Stefano Travaglia vs Aslan Karatsev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Francavilla Challenger Men Stefano Travaglia - Aslan Karatsev
Result
0:2
06/05/2025 at 10:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
26
Double Faults
85
1st Serve Percentage
59%64%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (30/47)88% (28/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
36% (12/33)56% (10/18)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)0% (0/1)
1st Return Points Won
13% (4/32)36% (17/47)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (8/18)64% (21/33)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)36% (4/11)
Service Points Won
53% (42/80)76% (38/50)
Return Points Won
24% (12/50)48% (38/80)
Total Points Won
42% (54/130)58% (76/130)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
60% (6/10)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)40% (4/10)
Total Games Won
35% (7/20)65% (13/20)

Chances of winning


Stefano Travaglia
41.2%
Aslan Karatsev
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 61.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stefano Travaglia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Stefano Travaglia - Aslan Karatsev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.35)

    1.58
    (1.53)
    7.9%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Travaglia is ranked ATP: 309. Karatsev is ranked ATP: 191.
    • Travaglia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Karatsev has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Travaglia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Karatsev is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Stefano Travaglia
    Latest results of Aslan Karatsev
    30.03.2025 Harold Mayot - Aslan Karatsev Karatsev A. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Jacquet K. (1)Preda L.2 : 0
    2Stricker D. (Alt)Jubb P.2 : 0
    3Coppejans K. (Alt)Collarini A. (RET.)1 : 1
    4Cachin P. (Q)Trungelliti M. (5)0 : 2
    5Skatov T. (3)Engel J. (Q)2 : 1
    6Paire B. (WC)Fonio G. (Q)2 : 1
    7Denolly C. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (WC)0 : 2
    8Albot R.Buse I. (8)2 : 0
    9Mena F. (6)Vatutin A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Chidekh C. (Alt)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    11Barrere G.Ymer E. (Alt)1 : 2
    12Travaglia S. (Q)Karatsev A. (4)0 : 2
    13Lajal M. (7)Dalla Valle E. (Alt)2 : 0
    14Berrettini J. (Q)Butvilas E.2 : 0
    15Carboni L. (WC)Sanchez Jover C. (Alt)1 : 2
    16Erhard M. (Alt)Ajdukovic D. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Jacquet K. (1)Stricker D.1 : 2
    2Coppejans K.Trungelliti M. (5)2 : 0
    3Skatov T. (3)Paire B.0 : 2
    4Maestrelli F.Albot R.2 : 1
    5Vatutin A.Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Ymer E.Karatsev A. (4)2 : 0
    7Lajal M. (7)Berrettini J.2 : 0
    8Sanchez Jover C.Erhard M.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Stricker D.Coppejans K.2 : 0
    2Paire B.Maestrelli F.1 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Ymer E.2 : 1
    4Lajal M. (7)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Stricker D. (RET.)Maestrelli F.1 : 1
    2Vacherot V.Lajal M. (7)2 : 1

    Final
    1Maestrelli F.Vacherot V.2 : 0