Wycombe Wanderers vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
21/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 34
  • Referee: Russell M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.441.16
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
53
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
64
Passes
73% (321/441)66% (226/343)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.441.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.92
Total shots
811
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
13
Blocked shots
25
Shots inside the box
26
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1120
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
86
Passes
73% (321/441)66% (226/343)
Long passes
34% (27/80)30% (30/100)
Passes in final third
56% (66/117)47% (60/129)
Crosses
16% (3/19)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.62
Throw ins
2320
Fouls
68
Tackles
46% (6/13)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4950
Clearances
2124
Interceptions
103
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.920.62
Goals prevented
-0.08-2.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Woodrow C. , Harvie D. (A),
  • 34', Earley S. , Roberts J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Houghton J. , Kemp D. ,
  • 46', Sweeney D. 🟨,
  • 47', Hagelskjaer A. 🟨,
  • 49', 1 - 1, Reid J. , Kemp D. (A),
  • 64', Harris L. , Quitirna A. ,
  • 64', Henderson E. , Morley A. ,
  • 64', Woodrow C. , Lowe N. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Lowe N. , Grimmer J. (A),
  • 74', Phillips M. , Patterson P. ,
  • 74', Phillips D. , Thompson L. ,
  • 75', Sweeney D. , Piergianni C. ,
  • 84', Boyd-Munce C. , Leahy L. ,
  • 90+3', Mullins J. , Allen T. ,
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, Quitirna A. , Lowe N. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wycombe Wanderers
47.1%
Draw
29.5%
Stevenage Borough
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 29.4% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 29.2% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (2.06)
    3.17
    (3.12)
    3.98
    (3.5)
    6.9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Wycombe Wanderers will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Wycombe Wanderers will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Wycombe is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Wycombe: Scowen J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wycombe: Boyd-Munce C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stevenage: Pattenden J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wycombe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Stevenage Borough - Wycombe Wanderers 1:0
    12.04.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 1:0
    26.12.2024 Stevenage Borough - Wycombe Wanderers 0:3
    24.02.2024 Stevenage Borough - Wycombe Wanderers 1:0
    11.11.2023 Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 0:1
    Latest results of Wycombe Wanderers
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln39259574:344084
    2Cardiff39238873:413277
    3Bolton391715755:391666
    4Bradford City391981249:44565
    5Stockport County371791151:48360
    6Stevenage381791241:38360
    7Plymouth391851660:54659
    8Reading3915131157:51658
    9Huddersfield391691459:51857
    10Wycombe3915111355:431256
    11Luton3915101452:49355
    12Peterborough381551857:52550
    13Barnsley3713111359:60-150
    14AFC Wimbledon381481649:55-650
    15Mansfield3712131247:41649
    16Leyton Orient381461855:62-748
    17Doncaster381381741:59-1847
    18Burton3912101744:54-1046
    19Wigan3811121541:51-1045
    20Exeter391191942:52-1042
    21Blackpool391191946:63-1742
    22Rotherham38992035:58-2336
    23Northampton39982233:56-2335
    24Port Vale367101929:49-2031

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