Stefano Napolitano vs Tristan Schoolkate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/04/2026 at 17:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
57
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
57%58%
1st serve points won
76% (34/45)67% (35/52)
2nd serve points won
53% (18/34)46% (17/37)
Break Points Saved
4/64/8
1st return points won
33% (17/52)24% (11/45)
2nd return points won
54% (20/37)47% (16/34)
Break Points Converted
4/82/6
Winners
2526
Unforced errors
2641
Net points won
81% (13/16)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
66% (52/79)58% (52/89)
Return Points Won
42% (37/89)34% (27/79)
Total Points Won
53% (89/168)47% (79/168)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
02
Service games won
85% (11/13)69% (9/13)
Return games won
31% (4/13)15% (2/13)
Total games won
58% (15/26)42% (11/26)

Chances of winning


Stefano Napolitano
55.1%
Tristan Schoolkate
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.7% 52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefano Napolitano's performance.
  • Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tristan Schoolkate might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Stefano Napolitano - Tristan Schoolkate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.93)

    2.07
    (1.76)
    7%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Stefano Napolitano - Tristan Schoolkate?
  • Users Predictions: Stefano Napolitano will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stefano Napolitano will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Napolitano is ranked ATP: 302. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 116.
    • Napolitano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Schoolkate is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Napolitano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Stefano Napolitano
    Latest results of Tristan Schoolkate