Stoke City U21 vs Derby County U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League 2 Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21
Result
5:3
14/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Premier League 2
  • Referee: Morland S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
1711
Shots on Goal
78
Shots off Goal
103
Corner Kicks
71
Goalkeeper Saves
52
Yellow Cards
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Mmaee R. ,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Tezgel E. ,
  • 26', Robinson K. 🟨,
  • 31', 2 - 1, Wheeldon L. , Allen C. (A),
  • 42', 2 - 2, Wheeldon L. , Allen C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Mmaee R. , Smith W. ,
  • 53', Smith W. 🟨,
  • 57', Moloney R. 🟨,
  • 66', Vidigal A. , Griffiths J. ,
  • 66', Grogan C. , Mears J. ,
  • 70', 2 - 3, Eames O. , Moloney R. (A),
  • 72', 3 - 3, Tezgel E. (Pen),
  • 73', Tezgel E. 🟨,
  • 76', Eames O. , Ilesanmi E. ,
  • 80', 4 - 3, Tezgel E. ,
  • 83', Allen C. , Oguntolu J. ,
  • 83', Osayande A. , Canoville R. ,
  • 88', Dixon J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 5 - 3, Tezgel E. , Fawunmi F. (A),

Chances of winning


Stoke City U21
48.4%
Draw
21.8%
Derby County U21
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 22.4% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 21.5% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stoke City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stoke City U21's performance.
  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derby County U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City U21 than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stoke City U21 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.47)
    4.24
    (4.08)
    3.11
    (2.24)
    8.1%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stoke U21 will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Derby U21 will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 26 and 21).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Stoke U21 won 3.
    • One and the other team has got a line of lost games.
    • Derby U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Stoke U21 won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:15 (average 2.4:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stoke U21 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21 were as follows:
    15.03.2024 Derby County U21 - Stoke City U21 1:2
    20.03.2023 Derby County U21 - Stoke City U21 1:6
    07.11.2022 Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21 4:0
    Latest results of Stoke City U21
    English Premier League 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Brighton U2122008:086
    2Chelsea U2122008:176
    3Manchester Utd U2122005:236
    4Fulham U2122007:526
    5Ipswich U2122007:526
    6Southampton U2122005:326
    7Birmingham U2121105:234
    8Leicester U2121104:224
    9Wolves U2121104:314
    10Nottingham U2121103:214
    11Leeds U2121015:323
    12Tottenham U2121017:613
    13Crystal Palace U2111003:213
    14Manchester City U2121014:403
    15Everton U2121014:403
    16Burnley U2121014:403
    17Aston Villa U2121013:4-13
    18Stoke City U2120204:402
    19Reading U2120201:102
    20Arsenal U2120114:5-11
    21Norwich U2120113:5-21
    22Middlesbrough U2110010:1-10
    23Sunderland U2120025:8-30
    24Liverpool U2120024:7-30
    25West Ham U2120021:4-30
    26Derby U2120023:7-40
    27Blackburn U2120020:5-50
    28Newcastle Utd U2120021:7-60
    29West Brom U2120021:7-60

          Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)