Stoke City vs Sheffield United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 24
  • Referee: Busby J. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.532.05
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
76% (341/446)77% (313/407)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.532.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.381.84
Total shots
715
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
513
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2132
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
49
Passes
76% (341/446)77% (313/407)
Long passes
53% (39/73)29% (20/68)
Passes in final third
48% (48/99)61% (74/122)
Crosses
16% (4/25)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.550.99
Throw-ins
2614
Fouls
94
Tackles
73% (11/15)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4844
Clearances
2336
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.840.38
Goals prevented
-0.16-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 0 - 1, Riedewald J. ,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Cannon T. , Burrows H. (A),
  • 57', Manhoef M. , Bae J. ,
  • 58', Gallagher S. , Bozenik R. ,
  • 58', Mubama D. , Cisse L. ,
  • 58', N'Zonzi S. , Pearson B. ,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Wilmot B. ,
  • 74', Campbell T. , Bamford P. ,
  • 74', Brooks A. , Chong T. ,
  • 74', Soumare D. , Arblaster O. ,
  • 74', Seko T. , Rigo T. ,
  • 76', Seriki F. 🟨,
  • 87', Cannon T. , McGuinness M. ,
  • 88', Pearson B. 🟥,
  • 90+5', Riedewald J. , Matos A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stoke City
34.8%
Draw
28%
Sheffield United
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 28.6% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 28.5% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Sheffield United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Stoke City - Sheffield United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.58)
    3.36
    (3.27)
    2.53
    (2.66)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Stoke City - Sheffield United?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). Sheff Utd will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 24.7%66.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 1 - 25%). Sheff Utd (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Stoke (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Sheff Utd (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Stoke (3.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Sheff Utd (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 1.
    • Stoke is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sheff Utd has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Stoke: Baker L. (Ankle Injury) Tchamadeu J. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Sheff Utd: Davies T. (Calf Injury) Mee B. (Hand Injury) Peck S. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stoke: Cresswell A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sheff Utd: Godfrey B. (Personal Reasons)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Sheffield United were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Sheffield United - Stoke City 4:0
    25.04.2025 Stoke City - Sheffield United 0:2
    26.10.2024 Sheffield United - Stoke City 2:0
    14.01.2023 Sheffield United - Stoke City 3:1
    08.10.2022 Stoke City - Sheffield United 3:1
    Latest results of Stoke City
    Latest results of Sheffield United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One