Standard Liège vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Maurice Dufrasnestadion (Liège).

Jupiler Pro League - Round 18
Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.65	1.52
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
9	18
Shots on target
3	9
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
73% (238/328)	73% (270/370)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65	1.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.29	1.87
Total shots
9	18
Shots on target
3	9
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
1	11
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
22	14
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
14	13
Passes
73% (238/328)	73% (270/370)
Long passes
44% (27/61)	37% (26/71)
Passes in final third
54% (50/93)	53% (58/109)
Crosses
31% (5/16)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	0.73
Throw-ins
29	26
Fouls
13	14
Tackles
87% (13/15)	52% (12/23)
Duels won
65	57
Clearances
30	31
Interceptions
4	4
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
8	3
xGOT faced
1.87	0.29
Goals prevented
0.87	0.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mohr T. ↓, Calut A. ↑,
51', Abid A. 🟨,
57', Eckert Ayensa D. ↓, Henry T. ↑,
63', Nyakossi R. ↓, Ominami T. ↑,
68', Ikwuemesi C. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Kaba S. ⚽,
77', Homawoo J. ↓, Kuavita L. ↑,
79', Maziz Y. ↓, George W. ↑,
80', Gil O. ↓, Opoku D. ↑,
83', Calut A. 🟨,
83', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↓, Mitongo R. ↑,
90+5', George W. 🟨,
90+9', Leysen T. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Standard Liège
41.2%

Draw
30.9%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

29.8%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

29.7%

30.2%

Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.38)	3.06 ↓ (3.17)	3.39 ↑ (3.11)	5.8% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Standard will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Leuven will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Standard: 61.5% – 95.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Standard (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Leuven (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 0.
Standard has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Leuven has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Standard has had a series of away games.
Standard could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Standard: Bates D. (Knee Injury) Bolingoli B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Dierckx D. (Shoulder Injury) Fossey M. (Muscle Injury) Ilaimaharitra M. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Leuven: Kayo B. (Knock) Vlietinck T. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Leuven: Schrijvers S. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Standard won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Standard won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

Standard Liège has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Standard Liège?

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven were as follows:

31.08.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège 1:0

26.04.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège 1:1

22.04.2025 Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:1

07.12.2024 Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1

31.08.2024 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège 2:0

Latest results of Standard Liège

06.12.2025 Cercle Brugge - Standard Liège 1:2 ✺

02.12.2025 Dender EH - Standard Liège 3:2 ✺

28.11.2025 KV Mechelen - Standard Liège 0:1 ✺

21.11.2025 Standard Liège - Zulte Waregem 0:0 ✺

09.11.2025 Sint-Truidense - Standard Liège 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven

07.12.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Zulte Waregem 1:1 ✺

03.12.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Club Brugge 1:2 ✺

30.11.2025 Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:1 ✺

23.11.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense 1:2 ✺

08.11.2025 Cercle Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:2 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Royale Union SG	23	14	7	2	38:12	26	49
2	St. Truiden	23	14	3	6	33:26	7	45
3	Club Brugge KV	23	14	2	7	42:29	13	44
4	Anderlecht	23	10	6	7	30:28	2	36
5	Gent	23	9	6	8	37:32	5	33
6	Charleroi	23	9	6	8	29:26	3	33
7	KV Mechelen	23	8	9	6	28:26	2	33
8	St. Liege	23	9	3	11	20:29	-9	30
9	Antwerp	23	8	6	9	28:24	4	30
10	Genk	23	7	8	8	31:35	-4	29
11	Westerlo	23	7	7	9	30:33	-3	28
12	Waregem	23	6	8	9	31:35	-4	26
13	RAAL La Louviere	23	5	9	9	20:26	-6	24
14	Leuven	23	5	7	11	21:32	-11	22
15	Cercle Brugge KSV	23	4	9	10	28:35	-7	21
16	Dender	23	3	8	12	18:36	-18	17

      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
      Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )