Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Alexis Gautier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roanne - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
87
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
59%54%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (35/47)78% (36/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
64% (21/33)41% (16/39)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
22% (10/46)26% (12/47)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (23/39)36% (12/33)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)25% (1/4)
Service Points Won
70% (56/80)61% (52/85)
Return Points Won
39% (33/85)30% (24/80)
Total Points Won
54% (89/165)46% (76/165)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
93% (13/14)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)7% (1/14)
Total Games Won
59% (16/27)41% (11/27)

Chances of winning


Stefanos Sakellaridis
55.7%
Alexis Gautier
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefanos Sakellaridis's performance.
  • Alexis Gautier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexis Gautier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefanos Sakellaridis that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Gautier than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexis Gautier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Stefanos Sakellaridis - Alexis Gautier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.84)

    2.12
    (1.85)
    6.5%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Stefanos Sakellaridis - Alexis Gautier?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sakellaridis (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -4 Games - Sakellaridis (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5 Games - Sakellaridis (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Stefanos Sakellaridis will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sakellaridis (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 306. Gautier is ranked ATP: 622.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Gautier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Alexis Gautier
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)van Assche L.2 : 1
    2Stricker D. (Q)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    3Dodig M. (NG)Eubanks C.2 : 0
    4Gueymard Wayenburg S.Passaro F. (8)1 : 2
    5Misolic F. (3)Bernet H. (WC)1 : 2
    6Sachko V.Budkov Kjaer N.1 : 2
    7Gojo B. (Alt)Chidekh C.2 : 1
    8Durasovic V. (Q)Gaston H. (5)0 : 2
    9Carreno-Busta P. (6)Karol M. (LL)1 : 2
    10Galarneau A.Martineau M. (Q)0 : 2
    11Brunold M. (Q)Engel J. (Alt)2 : 0
    12Sakellaridis S. (Q)Struff J-L. (4)2 : 1
    13Blockx A. (7)Sels J. (LL)2 : 0
    14Paris T. (WC)Virtanen O.0 : 2
    15Glinka D. (Q)Hemery C.0 : 2
    16Added D. (WC)Thompson J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Stricker D.0 : 2
    2Dodig M.Passaro F. (8)2 : 0
    3Bernet H.Budkov Kjaer N.1 : 2
    4Gojo B.Gaston H. (5)1 : 2
    5Karol M.Martineau M.1 : 2
    6Brunold M.Sakellaridis S.2 : 0
    7Blockx A. (7)Virtanen O.1 : 2
    8Hemery C.Thompson J. (RET.) (2)0 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Stricker D. (RET.)Dodig M.0 : 0
    2Budkov Kjaer N.Gaston H. (5)1 : 2
    3Martineau M.Brunold M.2 : 1
    4Virtanen O.Hemery C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Dodig M.Gaston H. (5)1 : 2
    2Martineau M.Virtanen O.0 : 2

    Final
    1Gaston H. (5)Virtanen O.1 : 2