Standard Liège vs Saint-Gilloise – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Maurice Dufrasnestadion (Liège).

Jupiler Pro League - Round 25
Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.28	1.32
Ball possession
33%	67%
Total shots
7	16
Shots on target
2	3
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
3	5
Passes
57% (134/235)	77% (380/491)
Yellow cards
4	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.28	1.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.78	1.30
Total shots
7	16
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
4	8
Blocked shots
1	5
Shots inside the box
5	7
Shots outside the box
2	9
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
10	33
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	2
Free kicks
16	8
Passes
57% (134/235)	77% (380/491)
Long passes
18% (11/60)	44% (32/73)
Passes in final third
47% (42/89)	67% (107/159)
Crosses
17% (3/18)	26% (7/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.99	1.33
Throw ins
19	21
Fouls
8	16
Tackles
58% (7/12)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
50	54
Clearances
43	24
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	1
xGOT faced
1.30	0.78
Goals prevented
0.30	-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Eckert Ayensa D. ⚽, Fossey M. (A),
38', Homawoo J. 🟨,
40', Homawoo J. ↓, Dierckx D. ↑,
45+4', Said R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dierckx D. ↓, Bates D. ↑,
46', Patris L. ↓, Guilherme Smith ↑,
52', Lawrence H. 🟨,
62', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
65', Fuseini M. ↓, Florucz R. ↑,
65', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Zeneli B. ↑,
66', Van De Perre K. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
69', Fossey M. ↓, El Hankouri M. ↑,
72', Eckert Ayensa D. 🟨,
72', Zorgane A. 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Guilherme Smith ⚽, Schoofs R. (A),
79', Eckert Ayensa D. ↓, Nkada T. ↑,
80', Burgess C. 🟨,
86', Florucz R. ↓, Biondic M. ↑,
87', Mac Allister K. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Standard Liège
12.4%

Draw
23.8%

Saint-Gilloise
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

28.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

27.4%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Standard Liège's form might have worsened.

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Gilloise's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Standard Liège, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.63 ↑ (4.27)	3.97 ↑ (3.33)	1.48 ↓ (1.88)	5.7% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Union SG (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Standard (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Union SG (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Saint-Gilloise will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Saint-Gilloise will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Standard (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Union SG (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 0.
Standard has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Union SG is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Standard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Union SG has had a series of home games.
In this match, Union SG is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Standard: El Hankouri M. (Muscle Injury) Epolo M. (Ankle Injury) Nielsen C. (Elbow Injury)
There will not play in Union SG: Barry M. T. (Ankle Injury) Niang O. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez K. (Back Injury) Scherpen K. (Injury)
There are questionable in Standard: Assengue S. (Injury) Ilaimaharitra M. (Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Standard won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 1.1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Standard won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against Saint-Gilloise?

Standard Liège has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Standard Liège?

Saint-Gilloise has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:

16.08.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Standard Liège 3:0

09.03.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Standard Liège 3:0

20.09.2024 Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise 0:0

25.02.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Standard Liège 2:1

04.08.2023 Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise 0:1

Latest results of Standard Liège

08.02.2026 Club Brugge - Standard Liège 3:0 ✺

01.02.2026 Standard Liège - Anderlecht 2:0 ✺

23.01.2026 Standard Liège - Gent 0:4 ✺

18.01.2026 Charleroi - Standard Liège 2:0 ✺

09.01.2026 Hertha Berlin - Standard Liège 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Saint-Gilloise

11.02.2026 Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi 4:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Saint-Gilloise - RAAL La Louvière 2:1 ✺

04.02.2026 Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise 0:0 ✺

01.02.2026 Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge 1:0 ✺

28.01.2026 Saint-Gilloise - Atalanta 1:0 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Royale Union SG	30	19	9	2	50:17	33	66
2	Club Brugge KV	30	20	3	7	59:36	23	63
3	St. Truiden	30	18	3	9	47:35	12	57
4	Gent	30	13	6	11	49:43	6	45
5	KV Mechelen	30	12	9	9	39:37	2	45
6	Anderlecht	30	12	8	10	43:39	4	44
7	Genk	30	11	9	10	46:47	-1	42
8	St. Liege	30	11	7	12	27:35	-8	40
9	Westerlo	30	10	9	11	36:40	-4	39
10	Antwerp	30	9	8	13	31:32	-1	35
11	Charleroi	30	9	7	14	38:42	-4	34
12	Leuven	30	9	7	14	32:43	-11	34
13	Waregem	30	8	8	14	38:47	-9	32
14	Cercle Brugge KSV	30	7	10	13	39:47	-8	31
15	RAAL La Louviere	30	6	13	11	30:37	-7	31
16	Dender	30	3	10	17	24:51	-27	19

      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
      Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )