Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Standard Liège – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
04/04/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 31
  • Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belgiumBelgiumSporza, Sporza

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.062.02
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
47
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
74
Passes
77% (342/443)73% (265/365)
Expected goals (xG)
1.062.02
xG on target (xGOT)
1.091.83
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
1110
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2134
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free kicks
127
Passes
77% (342/443)73% (265/365)
Long passes
51% (47/92)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
66% (74/112)61% (57/93)
Crosses
22% (6/27)41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.881.41
Throw ins
1915
Fouls
712
Tackles
64% (7/11)27% (3/11)
Duels won
5045
Clearances
1528
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
1.831.09
Goals prevented
-0.170.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Teklab H. , Schrijvers S. (A),
  • 60', Nkada T. , Eckert Ayensa D. ,
  • 61', Said R. , Nguene B. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Eckert Ayensa D. , Abid A. (A),
  • 67', Verstraete B. , George W. ,
  • 67', Ikwuemesi C. , Vaesen K. ,
  • 76', Schrijvers S. , Maertens M. ,
  • 76', Maziz Y. , Lakomy L. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Pletinckx E. (Own goal),
  • 81', Abid A. , Karamoko I. ,
  • 81', Nielsen C. , El Hankouri M. ,
  • 86', Dussenne N. , Traore A. K. ,
  • 88', Ilaimaharitra M. , Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 3, Eckert Ayensa D. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Oud-Heverlee Leuven
43.6%
Draw
29.3%
Standard Liège
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 28.4% 26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 28.1% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.09)
    3.22
    (3.29)
    3.52
    (3.5)
    5.4%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Standard will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leuven: 13.8%69.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leuven (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Standard (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leuven (votes: 1 - 50%). Standard (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 3.
    • Leuven has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Standard is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Leuven will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Leuven: Gil O. (Yellow Cards) Kaba S. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Standard: Calut A. (Muscle Injury) Fossey M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leuven: Kayo B. (Inactive) Leysen T. (Eye injury)
    • There are questionable in Standard: Karamoko I. (Injury) Teuma T. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège were as follows:
    12.12.2025 Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:1
    31.08.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège 1:0
    26.04.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège 1:1
    22.04.2025 Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:1
    07.12.2024 Standard Liège - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1
    Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
    Latest results of Standard Liège
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG11001:0136
    2Club Brugge KV11004:2235
    3St. Truiden10010:1-129
    4Gent10101:1024
    5KV Mechelen10101:1024
    6Anderlecht10012:4-222

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