Matteo Berrettini vs Stefanos Tsitsipas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
09/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 3
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
finlandFinlandMTV Urheilu 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 3
portugalPortugalSport TV6
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
60
Double Faults
10
1st Serve Percentage
76%68%
1st Serve Points Won
51% (20/39)87% (20/23)
2nd Serve Points Won
25% (3/12)73% (8/11)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)0% (0/0)
1st Return Points Won
22% (5/23)13% (5/39)
2nd Return Points Won
27% (3/11)75% (9/12)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)50% (3/6)
Winners
107
Unforced Errors
165
Net Points Won
67% (2/3)100% (1/1)
Service Points Won
58% (30/52)82% (36/44)
Return Points Won
18% (8/44)42% (22/52)
Total Points Won
40% (38/96)60% (58/96)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Matteo Berrettini
50%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 61.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matteo Berrettini's performance.
  • Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefanos Tsitsipas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matteo Berrettini that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefanos Tsitsipas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Matteo Berrettini - Stefanos Tsitsipas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.28)

    1.9
    (1.58)
    5.5%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Matteo Berrettini - Stefanos Tsitsipas?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 24 - 57.1%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 18 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 42.1%72.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Berrettini is ranked ATP: 29. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 9.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Berrettini won 2.
    • Recent matches Berrettini is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Tsitsipas in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Berrettini won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10:18 (average 0.9:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matteo Berrettini - Stefanos Tsitsipas were as follows:
    27.02.2025 Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini 2:1
    20.07.2024 Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini 0:2
    14.01.2024 Matteo Berrettini - Stefanos Tsitsipas Canceled
    07.01.2023 Stefanos Tsitsipas - Matteo Berrettini 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Atmane T.Dimitrov G.1 : 2
    3Cerundolo J. M.Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    4ByeRinderknech A. (26)
    5Vacherot V. (24)Bye
    6Borges N.Nava E.2 : 0
    7Shevchenko A.Shimabukuro S. (Q)2 : 1
    8ByeRuud C. (13)
    9Bublik A. (10)Bye
    10Zheng M. (WC)Kopriva V. (LL)0 : 2
    11Maestrelli F. (Q)Hijikata R. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeDarderi L. (20)
    13Norrie C. (27)Bye
    14Arnaldi M.McDonald M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Korda S.Comesana F.2 : 0
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (6)
    17Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    18Majchrzak K.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    19Hurkacz H.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    20ByeMoutet C. (31)
    21Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    22Royer V.Bonzi B. (Q)0 : 2
    23Marozsan F.Bautista-Agut R.1 : 2
    24ByeDraper J. (14)
    25Medvedev D. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Jodar R. (WC)2 : 0
    27Tseng C. H. (Q)Baez S.0 : 2
    28ByeLehecka J. (22)
    29Humbert U. (32)Bye
    30Merida Aguilar D. (Q)Michelsen A.0 : 2
    31Fearnley J.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    32ByeFritz T. (7)
    33Musetti L. (5)Bye
    34Fucsovics M.O'Connell C. (Q)2 : 0
    35Prizmic D. (Q)Schoolkate T. (Q)2 : 1
    36ByeFils A. (30)
    37Rublev A. (17)Bye
    38Bellucci M.Diallo G.0 : 2
    39Monfils G. (WC)Galarneau A. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (15)Bye
    42Altmaier D. (RET.)Kecmanovic M.0 : 1
    43Brooksby J.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    44ByeTiafoe F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Ugo Carabelli C.Damm M. (WC)2 : 0
    47Berrettini M.Mannarino A.2 : 1
    48ByeZverev A. (4)
    49Shelton B. (8)Bye
    50Opelka R.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Halys Q.Walton A.0 : 2
    52ByeTien L. (25)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    54Svajda Z. (WC)Cilic M.2 : 0
    55Navone M.Giron M.1 : 2
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Khachanov K. (16)Bye
    58Fonseca J.Collignon R.2 : 0
    59Bergs Z.Struff J-L.2 : 0
    60ByePaul T. (23)
    61Etcheverry T. M. (29)Bye
    62Tsitsipas S.Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    63Svrcina D. (Q)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo J. M.Rinderknech A. (WO.) (26)
    3Vacherot V. (24)Borges N.2 : 0
    4Shevchenko A.Ruud C. (13)0 : 2
    5Bublik A. (10)Kopriva V.2 : 1
    6Hijikata R.Darderi L. (20)2 : 1
    7Norrie C. (27)McDonald M.2 : 0
    8Korda S.De Minaur A. (6)1 : 2
    9Djokovic N. (3)Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    10Kovacevic A.Moutet C. (31)2 : 0
    11Cerundolo F. (19)Bonzi B.2 : 1
    12Bautista-Agut R.Draper J. (14)1 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 0
    14Baez S.Lehecka J. (22)2 : 0
    15Humbert U. (32)Michelsen A.1 : 2
    16Fearnley J.Fritz T. (7)1 : 2
    17Musetti L. (5)Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    18Prizmic D. (RET.)Fils A. (30)0 : 1
    19Rublev A. (17)Diallo G.1 : 2
    20Monfils G.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)1 : 2
    21Cobolli F. (15)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Brooksby J.Tiafoe F. (21)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    24Berrettini M.Zverev A. (4)0 : 2
    25Shelton B. (8)Opelka R.2 : 1
    26Walton A.Tien L. (25)0 : 2
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Svajda Z.2 : 0
    28Giron M.Mensik J. (12)0 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (16)Fonseca J.1 : 2
    30Bergs Z.Paul T. (23)0 : 2
    31Etcheverry T. M. (29)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    32Svrcina D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rinderknech A. (26)2 : 1
    2Vacherot V. (24)Ruud C. (13)1 : 2
    3Bublik A. (10)Hijikata R.1 : 2
    4Norrie C. (27)De Minaur A. (6)2 : 0
    5Djokovic N. (3)Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    6Cerundolo F. (19)Draper J. (14)0 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (11)Baez S.2 : 0
    8Michelsen A.Fritz T. (7)2 : 0
    9Fucsovics M.Fils A. (30)0 : 2
    10Diallo G.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)1 : 2
    11Cobolli F. (15)Tiafoe F. (21)0 : 2
    12Nakashima B. (28)Zverev A. (4)1 : 2
    13Shelton B. (8)Tien L. (25)1 : 2
    14Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Mensik J. (12)2 : 1
    15Fonseca J.Paul T. (23)2 : 0
    16Shapovalov D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (13)2 : 0
    2Hijikata R.Norrie C. (27)0 : 2
    3Djokovic N. (3)Draper J. (14)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (11)Michelsen A.2 : 0
    5Fils A. (30)Auger-Aliassime F. (9)2 : 0
    6Tiafoe F. (21)Zverev A. (4)0 : 2
    7Tien L. (25)Davidovich Fokina A. (18)2 : 1
    8Fonseca J.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Norrie C. (27)2 : 0
    2Draper J. (14)Medvedev D. (11)0 : 2
    3Fils A. (30)Zverev A. (4)0 : 2
    4Tien L. (25)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Medvedev D. (11)0 : 2
    2Zverev A. (4)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Medvedev D. (11)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2