Stellenbosch vs Richards Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South African Premier Soccer League Stellenbosch - Richards Bay
Result
0:1
20/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Betway Premiership - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport PSL
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.320.39
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
82% (419/513)55% (122/223)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.320.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.370.78
Total shots
66
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
01
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
1610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1311
Passes
82% (419/513)55% (122/223)
Long passes
50% (31/62)31% (20/64)
Passes in final third
69% (90/130)51% (44/86)
Crosses
10% (3/29)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.340.47
Throw-ins
3623
Fouls
1113
Tackles
73% (8/11)23% (3/13)
Duels won
4365
Clearances
2154
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.780.37
Goals prevented
-0.220.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', Mokobodi T. 🟨,
  • 23', Mabua T. , Vilakazi H. ,
  • 28', De Jong A. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Nzama S. , Mcineka S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Cupido A. , Mojela L. B. ,
  • 46', De Jong A. , Butsaka C. ,
  • 50', Moloisane T. 🟨,
  • 59', Mhango G. 🟨,
  • 60', Titus D. , Nku L. ,
  • 69', Mhango G. , Mahala L. ,
  • 76', Mthiyane M. , Palace G. ,
  • 76', Mokobodi T. , Lekoloane K. ,
  • 82', Mojela L. B. 🟨,
  • 82', Mcineka S. 🟨,
  • 85', Nzama S. , Mabuya L. ,

Chances of winning


Stellenbosch
42.9%
Draw
34.6%
Richards Bay
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 23.8% 13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 22.6% 12.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stellenbosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stellenbosch's form might have worsened.
  • Richards Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Richards Bay's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stellenbosch than the current prediction. (+23.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stellenbosch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richards Bay than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Richards Bay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stellenbosch - Richards Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (1.47)
    3.26
    (3.88)
    5.02
    (6.92)
    -11.4%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stellenbosch won 2.
    • Stellenbosch has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Richards Bay has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Richards Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Stellenbosch is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Stellenbosch won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stellenbosch won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stellenbosch - Richards Bay were as follows:
    21.02.2025 Stellenbosch - Richards Bay 1:1
    26.10.2024 Richards Bay - Stellenbosch 0:0
    25.05.2024 Richards Bay - Stellenbosch 2:1
    02.12.2023 Richards Bay - Stellenbosch 0:3
    07.11.2023 Stellenbosch - Richards Bay 2:1
    Latest results of Stellenbosch
    Latest results of Richards Bay
    South African Premier Soccer League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mamelodi Sundowns1063117:51221
    2Sekhukhune962113:4920
    3Durban City943210:7315
    4Polokwane94327:5215
    5Kaizer Chiefs74217:4314
    6TS Galaxy741213:7613
    7Golden Arrows941410:9113
    8Orlando Pirates64027:3412
    9AmaZulu73227:8-111
    10Richards Bay93246:9-311
    11Marumo Gallants82428:8010
    12Orbit College92165:14-97
    13Magesi91356:13-76
    14Stellenbosch81253:8-55
    15Chippa Utd81256:14-85
    16Siwelele81163:10-74

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup
          Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: )
          Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship