Stevenage Borough vs Stockport County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 35
  • Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.191.52
Ball possession
30%70%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
75
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
27
Passes
52% (114/220)79% (403/511)
Yellow cards
15
Expected goals (xG)
1.191.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.45
Total shots
811
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
03
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
67
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
1224
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1412
Passes
52% (114/220)79% (403/511)
Long passes
22% (15/68)47% (35/75)
Passes in final third
40% (37/93)69% (118/172)
Crosses
44% (4/9)22% (8/37)
Expected assists (xA)
1.051.10
Throw ins
2947
Fouls
1214
Tackles
53% (10/19)57% (8/14)
Duels won
6961
Clearances
3831
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
1.451.57
Goals prevented
0.45-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', Stokes J. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Sidibeh A. , Bailey O. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Piergianni C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Thompson L. 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Phillips M. , Reid J. (A),
  • 66', Diamond J. 🟨,
  • 68', Bailey O. , Mothersille M. ,
  • 68', Edun T. , Osborn B. ,
  • 74', Sidibeh A. 🟨,
  • 75', Sidibeh A. , Olaofe T. ,
  • 76', Thompson L. , Houghton J. ,
  • 83', Hills B. 🟨,
  • 87', Phillips M. , Roberts J. ,
  • 87', Pye E. 🟨,
  • 88', Reid J. , Lubala B. ,
  • 88', White H. , Kemp D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stevenage Borough
33.5%
Draw
30.1%
Stockport County
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 29.5% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 29.7% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Stevenage Borough - Stockport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.99)
    3.1
    (3.17)
    2.58
    (2.38)
    6.6%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Stockport County?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Stockport will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 47.7%95.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Stevenage (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stevenage Borough will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Stockport (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Stockport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Stockport: Connolly C. (Injury) Hoskonen A. (Muscle Injury) Onyango T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Stevenage: Cornick H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stockport: Andresson B. (Inactive) Edun T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Stockport County were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Stockport County - Stevenage Borough 1:3
    01.04.2025 Stockport County - Stevenage Borough 3:0
    14.12.2024 Stevenage Borough - Stockport County 2:1
    18.02.2023 Stockport County - Stevenage Borough 2:0
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    Latest results of Stockport County
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln39259574:344084
    2Cardiff39238873:413277
    3Bolton391715755:391666
    4Bradford City391981249:44565
    5Stockport County371791151:48360
    6Stevenage381791241:38360
    7Plymouth391851660:54659
    8Reading3915131157:51658
    9Huddersfield391691459:51857
    10Wycombe3915111355:431256
    11Luton3915101452:49355
    12Peterborough381551857:52550
    13Barnsley3713111359:60-150
    14AFC Wimbledon381481649:55-650
    15Mansfield3712131247:41649
    16Leyton Orient381461855:62-748
    17Doncaster381381741:59-1847
    18Burton3912101744:54-1046
    19Wigan3811121541:51-1045
    20Exeter391191942:52-1042
    21Blackpool391191946:63-1742
    22Rotherham38992035:58-2336
    23Northampton39982233:56-2335
    24Port Vale367101929:49-2031

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two