 Aalesunds - Stabæk 1:1
    13.05.2023 Stabæk - Aalesunds 1:0
    Latest results of Stabæk
    02.08.2025 Stabæk - Moss 3:3
    30.07.2025 Odd - Stabæk 2:0
    26.07.2025 Sogndal - Stabæk 1:1
    25.06.2025 Stabæk - Kristiansund 2:3
    21.06.2025 Start - Stabæk 5:1
    Latest results of Aalesunds
    02.08.2025 Aalesunds - Kongsvinger 3:1
    30.07.2025 Lyn - Aalesunds 2:2
    26.07.2025 Aalesunds - Moss 2:0
    22.07.2025 Egersund - Aalesunds 2:2
    Norwegian Adeccoligaen Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Odd11004:043
    2Kongsvinger11003:033
    3Haugesund11004:223
    4Moss11003:213
    5Stromsgodset11002:113
    6Hodd11002:113
    7Ranheim00000:000
    8Raufoss00000:000
    9Strommen00000:000
    10Egersund00000:000
    11Stabaek10011:2-10
    12Sandnes10011:2-10
    13Lyn10012:4-20
    14Bryne10010:3-30
    15Sogndal10010:4-40
    16Asane10012:3-1-1

          Promotion ~ Eliteserien
          Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          OBOS~ligaen (Relegation)
          Relegation