Stefan Dostanic vs Lui Maxted – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
02/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
83
1st serve percentage
68%65%
1st serve points won
59% (51/86)68% (41/60)
2nd serve points won
46% (19/41)48% (16/33)
Break Points Saved
62% (8/13)29% (2/7)
1st return points won
33% (20/60)41% (35/86)
2nd return points won
52% (17/33)54% (22/41)
Break Points Converted
71% (5/7)38% (5/13)
Winners
3423
Unforced errors
6339
Net points won
69% (27/39)76% (19/25)
Service Points Won
56% (70/125)61% (57/93)
Return Points Won
39% (36/93)44% (55/125)
Total Points Won
49% (106/218)51% (112/218)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
20
Service games won
71% (12/17)69% (11/16)
Return games won
31% (5/16)29% (5/17)
Total games won
52% (17/33)48% (16/33)

Chances of winning


Stefan Dostanic
67.6%
Lui Maxted
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 41.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stefan Dostanic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefan Dostanic's performance.
  • Lui Maxted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lui Maxted might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Dostanic than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefan Dostanic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lui Maxted could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Stefan Dostanic - Lui Maxted Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.5)

    2.87
    (2.39)
    7.6%
    (8.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Dostanic is ranked ATP: 352. Maxted is ranked ATP: 451.
    • Dostanic is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Maxted has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Maxted may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Dostanic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Dostanic will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Stefan Dostanic
    Latest results of Lui Maxted
    01.03.2026 James Story - Lui Maxted 0:2
    20.02.2026 Gastao Elias - Lui Maxted Elias G. retired
    19.02.2026 Naoya Honda - Lui Maxted 0:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Fellin P. O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Henning P.Gadamauri B. (Q)1 : 2
    3Bertrand R.Soriano Barrera A. (Q)2 : 0
    4Barranco Cosano J. (Q)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (3)Vasami J. (RET.) (JR)1 : 0
    6Rybakov A.Berrettini J.2 : 1
    7Maxted L. (Q)Wendelken H.1 : 2
    8Jones M.Dostanic S. (LL)0 : 2
    9Samuel T. (5)Brancaccio R. (Alt)2 : 1
    10Rincon D.Durasovic V.2 : 0
    11Shelbayh A.Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)2 : 0
    12Efstathiou M. (WC)Moro Canas A. (4)2 : 1
    13Piraino G. (LL)Xilas I. (WC)0 : 2
    14Gulin S. (LL)Mrva M.1 : 2
    15Geerts M.Pereira T.2 : 0
    16Carboni L. (RET.) (Q)Sakellaridis S. (2)1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Gadamauri B.2 : 1
    2Bertrand R.Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    3Neumayer L. (3)Rybakov A.2 : 0
    4Wendelken H.Dostanic S.2 : 1
    5Samuel T. (5)Rincon D.2 : 0
    6Shelbayh A.Efstathiou M.2 : 1
    7Xilas I.Mrva M.2 : 0
    8Geerts M.Sakellaridis S. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Giustino L. (1)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    2Neumayer L. (3)Wendelken H.1 : 2
    3Samuel T. (5)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    4Xilas I.Sakellaridis S. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kuzmanov D. (8)Wendelken H.0 : 2
    2Samuel T. (5)Sakellaridis S. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Wendelken H.Samuel T. (5)0 : 2