Polonia Warsaw vs Stal Stalowa Wola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
03/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 31
  • Referee: Rozycki A. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
65
Corner Kicks
43
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
2220
Fouls
1216
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
  • 19', Hoxhallari E. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Zaucha P. , Ibe-Torti K. (A),
  • 25', Poczobut B. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 2, Oko D. , Mehremic A. (A),
  • 30', Predenkiewicz M. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 3, Ibe-Torti K. , Zaucha P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hoxhallari E. , Olszewski P. ,
  • 62', Wojtkowski K. 🟨,
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 67', Wojtkowski K. , Thiago ,
  • 70', Wojciechowski O. , Vasin N. ,
  • 78', Koton K. , Bajdur M. ,
  • 78', Predenkiewicz M. , Grudniewski M. ,
  • 80', Svec J. , Mydlarz M. ,
  • 80', Ibe-Torti K. , Bida B. ,
  • 90+3', Mehremic A. 🟥,
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Strozik S. , Gvozdenovic B. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Polonia Warsaw
52.7%
Draw
25%
Stal Stalowa Wola
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 24% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 23.1% 22.2%

Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.76
(1.77)
3.7
(3.91)
4.1
(4.08)
8.3%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola?
  • Users Predictions: Polonia Warsaw will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Polonia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Polonia is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola - Polonia Warsaw 1:1
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Latest results of Stal Stalowa Wola
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla19134248:153343
    2Polonia Bytom19104533:211234
    3Grodzisk M1996437:271033
    4Chrobry Glogow1994626:18831
    5S. Rzeszow1994630:29131
    6KS Wieczysta Krakow1986540:291130
    7Slask Wroclaw1986534:31330
    8Ruch Chorzow1986529:26330
    9Polonia Warszawa1986529:27230
    10Legnica1993735:36-130
    11LKS Lodz1975728:29-126
    12Pogon Siedlce1957721:21022
    13Odra Opole1957719:23-422
    14Puszcza19310620:24-419
    15Pruszkow19521221:41-2017
    16Tychy19341225:43-1813
    17Stal Mielec19341221:40-1913
    18Leczna19181022:38-1611

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2