Result
2:1
10/04/2026 at 17:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 57% | 58% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 76% (34/45) | 67% (35/52) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 53% (18/34) | 46% (17/37) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 4/6 | 4/8 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 33% (17/52) | 24% (11/45) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 54% (20/37) | 47% (16/34) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/8 | 2/6 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 26 | 41 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 44% (4/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (52/79) | 58% (52/89) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (37/89) | 34% (27/79) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (89/168) | 47% (79/168) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 69% (9/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 15% (2/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 58% (15/26) | 42% (11/26) |
Chances of winning
Stefano Napolitano 55.1% | Tristan Schoolkate 44.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefano Napolitano's performance.Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tristan Schoolkate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Stefano Napolitano - Tristan Schoolkate Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↓ (1.93) |
|
2.07 ↑ (1.76) |
7% (8.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Stefano Napolitano - Tristan Schoolkate?
Users Predictions:
Stefano Napolitano will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stefano Napolitano will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Napolitano is ranked ATP: 302. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 116.
- Napolitano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Schoolkate is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Napolitano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Stefano Napolitano won against Tristan Schoolkate?
Stefano Napolitano has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tristan Schoolkate won against Stefano Napolitano?
Tristan Schoolkate has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stefano Napolitano - Tristan Schoolkate were as follows:
Latest results of Stefano Napolitano
Latest results of Tristan Schoolkate