Result
2:3
03/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 31
- Referee: Rozycki A. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 11', 1 - 0, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
- 19', Hoxhallari E. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 1, Zaucha P. ⚽, Ibe-Torti K. (A),
- 25', Poczobut B. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 2, Oko D. ⚽, Mehremic A. (A),
- 30', Predenkiewicz M. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 3, Ibe-Torti K. ⚽, Zaucha P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hoxhallari E. ↓, Olszewski P. ↑,
- 62', Wojtkowski K. 🟨,
- 63', 🟨,
- 67', Wojtkowski K. ↓, Thiago ↑,
- 70', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Vasin N. ↑,
- 78', Koton K. ↓, Bajdur M. ↑,
- 78', Predenkiewicz M. ↓, Grudniewski M. ↑,
- 80', Svec J. ↓, Mydlarz M. ↑,
- 80', Ibe-Torti K. ↓, Bida B. ↑,
- 90+3', Mehremic A. 🟥,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
- 90+4', Strozik S. ↓, Gvozdenovic B. ↑,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Polonia Warsaw
52.7% | Draw
25% | Stal Stalowa Wola
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.77) |
3.7 ↓
(3.91) |
4.1 ↑
(4.08) |
8.3%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola?
Users Predictions:
Polonia Warsaw will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Polonia Warsaw will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
- Polonia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Stal Stalowa Wola is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Stal Stalowa Wola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Polonia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Polonia Warsaw won against Stal Stalowa Wola?
Polonia Warsaw has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Stalowa Wola won against Polonia Warsaw?
Stal Stalowa Wola has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola were as follows:
27.10.2024
Stal Stalowa Wola
-
Polonia Warsaw
1:1
Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
Latest results of Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 57:24 | 33 | 52 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:39 | 10 | 43 |
| 3 | Grodzisk M | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 44:35 | 9 | 42 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Wieczysta Krakow | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 51:35 | 16 | 40 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:36 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Ruch Chorzow | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 38:34 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Legnica | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 43:43 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | LKS Lodz | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 36:36 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 37:39 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Polonia Bytom | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 35 |
| 12 | Puszcza | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Pruszkow | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26:49 | -23 | 20 |
| 17 | Leczna | 25 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 27:46 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Tychy | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
