Result
2:0
06/04/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/32-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 52% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 58% (26/45) | 67% (30/45) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 59% (17/29) | 34% (14/41) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 6/10 | 6/12 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 33% (15/45) | 44% (20/45) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 66% (27/41) | 41% (12/29) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 6/12 | 4/10 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 31 | 41 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 50% (7/14) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (43/74) | 51% (44/86) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (42/86) | 42% (31/74) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (85/160) | 47% (75/160) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 50% (6/12) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 33% (4/12) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 42% (10/24) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Baez
68.1% | Stanislas Wawrinka
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Baez that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stanislas Wawrinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sebastian Baez - Stanislas Wawrinka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.41) |
|
2.98 ↑
(2.77) |
5.1%
(7%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Baez - Stanislas Wawrinka?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- H/A, 1st Set - Wawrinka (2.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sebastian Baez will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Baez (votes: 3 - 75%). Wawrinka (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Baez is ranked ATP: 50. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 98.
- Recent performances by Baez have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wawrinka is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Wawrinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Baez is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Stanislas Wawrinka?
Sebastian Baez has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stanislas Wawrinka won against Sebastian Baez?
Stanislas Wawrinka has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Stanislas Wawrinka were as follows:
07.01.2026
Stanislas Wawrinka
-
Sebastian Baez
0:2
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Latest results of Stanislas Wawrinka
Draw
Singles - Main1/32-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Baez S. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Etcheverry T. M. | Dimitrov G. | |
| 4 | Atmane T. | Quinn E. (LL) | |
| 5 | Lehecka J. (11) | Nava E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Fucsovics M. | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Monfils G. (WC) | Griekspoor T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Bublik A. (8) | |
| 9 | Musetti L. (4) | Bye | |
| 10 | Vacherot V. | Cerundolo J. M. (Q) | |
| 11 | Mensik J. | Marozsan F. | |
| 12 | Hurkacz H. (PR) | Darderi L. (15) | |
| 13 | Cobolli F. (10) | Comesana F. (Q) | |
| 14 | Shapovalov D. | Blockx A. (Q) | |
| 15 | Norrie C. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 18 | Bautista-Agut R. (LL) | Berrettini M. (WC) | |
| 19 | Fonseca J. | Diallo G. | |
| 20 | Rinderknech A. | Khachanov K. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Rublev A. (13) | Borges N. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Bergs Z. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Garin C. (Q) | Arnaldi M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Zverev A. (3) | |
| 25 | Auger-Aliassime F. (6) | Bye | |
| 26 | Cilic M. | Shevchenko A. (Q) | |
| 27 | Moutet C. | Muller A. (Q) | |
| 28 | Popyrin A. | Ruud C. (9) | |
| 29 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Tsitsipas S. | |
| 30 | Altmaier D. | Machac T. | |
| 31 | Kouame M. (WC) | Humbert U. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/16-finals1/8-finalsQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
