Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 35
- Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
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| 52% (114/220) | 79% (403/511) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.57 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 0 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 12 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
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| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (114/220) | 79% (403/511) |
| Long passes |
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| 22% (15/68) | 47% (35/75) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 40% (37/93) | 69% (118/172) |
| Crosses |
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| 44% (4/9) | 22% (8/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.05 | 1.10 |
| Throw ins |
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| 29 | 47 |
| Fouls |
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| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
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| 53% (10/19) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
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| 69 | 61 |
| Clearances |
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| 38 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
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| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.45 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.45 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Stokes J. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Sidibeh A. ⚽, Bailey O. (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Piergianni C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Thompson L. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 1, Phillips M. ⚽, Reid J. (A),
- 66', Diamond J. 🟨,
- 68', Bailey O. ↓, Mothersille M. ↑,
- 68', Edun T. ↓, Osborn B. ↑,
- 74', Sidibeh A. 🟨,
- 75', Sidibeh A. ↓, Olaofe T. ↑,
- 76', Thompson L. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
- 83', Hills B. 🟨,
- 87', Phillips M. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
- 87', Pye E. 🟨,
- 88', Reid J. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
- 88', White H. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough 33.5% | Draw 30.1% | Stockport County 36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Stevenage Borough - Stockport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.82 ↓ (2.99) |
3.1 ↓ (3.17) |
2.58 ↑ (2.38) |
6.6% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Stockport County?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Stockport will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Stevenage (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stevenage Borough will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Stockport (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Stockport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Stockport: Connolly C.
(Injury)
Hoskonen A.
(Muscle Injury)
Onyango T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Cornick H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Stockport: Andresson B.
(Inactive)
Edun T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Stockport County?
Stevenage Borough has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stockport County won against Stevenage Borough?
Stockport County has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Stockport County were as follows:
13.12.2025
Stockport County
-
Stevenage Borough
1:3
01.04.2025
Stockport County
-
Stevenage Borough
3:0
14.12.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Stockport County
2:1
18.02.2023
Stockport County
-
Stevenage Borough
2:0
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Stockport County
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two