Result
1:1
04/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 27
- Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (351/440) | 85% (432/508) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (1/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (351/440) | 85% (432/508) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (28/68) | 56% (25/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (95/125) | 66% (84/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.89 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 38 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Wolsztynski L. ⚽, Cavaleiro I. (A),
- 37', Minchev M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bzdyl F. ↓, Biedrzycki B. ↑,
- 46', Olafsson D. ↓, Al Ammari A. ↑,
- 49', Dadok R. 🟨,
- 51', Minchev M. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
- 53', Henriksson G. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Kallman B. ⚽,
- 60', Gerbowski F. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
- 71', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Beauguel J. ↑,
- 82', Dadok R. ↓, Jaunzems A. ↑,
- 82', Domanski M. ↓, Bukowski A. ↑,
- 82', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Kadzior D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stal Mielec
38.3% | Draw
27.7% | Cracovia
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Stal Mielec - Cracovia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45
(2.45) |
3.38 ↑
(3.31) |
2.77 ↓
(2.8) |
6.5%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Cracovia?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Cracovia will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 6).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 1.
- Stal Mielec has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Cracovia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:17 (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Stal Mielec won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Cracovia?
Stal Mielec has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Stal Mielec?
Cracovia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Cracovia were as follows:
30.09.2024
Cracovia
-
Stal Mielec
1:1
09.12.2023
Cracovia
-
Stal Mielec
2:2
22.07.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Cracovia
2:2
17.02.2023
Cracovia
-
Stal Mielec
2:1
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Latest results of Cracovia
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Legia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Radomiak Radom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Widzew Lodz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Termalica B-B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Cracovia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Gornik Zabrze | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Arka Gdynia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Rakow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
