Result
0:0
03/04/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 28
- Referee: Schmolzer M. (Sui)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (408/475) | 83% (350/420) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (408/475) | 83% (350/420) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 75% (51/68) | 38% (24/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (127/167) | 74% (61/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (22/29) | 61% (19/31) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Escorza T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Bouchlarhem T. 🟨,
- 56', Manquant J. ↓, Borges F. ↑,
- 65', Itaitinga ↓, Samba T. ↑,
- 65', Escorza T. ↓, Caslei B. ↑,
- 70', Diomande B. ↓, Okuka M. ↑,
- 70', Aymon Y. ↓, Alili B. ↑,
- 72', Ricardo Alves 🟨,
- 77', Ricardo Alves ↓, Bua K. ↑,
- 84', Bega L. ↓, Leclercq M. ↑,
- 84', Bah Mendes I. ↓, Edougue S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Étoile Carouge
48.5% | Draw
26.1% | Stade Nyonnais
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Stade Nyonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+0.3%)The ML Model estimate for Stade Nyonnais aligns with the current prediction.
Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.89) |
3.55 ↓
(3.56) |
3.66 ↑
(3.61) |
7.8%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Étoile will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 2.
- Étoile is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Stade Nyonnais has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Étoile is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Étoile: Antonio S.
(Red Card)
Harrington F.
(Injury)
Walker M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Stade Nyonnais: Alili B.
(Inactive)
Edougue S.
(Inactive)
Ghia J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Stade Nyonnais: Parra H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Stade Nyonnais?
Étoile Carouge has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Nyonnais won against Étoile Carouge?
Stade Nyonnais has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais were as follows:
23.01.2026
Stade Nyonnais
-
Étoile Carouge
2:2
07.11.2025
Stade Nyonnais
-
Étoile Carouge
0:0
26.08.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Stade Nyonnais
1:1
31.03.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Stade Nyonnais
2:1
07.03.2025
Stade Nyonnais
-
Étoile Carouge
0:3
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Latest results of Stade Nyonnais
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 61:31 | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | Aarau | 29 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 60:40 | 20 | 65 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 53 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:40 | 6 | 39 |
| 5 | Xamax | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 36 |
| 6 | Wil | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:43 | -12 | 33 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 34:41 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 29 | 10 | 2 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 32 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 28:38 | -10 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 29:60 | -31 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
