Result
1:3
04/04/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 31
- Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (342/443) | 73% (265/365) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (342/443) | 73% (265/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (47/92) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (74/112) | 61% (57/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 27% (3/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 48', 1 - 0, Teklab H. ⚽, Schrijvers S. (A),
- 60', Nkada T. ↓, Eckert Ayensa D. ↑,
- 61', Said R. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 1, Eckert Ayensa D. ⚽, Abid A. (A),
- 67', Verstraete B. ↓, George W. ↑,
- 67', Ikwuemesi C. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
- 76', Schrijvers S. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
- 76', Maziz Y. ↓, Lakomy L. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Pletinckx E. (Own goal),
- 81', Abid A. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
- 81', Nielsen C. ↓, El Hankouri M. ↑,
- 86', Dussenne N. ↓, Traore A. K. ↑,
- 88', Ilaimaharitra M. ↓, Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↑,
- 90+7', 1 - 3, Eckert Ayensa D. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Oud-Heverlee Leuven 43.6% | Draw 29.3% | Standard Liège 27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.18 ↑ (2.09) |
3.22 ↓ (3.29) |
3.52 ↑ (3.5) |
5.4% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Standard will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leuven: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leuven (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Standard (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leuven (votes: 1 - 50%). Standard (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 3.
- Leuven has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Standard is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Leuven will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Leuven: Gil O.
(Yellow Cards)
Kaba S.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Standard: Calut A.
(Muscle Injury)
Fossey M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Leuven: Kayo B.
(Inactive)
Leysen T.
(Eye injury)
- There are questionable in Standard: Karamoko I.
(Injury)
Teuma T.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Standard Liège?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Standard Liège has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège were as follows:
12.12.2025
Standard Liège
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0:1
31.08.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Standard Liège
1:0
26.04.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Standard Liège
1:1
22.04.2025
Standard Liège
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0:1
07.12.2024
Standard Liège
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Latest results of Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 36 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 35 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 29 |
| 4 | Gent | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )