Stockport County vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Edgeley Park (Stockport).

League One - Round 40
Referee: Woods M. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.10	1.25
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
75% (281/376)	72% (278/388)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10	1.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.68	0.00
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
6	9
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
11	4
Shots outside the Box
1	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
23	22
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
75% (281/376)	72% (278/388)
Long passes
36% (24/67)	32% (20/62)
Passes in final third
58% (55/95)	60% (75/124)
Crosses
8% (1/13)	22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	0.93
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
65% (11/17)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
57	54
Clearances Total
44	20
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.20	0.68
Goals prevented
0.20	-1.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Fevrier J. ⚽, Diamond J. (A),
38', Kemp D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Wootton K. ⚽, Olaofe I. (A),
60', Hanlan B. ↓, List E. ↑,
60', King E. ↓, Phillips D. ↑,
65', Butler D. 🟨,
66', Horsfall F. 🟨,
67', Fevrier J. ↓, Knoyle K. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Diamond J. ⚽, Bate L. (A),
78', Olaofe I. ↓, Hamilton M. ↑,
78', Butler D. ↓, Freestone L. ↑,
78', Roberts J. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
79', Reid J. ↓, Young J. ↑,
79', Bate L. ↓, Moxon O. ↑,
79', Diamond J. ↓, Powell N. ↑,
81', Freestone L. 🟨,
90+1', Wootton K. ↓, Andresson B. ↑,

Chances of winning

Stockport County
49.5%

Draw
29.1%

Stevenage Borough
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

25%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

24.3%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stockport County's form might have worsened.

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stockport County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Stockport County - Stevenage Borough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.66)	3.22 ↓ (3.65)	4.39 ↓ (4.6)	6.3% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Stockport County - Stevenage Borough?

Users Predictions: Stockport County will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.71% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 13).
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Stevenage could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Stevenage have a series of guest games.
In this match Stockport is a favorite.
There will not play in Stockport: Pye E. (Red Card)
There will not play in Stevenage: Forster-Caskey J. (Knee Injury) Smith K. (Injury)
There are questionable in Stockport: Camps C. (Injury) Hinchliffe B. (Muscle Injury) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Freeman N. (Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Stockport won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Stockport won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

How many head-to-head matches has Stockport County won against Stevenage Borough?

Stockport County has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Stockport County?

Stevenage Borough has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stockport County - Stevenage Borough were as follows:

14.12.2024 Stevenage Borough - Stockport County 2:1

18.02.2023 Stockport County - Stevenage Borough 2:0

Latest results of Stockport County

29.03.2025 Stockport County - Burton Albion 2:1 ✺

22.03.2025 Wrexham - Stockport County 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Stockport County 0:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Stockport County - Charlton Athletic 0:0 ✺

04.03.2025 Northampton Town - Stockport County 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

27.03.2025 Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Reading - Stevenage Borough 1:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Birmingham City - Stevenage Borough 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Stevenage Borough - Mansfield Town 1:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Cambridge United - Stevenage Borough 0:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stockport County	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bolton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Reading	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Wigan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Barnsley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Blackpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Cardiff	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Plymouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Doncaster	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Huddersfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leyton Orient	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Luton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Northampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Port Vale	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wycombe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bradford City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Lincoln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mansfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Peterborough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Rotherham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Burton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Exeter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Stevenage	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	AFC Wimbledon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two