Trefl Sopot vs Start Lublin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Polish Basket Liga Trefl Sopot - Start Lublin
Result
72:79
07/06/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Basket Liga - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Szczurewski T. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5958
Field Goals Made
2326
Field Goals %
39%44.8%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3436
2-Point Field Goals Made
1218
2-Point Field Goals %
35.3%50%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2522
3-Point Field Goals Made
118
3-Point Field Goals %
44%36.4%
Free Throws Attempted
1821
Free Throws Made
1519
Free Throws %
83.3%90.5%
Offensive Rebounds
129
Defensive Rebounds
2329
Total Rebounds
3538
Assists
1511
Blocks
43
Turnovers
1414
Steals
78
Personal Fouls
2221

Chances of winning


Trefl Sopot
74.9%
Start Lublin
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.6% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trefl Sopot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Start Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefl Sopot than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trefl Sopot that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start Lublin than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Start Lublin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Trefl Sopot - Start Lublin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.33)

    3.7
    (3.2)
    7.8%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 172.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
  • Preview Facts
    • Series tied 2-2. 5th leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trefl Sopot won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Lublin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Trefl Sopot is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trefl Sopot won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1573:1663. (average 78.7:83.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Trefl Sopot won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 783:846. (average 78.3:84.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Trefl Sopot - Start Lublin were as follows:
    04.06.2025 Start Lublin - Trefl Sopot 93:95
    02.06.2025 Start Lublin - Trefl Sopot 92:84
    30.05.2025 Trefl Sopot - Start Lublin 95:79
    28.05.2025 Trefl Sopot - Start Lublin 81:100
    04.04.2025 Trefl Sopot - Start Lublin 87:88
    Latest results of Trefl Sopot
    Latest results of Start Lublin
    04.06.2025 Start Lublin - Trefl Sopot 93:95
    02.06.2025 Start Lublin - Trefl Sopot 92:84
    30.05.2025 Trefl Sopot - Start Lublin 95:79
    28.05.2025 Trefl Sopot - Start Lublin 81:100
    25.05.2025 Start Lublin - Czarni Słupsk 109:94
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Trefl Sopot (2)Szczecin (7)3 : 1
    2Lublin (3)Czarni Slupsk (6)3 : 2
    3Anwil Wloclawek (1)Torun (9)3 : 1
    4Legia (4)Gornik Walbrzych (5)3 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Trefl Sopot (2)Lublin (3)2 : 3
    2Anwil Wloclawek (1)Legia (4)0 : 3

    Final
    1Lublin (3)Legia (4)3 : 4

    3rd place
    2Trefl Sopot (2)Anwil Wloclawek (1)1 : 1