Result
3:2
31/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 21
- Referee: Thorarinsson V. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (369/434) | 80% (252/314) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (369/434) | 80% (252/314) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (40/63) | 51% (34/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (83/129) | 70% (74/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (5/33) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.57 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 2.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Edmundsson J. S. 🟨,
- 8', Eggertsson O. 🟨,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Steingrimsson H. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 2, Ingason B. ⚽, Gudmundsson H. (A),
- 58', Gunnarsson J. ↓, Fridjonsson S. ↑,
- 58', Eggertsson O. ↓, Gudlaugsson B. ↑,
- 58', Thorisson T. ↓, Orvarsson O. ↑,
- 65', Gudlaugsson B. 🟨,
- 71', Ingason B. 🟨,
- 71', Romer M. ↓, Sigurgeirsson A. ↑,
- 72', Ingason B. ↓, Adalsteinsson B. ↑,
- 74', Stole I. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 2, Waren B. ⚽, Nokkvason G. (A),
- 76', Edmundsson J. S. ↓, Kjartansson V. ↑,
- 76', Hauksson A. 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 2, Bjarnason A. (Pen),
- 84', Hauksson A. ↓, Conteh A. ↑,
- 84', Dankerlui D. ↓, Ingimarsson S. T. ↑,
- 90+9', Stole I. ↓, Valsson D. ↑,
- 90+9', 3 - 2, Nokkvason G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Stjarnan
44.1% | Draw
24.3% | KA Akureyri
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)KA Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KA Akureyri than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Stjarnan - KA Akureyri Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.2) |
3.83 ↑
(3.78) |
2.94 ↑
(2.83) |
7.5%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Stjarnan - KA Akureyri?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stjarnan (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Stjarnan will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).
- Stjarnan is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 2.
- Stjarnan is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- KA Akureyri has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Stjarnan could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stjarnan won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stjarnan won against KA Akureyri?
Stjarnan has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KA Akureyri won against Stjarnan?
KA Akureyri has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stjarnan - KA Akureyri were as follows:
01.06.2025
KA Akureyri
-
Stjarnan
1:1
18.08.2024
KA Akureyri
-
Stjarnan
1:1
26.05.2024
Stjarnan
-
KA Akureyri
5:0
26.08.2023
KA Akureyri
-
Stjarnan
2:1
02.06.2023
Stjarnan
-
KA Akureyri
4:0
Latest results of Stjarnan
Latest results of KA Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur ✔ | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 52:33 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 40:27 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | Stjarnan ✔ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 | Breidablik ✔ | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Hafnarfjordur | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Fram | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 28 |
| 7 | Vestmannaeyjar | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 8 | Vestri | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | KA Akureyri | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:38 | -13 | 26 |
| 10 | KR Reykjavik ✔ | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 42:44 | -2 | 24 |
| 11 | Afturelding ✔ | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Akranes ✔ | 20 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Valur is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Vikingur Reykjavik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Stjarnan is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
Breidablik is Qualified for Besta deild karla (Championship Group )
KR Reykjavik is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Afturelding is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
Akranes is Besta deild karla (Relegation Group )
