Polonia Warsaw vs Stal Stalowa Wola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola
Result
2:3
03/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 31
  • Referee: Rozycki A. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
65
Corner Kicks
43
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
2220
Fouls
1216
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
  • 19', Hoxhallari E. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Zaucha P. , Ibe-Torti K. (A),
  • 25', Poczobut B. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 2, Oko D. , Mehremic A. (A),
  • 30', Predenkiewicz M. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 3, Ibe-Torti K. , Zaucha P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hoxhallari E. , Olszewski P. ,
  • 62', Wojtkowski K. 🟨,
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 67', Wojtkowski K. , Thiago ,
  • 70', Wojciechowski O. , Vasin N. ,
  • 78', Koton K. , Bajdur M. ,
  • 78', Predenkiewicz M. , Grudniewski M. ,
  • 80', Svec J. , Mydlarz M. ,
  • 80', Ibe-Torti K. , Bida B. ,
  • 90+3', Mehremic A. 🟥,
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Strozik S. , Gvozdenovic B. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Polonia Warsaw
52.7%
Draw
25%
Stal Stalowa Wola
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 24% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 23.1% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.77)
    3.7
    (3.91)
    4.1
    (4.08)
    8.3%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola?
  • Users Predictions: Polonia Warsaw will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Polonia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Polonia is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola - Polonia Warsaw 1:1
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Latest results of Stal Stalowa Wola
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla971132:102222
    2Slask Wroclaw1062218:15320
    3Polonia Bytom1061318:12619
    4KS Wieczysta Krakow953120:91118
    5Ruch Chorzow1044215:12316
    6Grodzisk M1043320:16415
    7S. Rzeszow1042415:15014
    8Chrobry Glogow1034314:12213
    9Polonia Warszawa1034316:17-113
    10Odra Opole1034310:13-313
    11Pogon Siedlce1033411:10112
    12LKS Lodz1033414:14012
    13Tychy1032515:20-511
    14Legnica1032514:22-811
    15Stal Mielec1032513:21-811
    16Puszcza101639:12-39
    17Leczna1006413:22-96
    18Pruszkow1020812:27-156

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2