Stade Français vs Exeter Chiefs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
27:25
10/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge Cup - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app
worldWorldEPCR Rugby TV

Match Stats

Tries
43
Conversion Goals
12
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
11
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
01
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 17)
  • 14', Brown-Bampoe P. (Try),
  • 15', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 34', Slade H. (Penalty Goal),
  • 40+3', Sio S. (Try),
  • 40+4', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (27 - 8)
  • 45', Sio S. (Try),
  • 51', Melikidze G. (Try),
  • 59', Motassi T. (Try),
  • 60', Barre L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 64', Fisilau G. 🟨,
  • 65', Pearson L. 🟨,
  • 65', (Penalty Try),
  • 68', Laloi C. (Try),
  • 72', Slade H. (Drop Goal),
  • 77', Barre L. (Penalty Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stade Français
49.5%
Draw
4.1%
Exeter Chiefs
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 4.4% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 4.3% 33.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stade Français has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stade Français's form might have worsened.
  • Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Exeter Chiefs's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Français than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stade Français, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter Chiefs than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Exeter Chiefs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stade Français - Exeter Chiefs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.5)
    22.87
    (21)
    2.01
    (2.63)
    8.4%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Stade Français - Exeter Chiefs?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stade Français will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Exeter will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:25.
  • Preview Facts
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Stade Français is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Stade Français will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Stade Français
    Latest results of Exeter Chiefs
    03.01.2026 Bath - Exeter Chiefs 33:26
    20.12.2025 Saracens - Exeter Chiefs 24:30
    14.12.2025 Racing Métro - Exeter Chiefs 31:31
    07.12.2025 Exeter Chiefs - Cheetahs 42:12
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    Group 2
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    Group 3
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    3Exeter Chiefs4211129:7014
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    5Racing 92411282:1528
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