Polonia Warsaw vs Stal Stalowa Wola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola
Result
2:3
03/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 31
  • Referee: Rozycki A. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
65
Corner Kicks
43
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
2220
Fouls
1216
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
  • 19', Hoxhallari E. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Zaucha P. , Ibe-Torti K. (A),
  • 25', Poczobut B. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 2, Oko D. , Mehremic A. (A),
  • 30', Predenkiewicz M. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 3, Ibe-Torti K. , Zaucha P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hoxhallari E. , Olszewski P. ,
  • 62', Wojtkowski K. 🟨,
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 67', Wojtkowski K. , Thiago ,
  • 70', Wojciechowski O. , Vasin N. ,
  • 78', Koton K. , Bajdur M. ,
  • 78', Predenkiewicz M. , Grudniewski M. ,
  • 80', Svec J. , Mydlarz M. ,
  • 80', Ibe-Torti K. , Bida B. ,
  • 90+3', Mehremic A. 🟥,
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Strozik S. , Gvozdenovic B. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Polonia Warsaw
52.7%
Draw
25%
Stal Stalowa Wola
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 24% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 23.1% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.77)
    3.7
    (3.91)
    4.1
    (4.08)
    8.3%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola?
  • Users Predictions: Polonia Warsaw will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Polonia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Polonia is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola - Polonia Warsaw 1:1
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Latest results of Stal Stalowa Wola
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla11004:043
    2Polonia Bytom11003:033
    3Chrobry Glogow11003:033
    4Tychy11004:313
    5Grodzisk M11002:113
    6LKS Lodz11001:013
    7Slask Wroclaw10101:101
    8Ruch Chorzow10101:101
    9Polonia Warszawa10101:101
    10Puszcza10101:101
    11Pogon Siedlce10101:101
    12KS Wieczysta Krakow10101:101
    13Legnica10013:4-10
    14S. Rzeszow10011:2-10
    15Pruszkow10010:1-10
    16Odra Opole10010:3-30
    17Leczna10010:3-30
    18Stal Mielec10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2