Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 25
- Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (134/235) | 77% (380/491) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.78 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 10 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
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| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (134/235) | 77% (380/491) |
| Long passes |
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| 18% (11/60) | 44% (32/73) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 47% (42/89) | 67% (107/159) |
| Crosses |
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| 17% (3/18) | 26% (7/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.99 | 1.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
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| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
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| 58% (7/12) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.30 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.30 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Eckert Ayensa D. ⚽, Fossey M. (A),
- 38', Homawoo J. 🟨,
- 40', Homawoo J. ↓, Dierckx D. ↑,
- 45+4', Said R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Dierckx D. ↓, Bates D. ↑,
- 46', Patris L. ↓, Guilherme Smith ↑,
- 52', Lawrence H. 🟨,
- 62', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
- 65', Fuseini M. ↓, Florucz R. ↑,
- 65', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Zeneli B. ↑,
- 66', Van De Perre K. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
- 69', Fossey M. ↓, El Hankouri M. ↑,
- 72', Eckert Ayensa D. 🟨,
- 72', Zorgane A. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 1, Guilherme Smith ⚽, Schoofs R. (A),
- 79', Eckert Ayensa D. ↓, Nkada T. ↑,
- 80', Burgess C. 🟨,
- 86', Florucz R. ↓, Biondic M. ↑,
- 87', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Standard Liège
12.4% | Draw
23.8% | Saint-Gilloise
63.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Standard Liège's form might have worsened.Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Gilloise's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Standard Liège, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.63 ↑
(4.27) |
3.97 ↑
(3.33) |
1.48 ↓
(1.88) |
5.7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Union SG (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Standard (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Union SG (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Saint-Gilloise will win
(24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Saint-Gilloise will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Standard (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Union SG (votes: 8 - 88.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Standard won 0.
- Standard has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Union SG is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Standard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Union SG has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Union SG is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Standard: El Hankouri M.
(Muscle Injury)
Epolo M.
(Ankle Injury)
Nielsen C.
(Elbow Injury)
- There will not play in Union SG: Barry M. T.
(Ankle Injury)
Niang O.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez K.
(Back Injury)
Scherpen K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Standard: Assengue S.
(Injury)
Ilaimaharitra M.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Standard won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 1.1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Standard won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against Saint-Gilloise?
Standard Liège has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Standard Liège?
Saint-Gilloise has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Standard Liège - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
16.08.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
Standard Liège
3:0
09.03.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
Standard Liège
3:0
20.09.2024
Standard Liège
-
Saint-Gilloise
0:0
25.02.2024
Saint-Gilloise
-
Standard Liège
2:1
04.08.2023
Standard Liège
-
Saint-Gilloise
0:1
Latest results of Standard Liège
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 39 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 38 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 29 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 25 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 24 |
| 6 | Gent | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
