Result
0:1
03/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Chances of winning
AJEL de Rufisque
36.8% | Draw
40.6% | Stade de Mbour
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AJEL de Rufisque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AJEL de Rufisque's form might have worsened.Stade de Mbour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AJEL de Rufisque than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AJEL de Rufisque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade de Mbour than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
AJEL de Rufisque - Stade de Mbour Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.05) |
2.26 ↓
(2.54) |
4.06 ↑
(4) |
8.9%
(13.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for AJEL de Rufisque - Stade de Mbour?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. AJEL will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. AJEL (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 11).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- AJEL may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Mbour has had a series of home games.
- AJEL could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, AJEL won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has AJEL de Rufisque won against Stade de Mbour?
AJEL de Rufisque has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stade de Mbour won against AJEL de Rufisque?
Stade de Mbour has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AJEL de Rufisque - Stade de Mbour were as follows:
07.01.2026
Stade de Mbour
-
AJEL de Rufisque
0:2
Latest results of AJEL de Rufisque
Latest results of Stade de Mbour
Senegal Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AJEL | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 44 |
| 2 | Teungueth | 25 | 10 | 13 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 43 |
| 3 | US Goree | 25 | 10 | 12 | 3 | 25:9 | 16 | 42 |
| 4 | Wally Daan | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 23:18 | 5 | 38 |
| 5 | Generation F | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 28:18 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | Ouakam | 25 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 34 |
| 7 | Casa | 25 | 5 | 18 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 33 |
| 8 | Pikine | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 18:14 | 4 | 32 |
| 9 | Jaraaf | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 16:16 | 0 | 32 |
| 10 | Mbour | 25 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 28 |
| 11 | ASC HLM | 25 | 4 | 15 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 27 |
| 12 | Dakar SC | 25 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Guediawaye | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
| 14 | Sonacos | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 16:33 | -17 | 22 |
| 15 | Linguere | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 21 |
| 16 | AS Camberene | 25 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 12:26 | -14 | 19 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation
