Result
1:0
14/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CAF Champions League - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 4 |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Indonesia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SuperSport OTT 4 |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-africa | SuperSport OTT 4 |
 Thailand | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.34 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (326/404) | 68% (170/249) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (326/404) | 68% (170/249) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (15/49) | 44% (25/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (84/117) | 49% (37/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Oura A. A. ⚽, Mwalimu S. (A),
- 12', Bode A. 🟨,
- 33', Traore N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Traore N. ↓, Sy C. ↑,
- 64', Asamoah G. ↓, Nkeng T. ↑,
- 70', Kante A. ↓, Loemba I. ↑,
- 70', Mpanzu E. ↓, Abraham M. ↑,
- 78', Simpara Z. ↓, Issa H. ↑,
- 84', Mwalimu S. ↓, Sowah J. ↑,
- 85', Diallo M. 🟨,
- 87', Mandjan H. ↓, Coulibaly A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Simba
57.4% | Draw
25.9% | Stade Malien
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Simba's performance.Stade Malien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stade Malien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simba than the current prediction. (-15.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Simba that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (+14.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stade Malien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Simba - Stade Malien Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(2.28) |
3.58 ↑
(3.4) |
5.64 ↑
(2.8) |
6.6%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Simba - Stade Malien?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Simba (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Simba will win
(21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Simba will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Simba (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Stade Malien is Qualified for CAF Champions League (Play Offs )
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Stade Malien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Simba might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Simba won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Simba won against Stade Malien?
Simba has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Malien won against Simba?
Stade Malien has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Simba - Stade Malien were as follows:
30.11.2025
Stade Malien
-
Simba
2:1
Latest results of Stade Malien
CAF Champions League Table
MainGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pyramids | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 16 |
| 2 | Berkane | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Power Dynamos | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 4 | Rivers United | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ahly | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | FAR Rabat | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Young Africans | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Kabylie | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1:8 | -7 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | MC Alger | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | St Eloi Lupopo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Malien | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Petro Atletico | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 6 |
| 4 | Simba | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Play Offs: )
