Result
1:1
26/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 5
- Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (425/501) | 85% (286/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (425/501) | 85% (286/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (30/58) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (85/112) | 66% (59/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 75% (18/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Sene O. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Rufli V. ⚽, Maouche Y. (A),
- 44', Okuka M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Okuka M. ↓, Simo J. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Bega L. ⚽,
- 59', Alili B. ↓, Perchaud T. ↑,
- 61', Walker M. ↓, Boulkous N. ↑,
- 67', Rufli V. 🟨,
- 75', Correia R. 🟨,
- 78', Rodriguez P. ↓, Leclercq M. ↑,
- 78', Ghia J. ↓, Stoll R. ↑,
- 78', Maouche Y. ↓, Bossiwa S. ↑,
- 89', Essiena Avang L. ↓, Koroma C. ↑,
- 89', Sene O. ↓, Sestito L. ↑,
- 90', Manquant J. ↓, Grognuz N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Étoile Carouge
51.8% | Draw
24.4% | Stade Nyonnais
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Étoile Carouge's form might have worsened.Stade Nyonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Étoile Carouge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Nyonnais than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.56) |
3.81 ↓
(4.28) |
3.92 ↓
(4.79) |
7.6%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Étoile will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Stade Nyonnais will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stade Nyonnais (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 5.
- Étoile has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Stade Nyonnais has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Stade Nyonnais may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Étoile has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Étoile is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Étoile: Harrington F.
(Inactive)
Hysenaj F.
(Injury)
Traore B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Stade Nyonnais: Diomande B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Étoile: Itaitinga
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Stade Nyonnais?
Étoile Carouge has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Nyonnais won against Étoile Carouge?
Stade Nyonnais has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais were as follows:
31.03.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Stade Nyonnais
2:1
07.03.2025
Stade Nyonnais
-
Étoile Carouge
0:3
04.10.2024
Étoile Carouge
-
Stade Nyonnais
3:1
20.09.2024
Stade Nyonnais
-
Étoile Carouge
2:4
13.05.2023
Étoile Carouge
-
Stade Nyonnais
1:0
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Latest results of Stade Nyonnais
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarau | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Vaduz | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 14 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Xamax | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Stade Nyonnais | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 | Lausanne Ouchy | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 8 | Wil | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:17 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
