Polonia Warsaw vs Stal Stalowa Wola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola
Result
2:3
03/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 31
  • Referee: Rozycki A. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
65
Corner Kicks
43
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
2220
Fouls
1216
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
  • 19', Hoxhallari E. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Zaucha P. , Ibe-Torti K. (A),
  • 25', Poczobut B. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 2, Oko D. , Mehremic A. (A),
  • 30', Predenkiewicz M. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 3, Ibe-Torti K. , Zaucha P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hoxhallari E. , Olszewski P. ,
  • 62', Wojtkowski K. 🟨,
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 67', Wojtkowski K. , Thiago ,
  • 70', Wojciechowski O. , Vasin N. ,
  • 78', Koton K. , Bajdur M. ,
  • 78', Predenkiewicz M. , Grudniewski M. ,
  • 80', Svec J. , Mydlarz M. ,
  • 80', Ibe-Torti K. , Bida B. ,
  • 90+3', Mehremic A. 🟥,
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Strozik S. , Gvozdenovic B. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Polonia Warsaw
52.7%
Draw
25%
Stal Stalowa Wola
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 24% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 23.1% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.77)
    3.7
    (3.91)
    4.1
    (4.08)
    8.3%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola?
  • Users Predictions: Polonia Warsaw will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Polonia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Polonia is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola - Polonia Warsaw 1:1
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Latest results of Stal Stalowa Wola
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla440016:51112
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow43108:2610
    3Polonia Warszawa42119:547
    4Grodzisk M42119:547
    5Slask Wroclaw42118:537
    6Chrobry Glogow42117:437
    7Tychy42119:817
    8S. Rzeszow42116:517
    9Odra Opole42113:4-17
    10LKS Lodz42027:706
    11Polonia Bytom42024:6-26
    12Pogon Siedlce41124:404
    13Ruch Chorzow41124:7-34
    14Stal Mielec41127:12-54
    15Puszcza40314:5-13
    16Leczna40224:8-42
    17Legnica40045:13-80
    18Pruszkow40045:14-90

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2