Stoke City U21 vs Derby County U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
21/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League Cup

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 69', 0 - 1, Oguntolu J. ,
  • 90+8', 1 - 1, Curley R. ,

Chances of winning


Stoke City U21
47.3%
Draw
22.1%
Derby County U21
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 20.3% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5% 19.6% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stoke City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City U21's form might have worsened.
  • Derby County U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derby County U21's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City U21 than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derby County U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.58)
    4.12
    (4.47)
    2.95
    (4.1)
    10.5%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke U21 won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Stoke U21 could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stoke U21 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 2.7:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stoke U21 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21 were as follows:
    21.11.2025 Derby County U21 - Stoke City U21 2:2
    14.03.2025 Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21 5:3
    15.03.2024 Derby County U21 - Stoke City U21 1:2
    20.03.2023 Derby County U21 - Stoke City U21 1:6
    07.11.2022 Stoke City U21 - Derby County U21 4:0
    Latest results of Derby County U21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Nottingham U21Sunderland U211 : 6
    2Watford U21Charlton U213 : 2
    3Ipswich U21Blackburn U212 : 3
    4Reading U21Stoke City U215 : 0
    5Burnley U21Brentford U213 : 2
    6Colchester U21Swansea U211 : 0
    7Sheffield Utd U21Bournemouth U211 : 2
    8West Brom U21QPR U211 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sunderland U21Watford U213 : 1
    2Blackburn U21Reading U21
    3Burnley U21Colchester U215 : 2
    4Bournemouth U21West Brom U21