Stal Mielec vs Cracovia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa
Result
1:1
04/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 27
  • Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.83
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
80% (351/440)85% (432/508)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.991.00
Total shots
1019
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
713
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1929
Through passes
50% (1/2)100% (1/1)
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
118
Passes
80% (351/440)85% (432/508)
Long passes
41% (28/68)56% (25/45)
Passes in final third
76% (95/125)66% (84/127)
Crosses
19% (4/21)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.990.89
Fouls
811
Tackles
67% (6/9)62% (8/13)
Duels won
3738
Clearances Total
2221
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.000.99
Goals prevented
0.00-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Wolsztynski L. ⚽, Cavaleiro I. (A),
  • 37', Minchev M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bzdyl F. ↓, Biedrzycki B. ↑,
  • 46', Olafsson D. ↓, Al Ammari A. ↑,
  • 49', Dadok R. 🟨,
  • 51', Minchev M. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
  • 53', Henriksson G. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Kallman B. ⚽,
  • 60', Gerbowski F. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
  • 71', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Beauguel J. ↑,
  • 82', Dadok R. ↓, Jaunzems A. ↑,
  • 82', Domanski M. ↓, Bukowski A. ↑,
  • 82', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Kadzior D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
38.3%		Draw
27.7%		Cracovia
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 28.3% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 28.9% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
    •

    Stal Mielec - Cracovia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.45
    (2.45)    		 3.38 ↑
    (3.31)    		 2.77 ↓
    (2.8)    		 6.5%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Cracovia?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Cracovia will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Mielec: 19.1% – 73.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cracovia will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 1.
    • Stal Mielec has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Cracovia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Stal Mielec won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:17 (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stal Mielec won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Cracovia were as follows:
    30.09.2024 Cracovia - Stal Mielec 1:1
    09.12.2023 Cracovia - Stal Mielec 2:2
    22.07.2023 Stal Mielec - Cracovia 2:2
    17.02.2023 Cracovia - Stal Mielec 2:1
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    30.03.2025 Motor Lublin - Stal Mielec 4:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Stal Mielec - Śląsk Wrocław 1:4 ✺
    08.03.2025 Lech Poznań - Stal Mielec 3:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Stal Mielec - Korona Kielce 0:1 ✺
    21.02.2025 Piast Gliwice - Stal Mielec 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Cracovia
    29.03.2025 Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice 3:1 ✺
    14.03.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia 5:2 ✺
    08.03.2025 Cracovia - Radomiak Radom 1:2 ✺
    28.02.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Cracovia 0:1 ✺
    23.02.2025 Cracovia - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:2 ✺
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan301410655:411452
    2Gornik Zabrze30147943:34949
    3Jagiellonia301210848:371146
    4Rakow301371043:37646
    5Wisla Plock30129932:28445
    6GKS Katowice301351243:41244
    7Zaglebie301281043:36744
    8Radomiak Radom3010101046:43340
    9Motor Lublin30912939:45-639
    10Piast Gliwice301161339:40-139
    11Lechia Gdansk301271157:54338
    12Korona Kielce301081237:36138
    13Cracovia309111035:38-338
    14Pogon Szczecin301151440:45-538
    15Legia30813934:36-237
    16Widzew Lodz301061436:37-136
    17Arka Gdynia30971431:54-2334
    18Termalica B-B30771636:55-1928

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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