Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Standard Liège: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Den Dreef (Heverlee).

: Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 6

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.49	1.15
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
80% (348/433)	78% (265/341)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49	1.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.77	0.38
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
7	7
Blocked Shots
4	3
Shots inside the Box
9	9
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	2
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
21	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
16	8
Passes
80% (348/433)	78% (265/341)
Long passes
44% (27/62)	53% (30/57)
Passes in final third
59% (58/98)	71% (76/107)
Crosses
20% (3/15)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.40	0.67
Throw-ins
18	25
Fouls
8	16
Tackles
68% (15/22)	81% (13/16)
Duels won
56	38
Clearances
18	27
Interceptions
14	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.38	1.77
Goals prevented
-0.62	0.77

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Schrijvers S. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Amani L. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
46', Sutalo B. ↓, Lawrence H. ↑,
50', Bolingoli B. 🟨,
60', Bolingoli B. ↓, Kuavita L. ↑,
62', Banzuzi E. 🟨,
65', Ohata A. ↓, George W. ↑,
65', Maziz Y. ↓, Balikwisha W. ↑,
65', Banzuzi E. ↓, Osifo M. ↑,
74', Verlinden T. ↓, Mitrovic S. ↑,
74', Ikwuemesi C. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
77', Alexandropoulos S. ↓, Calut A. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Hountondji A. ⚽,
88', Hountondji A. ↓, Gboua Y. ↑,
90', George W. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
44%

Draw
28.5%

Standard Liège
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.25)	3.34 ↑ (3.28)	3.5 ↑ (3.29)	4.9% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège?

Users Predictions: Oud-Heverlee Leuven will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Oud-Heverlee Leuven will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leuven won 3.
Recent matches Leuven is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Standard is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Leuven will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Leuven: Maertens M. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Standard: Bazunu G. (Injury)
There are questionable in Leuven: Akimoto T. (Thigh Injury) Mijatovic J. (Inactive) Tsoungui A. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Standard: Bates D. (Knee Injury) Henkinet L. (Hamstring Injury) Szalai At. (Inactive) Zeqiri A. (Inactive)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Leuven won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:23 (average 1.2:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Leuven won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.2:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Standard Liège?

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

Standard Liège has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège were as follows:

22.04.2025 Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:1

07.12.2024 Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1

31.08.2024 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège 2:0

05.05.2024 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège 3:1

06.04.2024 Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:0

Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven

22.04.2025 Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH 4:4 ✺

13.04.2025 KV Mechelen - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Westerlo - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:2 ✺

28.03.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Standard Liège

22.04.2025 Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Standard Liège - Westerlo 1:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Dender EH - Standard Liège 1:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Charleroi - Standard Liège 1:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Standard Liège - KV Mechelen 2:2 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Antwerp	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Leuven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Anderlecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cercle Brugge KSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Charleroi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Club Brugge KV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Dender	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Genk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Gent	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	KV Mechelen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	St. Liege	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Waregem	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Westerlo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Royale Union SG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	RAAL La Louviere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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Which TV channels are streaming of Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège?

It is being streamed on channel


Belgium	DAZN 1