Stanislas Wawrinka vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Cancun 2 Challenger Men Stanislas Wawrinka - Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Result
2:0
15/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
57%53%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (31/39)60% (15/25)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (13/29)45% (10/22)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
48% (12/25)26% (10/39)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (12/22)55% (16/29)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)40% (2/5)
Winners
2311
Unforced Errors
3019
Net Points Won
75% (15/20)75% (3/4)
Service Points Won
65% (44/68)53% (25/47)
Return Points Won
47% (22/47)35% (24/68)
Total Points Won
57% (66/115)43% (49/115)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Stanislas Wawrinka
47%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stanislas Wawrinka's form might have worsened.
  • Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Manuel Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+21.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stanislas Wawrinka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-21.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stanislas Wawrinka - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (1.41)

    1.77
    (2.7)
    2.6%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Stanislas Wawrinka - Juan Manuel Cerundolo?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Wawrinka will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Wawrinka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cerundolo (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 152. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 86.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Cerundolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Wawrinka could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Stanislas Wawrinka
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Bye
    2Hanfmann Y. (Alt)Struff J-L. (Alt)2 : 1
    3Galan D. E.Buse I. (Alt)0 : 2
    4Zhukayev B. (Q)Schoolkate T. (5)2 : 0
    5De Jong J. (3)Bye
    6Trungelliti M. (Alt)Pacheco Mendez R. (NG)0 : 2
    7Gaston H.Galarneau A. (Q)0 : 2
    8Hernandez A. (WC)Svrcina D. (8)0 : 2
    9Llamas Ruiz P. (RET.) (LL)Noguchi R. (Q)0 : 1
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Harper C. (Q)2 : 0
    11Lajovic D. (RET.)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 0
    12ByeCerundolo J. M. (4)
    13Tabilo A. (6)Passaro F.2 : 0
    14Gigante M. (RET.)Tirante T. A. (Alt)0 : 1
    15Pellegrino A.Wong C. (Alt)0 : 2
    16ByeCazaux A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Hanfmann Y.2 : 1
    2Buse I.Zhukayev B.2 : 0
    3De Jong J. (3)Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    4Galarneau A.Svrcina D. (8)0 : 2
    5Noguchi R.Wawrinka S.0 : 2
    6Burruchaga R. A.Cerundolo J. M. (4)1 : 2
    7Tabilo A. (6)Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8Wong C.Cazaux A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Altmaier D. (1)Buse I.1 : 2
    2De Jong J. (3)Svrcina D. (8)0 : 2
    3Wawrinka S.Cerundolo J. M. (4)2 : 0
    4Tirante T. A.Cazaux A. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I.Svrcina D. (8)0 : 2
    2Wawrinka S.Tirante T. A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Svrcina D. (8)Tirante T. A.2 : 1