Stanislas Wawrinka vs Tommy Paul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Stockholm Stanislas Wawrinka - Tommy Paul
Result
0:2
19/10/2024 at 08:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm (Sweden), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
swedenSwedenSVT Play, SVT

Match Stats

Aces
82
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
62%67%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (25/37)75% (30/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
30% (7/23)60% (12/20)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)100% (3/3)
1st Return Points Won
25% (10/40)32% (12/37)
2nd Return Points Won
40% (8/20)70% (16/23)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/3)43% (3/7)
Winners
1928
Unforced Errors
2516
Net Points Won
44% (4/9)90% (18/20)
Max Points In Row
36
Service Points Won
53% (32/60)70% (42/60)
Return Points Won
30% (18/60)47% (28/60)
Total Points Won
42% (50/120)58% (70/120)
Max Games In Row
13
Service Games Won
63% (5/8)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)38% (3/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Stanislas Wawrinka
21.5%
Tommy Paul
78.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 72.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5% 69.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stanislas Wawrinka's form might have worsened.
  • Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tommy Paul's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stanislas Wawrinka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tommy Paul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stanislas Wawrinka - Tommy Paul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.44
    (3.48)

    1.22
    (1.31)
    4.6%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Stanislas Wawrinka - Tommy Paul?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wawrinka will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Paul will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 73.9%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 217. Paul is ranked ATP: 13.
    • At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.
    • Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Paul is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Wawrinka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    Latest results of Tommy Paul
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Bye
    2Borg L. (WC)Muller A.0 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A.Tirante T. A. (Q)2 : 0
    4Wawrinka S. (WC)Nakashima B. (6)2 : 0
    5Paul T. (4)Bye
    6Martinez P.Djere L. (Q)0 : 2
    7Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.0 : 2
    8Ymer E. (WC)Jarry N. (5)1 : 2
    9Darderi L. (8)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    10Kovacevic A.Stricker D. (PR)1 : 2
    11Halys Q.Nagal S.2 : 0
    12ByeDimitrov G. (3)
    13Griekspoor T. (7)Kotov P.2 : 0
    14Moutet C.Fearnley J. (Q)0 : 2
    15Huesler M. (Q)Sonego L.0 : 2
    16ByeRuud C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Muller A.2 : 0
    2Davidovich Fokina A.Wawrinka S.1 : 2
    3Paul T. (4)Djere L.2 : 0
    4Kecmanovic M.Jarry N. (5)2 : 1
    5Berrettini M.Stricker D.0 : 2
    6Halys Q.Dimitrov G. (3)0 : 2
    7Griekspoor T. (7)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    8Sonego L.Ruud C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Wawrinka S.0 : 2
    2Paul T. (4)Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    3Stricker D.Dimitrov G. (3)0 : 2
    4Griekspoor T. (7)Ruud C. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Wawrinka S.Paul T. (4)0 : 2
    2Dimitrov G. (3)Griekspoor T. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Paul T. (4)Dimitrov G. (3)2 : 0