Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 35
- Referee: O'Connor J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (114/220) | 79% (403/511) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 52% (114/220) | 79% (403/511) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (15/68) | 47% (35/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (37/93) | 69% (118/172) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 22% (8/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.10 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 47 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Stokes J. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Sidibeh A. ⚽, Bailey O. (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Piergianni C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Thompson L. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 1, Phillips M. ⚽, Reid J. (A),
- 66', Diamond J. 🟨,
- 68', Bailey O. ↓, Mothersille M. ↑,
- 68', Edun T. ↓, Osborn B. ↑,
- 74', Sidibeh A. 🟨,
- 75', Sidibeh A. ↓, Olaofe T. ↑,
- 76', Thompson L. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
- 83', Hills B. 🟨,
- 87', Phillips M. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
- 87', Pye E. 🟨,
- 88', Reid J. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
- 88', White H. ↓, Kemp D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
33.5% | Draw
30.1% | Stockport County
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Stevenage Borough - Stockport County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.82 ↓
(2.99) |
3.1 ↓
(3.17) |
2.58 ↑
(2.38) |
6.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Stockport County?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Stockport will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stevenage: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Stevenage (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stevenage Borough will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Stockport (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Stockport may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Stockport: Connolly C.
(Injury)
Hoskonen A.
(Muscle Injury)
Onyango T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Cornick H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Stockport: Andresson B.
(Inactive)
Edun T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Stockport County?
Stevenage Borough has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stockport County won against Stevenage Borough?
Stockport County has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Stockport County were as follows:
13.12.2025
Stockport County
-
Stevenage Borough
1:3
01.04.2025
Stockport County
-
Stevenage Borough
3:0
14.12.2024
Stevenage Borough
-
Stockport County
2:1
18.02.2023
Stockport County
-
Stevenage Borough
2:0
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Stockport County
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
