Zagłębie Sosnowiec vs Stal Stalowa Wola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 30

Chances of winning


Zagłębie Sosnowiec
34.8%
Draw
26.9%
Stal Stalowa Wola
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 27.5% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 27.7% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Sosnowiec's form might have worsened.
  • Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Stalowa Wola's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zagłębie Sosnowiec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Stalowa Wola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stal Stalowa Wola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.12)
    3.36
    (3.15)
    2.35
    (2.75)
    10.8%
    (15.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stal Stalowa Wola?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Stal Stalowa Wola will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Stalowa Wola (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
    • Zagłębie Sosnowiec has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Stal Stalowa Wola may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Zagłębie Sosnowiec won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stal Stalowa Wola were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Stal Stalowa Wola - Zagłębie Sosnowiec 2:0
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skierniewice29185658:382059
    2Warta Poznan291510450:331755
    3Ol. Grudziadz29158659:372253
    4Podhale Nowy Targ291212540:281248
    5Sandecja Nowy S291211647:351247
    6Podbeskidzie291361053:411245
    7Slask Wroclaw II291271050:42843
    8Chojniczanka29119946:39742
    9Swit Szczecin291171146:51-540
    10R. Rzeszow291091042:39339
    11Hutnik Krakow291091042:36639
    12Bielsko-Biala299101040:44-437
    13S. Wola29714847:41635
    14Kleczew29971343:48-534
    15Zaglebie Sosnowiec29861533:55-2230
    16KKS Kalisz296101332:46-1428
    17LKS Lodz II29591529:53-2424
    18GKS Jastrzebie ✔ 29072218:69-516

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    GKS Jastrzebie is Relegated to