Polonia Warsaw vs Stal Stalowa Wola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
03/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 31
  • Referee: Rozycki A. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
65
Corner Kicks
43
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
2220
Fouls
1216
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
  • 19', Hoxhallari E. 🟨,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Zaucha P. , Ibe-Torti K. (A),
  • 25', Poczobut B. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 2, Oko D. , Mehremic A. (A),
  • 30', Predenkiewicz M. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 3, Ibe-Torti K. , Zaucha P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hoxhallari E. , Olszewski P. ,
  • 62', Wojtkowski K. 🟨,
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 67', Wojtkowski K. , Thiago ,
  • 70', Wojciechowski O. , Vasin N. ,
  • 78', Koton K. , Bajdur M. ,
  • 78', Predenkiewicz M. , Grudniewski M. ,
  • 80', Svec J. , Mydlarz M. ,
  • 80', Ibe-Torti K. , Bida B. ,
  • 90+3', Mehremic A. 🟥,
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Strozik S. , Gvozdenovic B. ,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Polonia Warsaw
52.7%
Draw
25%
Stal Stalowa Wola
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 24% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 23.1% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.77)
    3.7
    (3.91)
    4.1
    (4.08)
    8.3%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola?
  • Users Predictions: Polonia Warsaw will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Polonia Warsaw will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Polonia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Polonia is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Stal Stalowa Wola were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola - Polonia Warsaw 1:1
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Latest results of Stal Stalowa Wola
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla311711367:323562
    2Slask Wroclaw31169664:442057
    3Wieczysta Krakow31158864:442053
    4Chrobry Glogow311561044:311351
    5LKS Lodz30138948:42647
    6Ruch Chorzow311211846:42447
    7Polonia Warszawa311381048:46247
    8Legnica311371148:50-246
    9Puszcza311112842:37545
    10Polonia Bytom311281150:42844
    11Grodzisk M301110948:48043
    12S. Rzeszow311161443:51-839
    13Odra Opole319111128:37-938
    14Pogon Siedlce31991331:36-536
    15Stal Mielec31851843:59-1629
    16Leczna315121437:55-1827
    17Pruszkow31671834:59-2525
    18Tychy31562037:67-3021

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2