Wycombe Wanderers vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
21/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 34
  • Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.441.16
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
53
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
64
Passes
73% (321/441)66% (226/343)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.441.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.92
Total shots
811
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
13
Blocked shots
25
Shots inside the box
26
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1120
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
86
Passes
73% (321/441)66% (226/343)
Long passes
34% (27/80)30% (30/100)
Passes in final third
56% (66/117)47% (60/129)
Crosses
16% (3/19)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.62
Throw ins
2320
Fouls
68
Tackles
46% (6/13)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4950
Clearances
2124
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.920.62
Goals prevented
-0.08-2.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Woodrow C. , Harvie D. (A),
  • 34', Earley S. , Roberts J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Houghton J. , Kemp D. ,
  • 46', Sweeney D. 🟨,
  • 47', Hagelskjaer A. 🟨,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Reid J. , Kemp D. (A),
  • 64', Harris L. , Quitirna A. ,
  • 64', Henderson E. , Morley A. ,
  • 64', Woodrow C. , Lowe N. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Lowe N. , Grimmer J. (A),
  • 74', Phillips M. , Patterson P. ,
  • 74', Phillips D. , Thompson L. ,
  • 75', Sweeney D. , Piergianni C. ,
  • 84', Boyd-Munce C. , Leahy L. ,
  • 90+3', Mullins J. , Allen T. ,
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, Quitirna A. , Lowe N. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wycombe Wanderers
47.1%
Draw
29.5%
Stevenage Borough
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 29.4% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 29.2% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.06)
    3.17
    (3.12)
    3.98
    (3.5)
    6.9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Wycombe Wanderers will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wycombe Wanderers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Wycombe is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Wycombe: Scowen J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wycombe: Boyd-Munce C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stevenage: Pattenden J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wycombe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Stevenage Borough - Wycombe Wanderers 1:0
    12.04.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 1:0
    26.12.2024 Stevenage Borough - Wycombe Wanderers 0:3
    24.02.2024 Stevenage Borough - Wycombe Wanderers 1:0
    11.11.2023 Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 0:1
    Latest results of Wycombe Wanderers
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 42289579:364393
    2Cardiff41249876:423481
    3Bradford City422181352:46671
    4Bolton421816859:441570
    5Stockport County4019101159:50967
    6Stevenage4119101243:38567
    7Plymouth421961766:58863
    8Huddersfield4217111465:56962
    9Reading4316141362:55762
    10Luton4117101457:50761
    11Wycombe4316121563:511260
    12Barnsley4014121463:65-254
    13Mansfield4013141350:43753
    14Doncaster421581943:64-2153
    15Wigan4213131646:56-1052
    16Peterborough411562060:58251
    17Burton4313121846:56-1051
    18Blackpool431492051:65-1451
    19Leyton Orient421482057:66-950
    20AFC Wimbledon421482049:63-1450
    21Exeter4312112047:55-847
    22Rotherham419102236:62-2637
    23Northampton41982434:60-2635
    24Port Vale398102130:54-2434

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship