Result
2:2
23/01/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 19
- Referee: Sanli H. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (379/458) | 86% (354/414) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (379/458) | 86% (354/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (35/58) | 50% (26/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (57/91) | 75% (79/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 75% (18/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.46 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Simo J. ⚽, Manquant J. (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Itaitinga ⚽, Bua K. (A),
- 35', Soro K. 🟨,
- 43', Sarr I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Caslei B. ↓, Essiena Avang L. ↑,
- 46', Sarr I. ↓, Brandy E. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 2, Itaitinga ⚽, Ricardo Alves (A),
- 57', Felder V. 🟨,
- 59', Okuka M. ↓, Bega L. ↑,
- 59', Borges F. ↓, Stoll R. ↑,
- 63', Bossiwa S. ↓, Correia O. ↑,
- 71', Ngonzo D. ↓, Edougue S. ↑,
- 76', Bua K. 🟨,
- 78', Alili B. ↓, Leclercq M. ↑,
- 84', Sene O. ↓, Escorza T. ↑,
- 84', Itaitinga ↓, Traore B. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 2, Manquant J. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Stade Nyonnais
30.5% | Draw
27.8% | Étoile Carouge
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stade Nyonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Étoile Carouge's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Nyonnais than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Étoile Carouge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stade Nyonnais - Étoile Carouge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.67) |
3.31 ↑
(3) |
2.2 ↓
(2.56) |
8.7%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stade Nyonnais - Étoile Carouge?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Stade Nyonnais will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Étoile will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Étoile (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Nyonnais won 0.
- Stade Nyonnais has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Étoile is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Stade Nyonnais may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Stade Nyonnais: Diomande B.
(Yellow Cards)
Ghia J.
(Injury)
Parra H.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Étoile: Bua K.
(Injury)
El Jaouhari M.
(Yellow Cards)
Harrington F.
(Injury)
Rufli V.
(Injury)
Walker M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Stade Nyonnais: Bega L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Étoile: Bossiwa S.
(Injury)
Sestito L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Stade Nyonnais won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stade Nyonnais won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Nyonnais won against Étoile Carouge?
Stade Nyonnais has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Stade Nyonnais?
Étoile Carouge has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stade Nyonnais - Étoile Carouge were as follows:
07.11.2025
Stade Nyonnais
-
Étoile Carouge
0:0
26.08.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Stade Nyonnais
1:1
31.03.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Stade Nyonnais
2:1
07.03.2025
Stade Nyonnais
-
Étoile Carouge
0:3
04.10.2024
Étoile Carouge
-
Stade Nyonnais
3:1
Latest results of Stade Nyonnais
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 52:25 | 27 | 55 |
| 2 | Aarau | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 43:30 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 45:30 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 35 |
| 5 | Xamax | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:34 | -1 | 31 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 23 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Wil | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 8 | Stade Nyonnais | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20:41 | -21 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
