Stirling Albion vs Greenock Morton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
09/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Shaw N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 33', 1 - 1, McNab R. , McLean R. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 2, Robertson K. ,
  • 45+1', 2 - 2, McLean R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, McLean R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Moffat O. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Cunningham R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Wilson I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, McNab R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, MacPherson C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Banner K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Garrity M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Carse M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Ballantyne C. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Stirling Albion
15.2%
Draw
20.6%
Greenock Morton
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.9% 18.9% 67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3% 18.1% 70.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stirling Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stirling Albion than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greenock Morton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Stirling Albion - Greenock Morton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.97
    (6.65)
    4.38
    (4.88)
    1.41
    (1.37)
    10.4%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Stirling Albion - Greenock Morton?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Greenock (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.25 - Greenock (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Greenock (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of Stirling has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Greenock is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Stirling may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Greenock is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stirling won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.8:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stirling won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
    Latest results of Stirling Albion
    Latest results of Greenock Morton
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1ArbroathKelty Hearts3 : 2
    2Elgin CityEast Fife2 : 3
    3AlloaAirdrieonians2 : 3
    4MontroseSpartans2 : 1
    5Queen's ParkClyde2 : 1
    6Forfar AthleticEdinburgh City2 : 1
    7RaithHamilton5 : 2
    8Queen of SouthDunfermline4 : 3
    9Hearts BSt Johnstone0 : 1
    10Ross CountyCeltic B4 : 0
    11AyrPeterhead2 : 1
    12East KilbrideStranraer1 : 4
    13Cove RangersPartick Thistle1 : 2
    14DumbartonInverness0 : 9
    15StirlingMorton3 : 2
    16StenhousemuirAnnan2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArbroathEast Fife3 : 0
    2AirdrieoniansMontrose3 : 1
    3Queen's ParkForfar Athletic2 : 0
    4RaithQueen of South1 : 0
    5St JohnstoneRoss County2 : 0
    6AyrStranraer4 : 1
    7Partick ThistleInverness3 : 4
    8StirlingStenhousemuir1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ArbroathAirdrieonians2 : 3
    2Queen's ParkRaith1 : 2
    3St JohnstoneAyr3 : 4
    4InvernessStenhousemuir1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1AirdrieoniansRaith1 : 2
    2AyrInverness1 : 2

    Final
    1RaithInverness