Widzew Łódź vs Stal Mielec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/12/2024 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 18
  • Referee: Jarzebak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.62
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
1316
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
67
Blocked Shots
35
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
610
Shots inside the Box
911
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Free Kicks
109
Offsides
00
Fouls
910
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
1517
Touches in the Opposition Box
2123
Passes
81% (330/406)80% (331/412)
Passes in the final third
68% (82/120)72% (71/99)
Crosses
25% (5/20)35% (9/26)
Tackles
62% (8/13)57% (4/7)
Clearances Total
2819
Interceptions
59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Cybulski K. ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Wlazlo P. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', Kerk S. , Hanousek Mar. ,
  • 67', Cybulski K. , Lukowski J. ,
  • 72', Guillaumier M. 🟨,
  • 79', Esselink B. , Matras M. ,
  • 79', Dadok R. , Tkacz D. ,
  • 80', Shehu J. 🟨,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Rondic I. , Silva L. (A),
  • 86', Domanski M. , Wolsztynski L. ,
  • 89', Sypek J. , Sobol H. ,
  • 89', Alvarez F. , Ibiza ,
  • 90', Jaunzems A. , Gerbowski F. ,
  • 90', Krykun S. , Assayag R. ,
  • 90+1', Matras M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Widzew Łódź
44.9%
Draw
26.6%
Stal Mielec
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 25.8% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 26.2% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Widzew Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Widzew Łódź - Stal Mielec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.95)
    3.51
    (3.62)
    3.28
    (3.58)
    6.6%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Widzew Łódź - Stal Mielec?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Widzew will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Stal Mielec will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Widzew: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Widzew won 2.
    • Widzew is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Stal Mielec is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Widzew could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Widzew will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Widzew: Pawlowski B. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Widzew: Hamulic S. (Knee Injury) Ibiza (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Widzew won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Widzew won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Widzew Łódź - Stal Mielec were as follows:
    22.07.2024 Stal Mielec - Widzew Łódź 1:1
    13.04.2024 Stal Mielec - Widzew Łódź 0:0
    06.12.2023 Stal Mielec - Widzew Łódź 1:2
    07.10.2023 Widzew Łódź - Stal Mielec 1:0
    08.04.2023 Widzew Łódź - Stal Mielec 0:2
    Latest results of Widzew Łódź
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan301410655:411452
    2Gornik Zabrze30147943:34949
    3Jagiellonia301210848:371146
    4Rakow301371043:37646
    5Wisla Plock30129932:28445
    6GKS Katowice301351243:41244
    7Zaglebie301281043:36744
    8Radomiak Radom3010101046:43340
    9Motor Lublin30912939:45-639
    10Piast Gliwice301161339:40-139
    11Lechia Gdansk301271157:54338
    12Korona Kielce301081237:36138
    13Cracovia309111035:38-338
    14Pogon Szczecin301151440:45-538
    15Legia30813934:36-237
    16Widzew Lodz301061436:37-136
    17Arka Gdynia30971431:54-2334
    18Termalica B-B30771636:55-1928

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