Stabæk vs Kristiansund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 penalties
25/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NM Cup - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
113
Corner Kicks
117
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
01
Total shots
166
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
117
Goalkeeper Saves
19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Lankhof-Dahlby M. , Spiten-Nysaeter O. (A),
  • 15', Igor W. 🟨,
  • 24', Hoffmann I. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Odegard N. , Alte R. (A),
  • 34', Igor W. 🟨,
  • 39', Isaksen J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Hoffmann I. , Williamsen M. ,
  • 52', Danso E. 🟨,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Spiten-Nysaeter O. , Ellegaard F. (A),
  • 63', 2 - 2, Tufekcic D. , Isah M. (A),
  • 72', Kilen S. , Ndour A. ,
  • 72', Tufekcic D. , Corlu R. ,
  • 79', Danso E. , Matic A. ,
  • 79', Skjelvik J. , Andresen A. ,
  • 79', Ellegaard F. , Diabate B. ,
  • 83', Lankhof-Dahlby M. 🟨,
  • 86', Isaksen J. , Onsrud K. ,
  • 86', Lankhof-Dahlby M. , Geelmuyden H. ,
  • 90', Riise F. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Pedersen K. , Nielsen M. ,
  • 91', Odegard N. , Haugen H. ,
  • 96', Rakneberg M. , Flex F. ,
  • 108', Williamsen M. , Alemseged A. ,
  • Penalties (1 - 4)
  • 1, Ndour A. (Pen),
  • 1, Naess N. (Pen),
  • 2, Corlu R. (Pen),
  • 2, Geelmuyden H. (Pen),
  • 3, Isah M. (Pen),
  • 3, Onsrud K. (Pen),
  • 4, Alemseged A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Stabæk
32.2%
Draw
24.3%
Kristiansund
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 27.1% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 26.5% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Kristiansund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kristiansund's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Stabæk - Kristiansund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.71)
    3.74
    (3.46)
    2.16
    (2.44)
    7.9%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Stabæk - Kristiansund?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Stabæk will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Kristiansund will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kristiansund: 19.1%73.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Kristiansund (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kristiansund will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Kristiansund (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 3.
    • Stabæk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Kristiansund has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kristiansund may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stabæk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
    Latest results of Stabæk
    21.06.2025 Start - Stabæk 5:1
    18.06.2025 Stabæk - Egersund 1:3
    15.06.2025 Aalesunds - Stabæk 2:2
    31.05.2025 Stabæk - Kongsvinger 2:2
    24.05.2025 Raufoss - Stabæk 1:0
    Latest results of Kristiansund
    22.06.2025 Kristiansund - Rosenborg 4:1
    01.06.2025 Brann - Kristiansund 4:2
    21.05.2025 Molde - Kristiansund 3:4
    16.05.2025 Molde - Kristiansund 0:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1SpjelkavikBrattvag2 : 4
    2FordeHodd0 : 2
    4ByeBryne
    5HaugesundBye
    8ByeRosenborg
    9UlfstindAlta4 : 3
    10FinnsnesTromsdalen0 : 8
    12ByeSandefjord
    13BrannBye
    15AskerSkeid3 : 0
    16VestfossenMjondalen1 : 5
    17BjargSogndal2 : 0
    18VidarV. Haugesund1 : 4
    19Gamle OsloEidsvold TF2 : 1
    20Baerum SportsklubbStabaek0 : 5
    21FlintEik-Tonsberg0 : 1
    22VigorStart0 : 3
    24ByeViking
    25LyseklosterSandviken3 : 0
    26GneistAsane2 : 3
    27StrindheimStjordals Blink2 : 3
    28TraeffAalesund1 : 4
    29ArendalJerv3 : 2
    30FlekkeroyEgersund1 : 2
    31FolloNotodden6 : 2
    32NordstrandLyn1 : 3
    33StromsgodsetBye
    36ByeMolde
    37Ull/KisaStrommen0 : 2
    38PorsOdd1 : 3
    40ByeBodo/Glimt
    41Trygg/LadeRanheim2 : 1
    42NardoLevanger0 : 6
    44ByeHamKam
    45Djerv 1919Sotra3 : 2
    46Madla ILSandnes1 : 2
    47HonefossRaufoss3 : 0
    48LorenskogLillestrom1 : 4
    49JunkerenRana FK3 : 1
    50BrumunddalKongsvinger1 : 5
    52ByeKFUM Oslo
    53TromsoBye
    56ByeKristiansund
    57ValerengaBye
    60ByeFredrikstad
    61KjelsasGrorud1 : 0
    62RadeMoss0 : 1
    64ByeSarpsborg 08

    1/32-finals
    1BrattvagHodd5 : 4
    2ByeBryne
    3HaugesundBye
    4ByeRosenborg
    5UlfstindTromsdalen2 : 5
    6ByeSandefjord
    7BrannBye
    8AskerMjondalen1 : 4
    9BjargV. Haugesund2 : 1
    10Gamle OsloStabaek1 : 4
    11Eik-TonsbergStart3 : 0
    12ByeViking
    13LyseklosterAsane3 : 0
    14Stjordals BlinkAalesund1 : 2
    15ArendalEgersund2 : 3
    16FolloLyn0 : 2
    17StromsgodsetBye
    18ByeMolde
    19StrommenOdd2 : 3
    20ByeBodo/Glimt
    21Trygg/LadeLevanger1 : 3
    22ByeHamKam
    23Djerv 1919Sandnes2 : 6
    24HonefossLillestrom2 : 3
    25JunkerenKongsvinger0 : 4
    26ByeKFUM Oslo
    27TromsoBye
    28ByeKristiansund
    29ValerengaBye
    30ByeFredrikstad
    31KjelsasMoss2 : 1
    32ByeSarpsborg 08

    1/16-finals
    1BrattvagBryne1 : 2
    2HaugesundRosenborg1 : 4
    3TromsdalenSandefjord6 : 1
    4BrannMjondalen5 : 1
    5BjargStabaek6 : 1
    6Eik-TonsbergViking0 : 2
    7LyseklosterAalesund1 : 3
    8EgersundLyn3 : 2
    9StromsgodsetMolde1 : 2
    10OddBodo/Glimt1 : 3
    11LevangerHamKam1 : 5
    12SandnesLillestrom1 : 2
    13KongsvingerKFUM Oslo1 : 3
    14TromsoKristiansund2 : 1
    15ValerengaFredrikstad1 : 2
    16KjelsasSarpsborg 085 : 6

    1/8-finals
    1BryneRosenborg4 : 2
    2TromsdalenBrann2 : 3
    3BjargViking0 : 3
    4AalesundEgersund3 : 2
    5MoldeBodo/Glimt1 : 2
    6HamKamLillestrom0 : 2
    7KFUM OsloTromso2 : 1
    8FredrikstadSarpsborg 082 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1BryneBrann1 : 2
    2VikingAalesund1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtLillestrom4 : 0
    4KFUM OsloFredrikstad3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1BrannAalesund
    2Bodo/GlimtKFUM Oslo

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2