Result
0:1
12/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 18
- Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (238/328) | 73% (270/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (238/328) | 73% (270/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/61) | 37% (26/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (50/93) | 53% (58/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 52% (12/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mohr T. ↓, Calut A. ↑,
- 51', Abid A. 🟨,
- 57', Eckert Ayensa D. ↓, Henry T. ↑,
- 63', Nyakossi R. ↓, Ominami T. ↑,
- 68', Ikwuemesi C. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 1, Kaba S. ⚽,
- 77', Homawoo J. ↓, Kuavita L. ↑,
- 79', Maziz Y. ↓, George W. ↑,
- 80', Gil O. ↓, Opoku D. ↑,
- 83', Calut A. 🟨,
- 83', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↓, Mitongo R. ↑,
- 90+5', George W. 🟨,
- 90+9', Leysen T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Standard Liège
41.2% | Draw
30.9% | Oud-Heverlee Leuven
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.38) |
3.06 ↓
(3.17) |
3.39 ↑
(3.11) |
5.8%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Leuven will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Standard: 61.5% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Standard (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Leuven (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 0.
- Standard has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Leuven has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Standard has had a series of away games.
- Standard could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Standard: Bates D.
(Knee Injury)
Bolingoli B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Dierckx D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Fossey M.
(Muscle Injury)
Ilaimaharitra M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Leuven: Kayo B.
(Knock)
Vlietinck T.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Leuven: Schrijvers S.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Standard won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Standard won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Standard Liège has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Standard Liège?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven were as follows:
31.08.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Standard Liège
1:0
26.04.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Standard Liège
1:1
22.04.2025
Standard Liège
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0:1
07.12.2024
Standard Liège
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
31.08.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Standard Liège
2:0
Latest results of Standard Liège
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
