Result
75:82
13/04/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Basket Liga - Round 26
- Referee: Gawron M. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Poland | Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Extra 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 58 | 66 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 41.38% | 51.52% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 37 | 48 |
| 2-point field goals made |
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| 20 | 30 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 54.05% | 62.5% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 19.05% | 22.22% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 36 | 16 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 63.9% | 62.5% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 42 | 32 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
Chances of winning
Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski 52.1% | Zielona Góra 47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Zielona Góra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↑ (1.75) |
|
1.95 ↑ (1.91) |
7.5% (9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 164.75
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
What is the prediction for Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Zielona Góra?
Users Predictions:
Zielona Góra will win
(16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zielona Góra will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 83:83.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Ostrów won 3.
- Stal Ostrów is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Zielona Góra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Stal Ostrów may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Zielona Góra has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- We predict that Stal Ostrów will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stal Ostrów won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1821:1707. (average 91.1:85.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stal Ostrów won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 940:790. (average 94:79).
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski won against Zielona Góra?
Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zielona Góra won against Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski?
Zielona Góra has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Zielona Góra were as follows:
13.12.2025
Zielona Góra
-
Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
98:84
07.05.2025
Zielona Góra
-
Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
92:87
17.01.2025
Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
-
Zielona Góra
84:70
27.04.2024
Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
-
Zielona Góra
126:60
29.12.2023
Zielona Góra
-
Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
87:92
Latest results of Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
Latest results of Zielona Góra
Polish Basket Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Szczecin | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2366:2306 | 48 |
| 2 | Legia | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2425:2232 | 48 |
| 3 | Trefl Sopot | 28 | 18 | 10 | 2473:2354 | 46 |
| 4 | Slask Wroclaw | 28 | 18 | 10 | 2519:2395 | 46 |
| 5 | Dziki Warszawa | 28 | 17 | 11 | 2562:2371 | 45 |
| 6 | Gdynia | 28 | 17 | 11 | 2383:2290 | 45 |
| 7 | Anwil Wloclawek | 28 | 16 | 12 | 2486:2380 | 44 |
| 8 | Zielona Gora | 28 | 15 | 13 | 2357:2272 | 43 |
| 9 | Dabrowa Gornicza | 28 | 15 | 13 | 2461:2410 | 43 |
| 10 | Gornik Walbrzych | 28 | 15 | 13 | 2300:2339 | 43 |
| 11 | Ostrow Wielkopolski | 28 | 15 | 13 | 2313:2362 | 43 |
| 12 | Torun | 28 | 11 | 17 | 2453:2523 | 39 |
| 13 | Lublin | 28 | 10 | 18 | 2309:2511 | 38 |
| 14 | Czarni Slupsk | 28 | 8 | 20 | 2304:2442 | 36 |
| 15 | GTK Gliwice | 28 | 5 | 23 | 2223:2497 | 33 |
| 16 | Krosno | 28 | 4 | 24 | 2298:2548 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Basket Liga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Basket Liga (Play~in: )
Relegation ~ 1. Liga