Stefan Kozlov vs Mathys Erhard – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
07/01/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham 3, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
59
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
69%59%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (30/37)61% (28/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (9/17)50% (16/32)
Break Points Saved
100% (2/2)80% (12/15)
1st Return Points Won
39% (18/46)19% (7/37)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (16/32)47% (8/17)
Break Points Converted
20% (3/15)0% (0/2)
Winners
1726
Unforced Errors
2030
Net Points Won
94% (16/17)72% (18/25)
Service Points Won
72% (39/54)56% (44/78)
Return Points Won
44% (34/78)28% (15/54)
Total Points Won
55% (73/132)45% (59/132)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Stefan Kozlov
71.2%
Mathys Erhard
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stefan Kozlov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Kozlov than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefan Kozlov that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mathys Erhard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Stefan Kozlov - Mathys Erhard Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.36)

    3.23
    (2.85)
    7.6%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kozlov is ranked ATP: 287. Erhard is ranked ATP: 328.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Kozlov is a strong favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Stefan Kozlov
    Latest results of Mathys Erhard
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Monday J. (1)Maxted L. (WC)2 : 1
    2Guerrieri A. (Q)Hussey G.0 : 2
    3Krumich M.Kopp S.2 : 0
    4Brunold M.Gentzsch T. (8)1 : 2
    5Kuzmanov D. (4)Negritu Ch.1 : 2
    6Kukushkin M.Malige M. (NG)2 : 0
    7Searle H.Kingsley C. (Q)0 : 2
    8Gombos N.Gray A. (6)1 : 2
    9Kozlov S. (7)Zink T.2 : 0
    10Strombachs R.Erhard M.1 : 2
    11Masur D. (Q)Broady L.1 : 2
    12Overbeck C. E. (Q)Samuel T. (3)0 : 2
    13Pereira T. (5)Ritschard A. (Q)0 : 2
    14Broom C.Wendelken H.2 : 0
    15Soriano Barrera A.Jubb P. (WC)1 : 2
    16Matusevich A. (Q)Chidekh C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Monday J. (1)Hussey G.2 : 0
    2Krumich M.Gentzsch T. (8)1 : 2
    3Negritu Ch.Kukushkin M.0 : 2
    4Kingsley C.Gray A. (6)2 : 1
    5Kozlov S. (7)Erhard M.2 : 0
    6Broady L.Samuel T. (3)0 : 2
    7Ritschard A.Broom C.0 : 2
    8Jubb P.Chidekh C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Monday J. (1)Gentzsch T. (8)2 : 0
    2Kukushkin M.Kingsley C.2 : 0
    3Kozlov S. (7)Samuel T. (3)0 : 2
    4Broom C.Chidekh C. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Monday J. (1)Kukushkin M.2 : 0
    2Samuel T. (3)Chidekh C. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Monday J. (1)Chidekh C. (2)1 : 2