Stabæk vs Kristiansund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 penalties
25/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NM Cup - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
113
Corner Kicks
117
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
01
Total shots
166
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
117
Goalkeeper Saves
19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Lankhof-Dahlby M. , Spiten-Nysaeter O. (A),
  • 15', Igor W. 🟨,
  • 24', Hoffmann I. 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 1, Odegard N. , Alte R. (A),
  • 34', Igor W. 🟨,
  • 39', Isaksen J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Hoffmann I. , Williamsen M. ,
  • 52', Danso E. 🟨,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Spiten-Nysaeter O. , Ellegaard F. (A),
  • 63', 2 - 2, Tufekcic D. , Isah M. (A),
  • 72', Kilen S. , Ndour A. ,
  • 72', Tufekcic D. , Corlu R. ,
  • 79', Danso E. , Matic A. ,
  • 79', Skjelvik J. , Andresen A. ,
  • 79', Ellegaard F. , Diabate B. ,
  • 83', Lankhof-Dahlby M. 🟨,
  • 86', Isaksen J. , Onsrud K. ,
  • 86', Lankhof-Dahlby M. , Geelmuyden H. ,
  • 90', Riise F. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Pedersen K. , Nielsen M. ,
  • 91', Odegard N. , Haugen H. ,
  • 96', Rakneberg M. , Flex F. ,
  • 108', Williamsen M. , Alemseged A. ,
  • Penalties (1 - 4)
  • 1, Ndour A. (Pen),
  • 1, Naess N. (Pen),
  • 2, Corlu R. (Pen),
  • 2, Geelmuyden H. (Pen),
  • 3, Isah M. (Pen),
  • 3, Onsrud K. (Pen),
  • 4, Alemseged A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Stabæk
32.2%
Draw
24.3%
Kristiansund
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 27.1% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 26.5% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Kristiansund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kristiansund's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Stabæk - Kristiansund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.71)
    3.74
    (3.46)
    2.16
    (2.44)
    7.9%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Stabæk - Kristiansund?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Stabæk will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Kristiansund will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kristiansund: 19.1%73.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Kristiansund (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kristiansund will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Kristiansund (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 3.
    • Stabæk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Kristiansund has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kristiansund may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stabæk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
    Latest results of Stabæk
    21.06.2025 Start - Stabæk 5:1
    18.06.2025 Stabæk - Egersund 1:3
    15.06.2025 Aalesunds - Stabæk 2:2
    31.05.2025 Stabæk - Kongsvinger 2:2
    24.05.2025 Raufoss - Stabæk 1:0
    Latest results of Kristiansund
    22.06.2025 Kristiansund - Rosenborg 4:1
    01.06.2025 Brann - Kristiansund 4:2
    21.05.2025 Molde - Kristiansund 3:4
    16.05.2025 Molde - Kristiansund 0:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1JunkerenRana FK3 : 1
    2BrumunddalKongsvinger1 : 5
    4ByeKFUM Oslo
    5TromsoBye
    8ByeKristiansund
    9ValerengaBye
    12ByeFredrikstad
    13KjelsasGrorud1 : 0
    14RadeMoss0 : 1
    16ByeSarpsborg 08
    17SpjelkavikBrattvag2 : 4
    18FordeHodd0 : 2
    20ByeBryne
    21HaugesundBye
    24ByeRosenborg
    25UlfstindAlta4 : 3
    26FinnsnesTromsdalen0 : 8
    28ByeSandefjord
    29BrannBye
    31AskerSkeid3 : 0
    32VestfossenMjondalen1 : 5
    33BjargSogndal2 : 0
    34VidarV. Haugesund1 : 4
    35Gamle OsloEidsvold TF2 : 1
    36Baerum SportsklubbStabaek0 : 5
    37FlintEik-Tonsberg0 : 1
    38VigorStart0 : 3
    40ByeViking
    41LyseklosterSandviken3 : 0
    42GneistAsane2 : 3
    43StrindheimStjordals Blink2 : 3
    44TraeffAalesund1 : 4
    45ArendalJerv3 : 2
    46FlekkeroyEgersund1 : 2
    47FolloNotodden6 : 2
    48NordstrandLyn1 : 3
    49StromsgodsetBye
    52ByeMolde
    53Ull/KisaStrommen0 : 2
    54PorsOdd1 : 3
    56ByeBodo/Glimt
    57Trygg/LadeRanheim2 : 1
    58NardoLevanger0 : 6
    60ByeHamKam
    61Djerv 1919Sotra3 : 2
    62Madla ILSandnes1 : 2
    63HonefossRaufoss3 : 0
    64LorenskogLillestrom1 : 4

    1/32-finals
    1JunkerenKongsvinger0 : 4
    2ByeKFUM Oslo
    3TromsoBye
    4ByeKristiansund
    5ValerengaBye
    6ByeFredrikstad
    7KjelsasMoss2 : 1
    8ByeSarpsborg 08
    9BrattvagHodd5 : 4
    10ByeBryne
    11HaugesundBye
    12ByeRosenborg
    13UlfstindTromsdalen2 : 5
    14ByeSandefjord
    15BrannBye
    16AskerMjondalen1 : 4
    17BjargV. Haugesund2 : 1
    18Gamle OsloStabaek1 : 4
    19Eik-TonsbergStart3 : 0
    20ByeViking
    21LyseklosterAsane3 : 0
    22Stjordals BlinkAalesund1 : 2
    23ArendalEgersund2 : 3
    24FolloLyn0 : 2
    25StromsgodsetBye
    26ByeMolde
    27StrommenOdd2 : 3
    28ByeBodo/Glimt
    29Trygg/LadeLevanger1 : 3
    30ByeHamKam
    31Djerv 1919Sandnes2 : 6
    32HonefossLillestrom2 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1KongsvingerKFUM Oslo1 : 3
    2TromsoKristiansund2 : 1
    3ValerengaFredrikstad1 : 2
    4KjelsasSarpsborg 085 : 6
    5BrattvagBryne1 : 2
    6HaugesundRosenborg1 : 4
    7TromsdalenSandefjord6 : 1
    8BrannMjondalen5 : 1
    9BjargStabaek6 : 1
    10Eik-TonsbergViking0 : 2
    11LyseklosterAalesund1 : 3
    12EgersundLyn3 : 2
    13StromsgodsetMolde1 : 2
    14OddBodo/Glimt1 : 3
    15LevangerHamKam1 : 5
    16SandnesLillestrom1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1KFUM OsloTromso2 : 1
    2FredrikstadSarpsborg 082 : 1
    3BryneRosenborg4 : 2
    4TromsdalenBrann2 : 3
    5BjargViking0 : 3
    6AalesundEgersund3 : 2
    7MoldeBodo/Glimt1 : 2
    8HamKamLillestrom0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1KFUM OsloFredrikstad3 : 2
    2BryneBrann1 : 2
    3VikingAalesund1 : 2
    4Bodo/GlimtLillestrom