Stal Mielec vs Cracovia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu (Mielec).

Ekstraklasa - Round 27
Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.58	1.83
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
10	19
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
80% (351/440)	85% (432/508)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58	1.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.99	1.00
Total shots
10	19
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
4	10
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
7	13
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
19	29
Through passes
50% (1/2)	100% (1/1)
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
11	8
Passes
80% (351/440)	85% (432/508)
Long passes
41% (28/68)	56% (25/45)
Passes in final third
76% (95/125)	66% (84/127)
Crosses
19% (4/21)	33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.99	0.89
Fouls
8	11
Tackles
67% (6/9)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
37	38
Clearances Total
22	21
Interceptions
11	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.00	0.99
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Wolsztynski L. ⚽, Cavaleiro I. (A),
37', Minchev M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bzdyl F. ↓, Biedrzycki B. ↑,
46', Olafsson D. ↓, Al Ammari A. ↑,
49', Dadok R. 🟨,
51', Minchev M. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
53', Henriksson G. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Kallman B. ⚽,
60', Gerbowski F. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
71', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Beauguel J. ↑,
82', Dadok R. ↓, Jaunzems A. ↑,
82', Domanski M. ↓, Bukowski A. ↑,
82', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Kadzior D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Stal Mielec
38.3%

Draw
27.7%

Cracovia
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.3%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28.9%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Stal Mielec - Cracovia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 (2.45)	3.38 ↑ (3.31)	2.77 ↓ (2.8)	6.5% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Cracovia?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Cracovia will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 19.1% – 73.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stal Mielec (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cracovia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 6).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 1.
Stal Mielec has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Cracovia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K. (Knee Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:17 (average 1.3:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Stal Mielec won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Cracovia?

Stal Mielec has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cracovia won against Stal Mielec?

Cracovia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Cracovia were as follows:

30.09.2024 Cracovia - Stal Mielec 1:1

09.12.2023 Cracovia - Stal Mielec 2:2

22.07.2023 Stal Mielec - Cracovia 2:2

17.02.2023 Cracovia - Stal Mielec 2:1

Latest results of Stal Mielec

30.03.2025 Motor Lublin - Stal Mielec 4:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław 1:4 ✺

08.03.2025 Lech Poznań - Stal Mielec 3:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Stal Mielec - Korona Kielce 0:1 ✺

21.02.2025 Piast Gliwice - Stal Mielec 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Cracovia

29.03.2025 Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice 3:1 ✺

14.03.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia 5:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Cracovia - Radomiak Radom 1:2 ✺

28.02.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Cracovia 0:1 ✺

23.02.2025 Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:2 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	27	12	9	6	46:37	9	45
2	Jagiellonia	27	11	9	7	43:34	9	42
3	Gornik Zabrze	27	12	6	9	39:32	7	42
4	Zaglebie	27	11	8	8	41:33	8	41
5	Wisla Plock	27	10	9	8	28:26	2	39
6	Rakow	27	11	6	10	36:34	2	39
7	GKS Katowice	27	12	3	12	36:35	1	39
8	Motor Lublin	27	9	11	7	36:39	-3	38
9	Lechia Gdansk	27	12	6	9	55:50	5	37
10	Korona Kielce	27	10	6	11	35:33	2	36
11	Cracovia	27	9	9	9	31:31	0	36
12	Piast Gliwice	27	10	5	12	34:36	-2	35
13	Radomiak Radom	27	8	10	9	43:41	2	34
14	Pogon Szczecin	27	10	4	13	36:42	-6	34
15	Legia	27	7	12	8	32:31	1	33
16	Arka Gdynia	27	9	6	12	28:45	-17	33
17	Widzew Lodz	27	8	6	13	32:35	-3	30
18	Termalica B-B	27	6	7	14	33:50	-17	25

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1