Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        18/10/2025 at  10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Championship - Round 10
- Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Usa | Paramount+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.59 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 56% | 44% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 5 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (453/532) | 79% (331/417) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.59 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.09 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 5 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 4 | 0 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 4 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 20 | 9 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 8 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (453/532) | 79% (331/417) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 45% (27/60) | 37% (22/59) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 75% (128/170) | 67% (64/95) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 0% (0/19) | 6% (1/18) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.25 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 19 | 19 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 8 | 5 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 87% (13/15) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 31 | 42 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 24 | 28 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 1 | 8 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.47 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.53 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Thomas S. ⚽, Cresswell A. (A), 
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Sheaf B. ↓, Broadhead N. ↑, 
- 62', Longman R. ↓, Cacace L. ↑, 
- 62', Dobson G. ↓, James M. ↑, 
- 74', Mubama D. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑, 
- 75', Kabore I. ↓, Barnett R. ↑, 
- 82', Manhoef M. ↓, Cisse L. ↑, 
- 82', Seko T. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑, 
- 84', Hyam D. ↓, Smith S. ↑, 
- 87', Cisse L. 🟨, 
- 90', Wilmot B. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Stoke City 51.8%
 | Draw 26.9%
 | Wrexham 21.3%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Stoke City - Wrexham Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.86 ↓ (1.92)
 | 3.72 ↑ (3.55)
 | 4.99 ↑ (3.95)
 | 0.7% (5.5%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Stoke City - Wrexham?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            15 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Wrexham will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 2 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
- Stoke has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wrexham is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Stoke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Stoke is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Stoke: Lawal B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H.
(Ankle Injury)
Cacace L.
(Knock)
Cannon A.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Leg Injury)
Ward D.
(Elbow Injury)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Baker L.
(Calf Injury)
Gallagher S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Wrexham: Rathbone O.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 3.3:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Stoke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Wrexham?
                    
                    
                        
                            Stoke City has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Stoke City?
                    
                    
                        
                             Wrexham has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Wrexham were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Stoke City                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Wrexham                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
English League Championship Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Coventry | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 34:9 | 25 | 28 | 
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 25 | 
| 3 | Millwall | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 23 | 
| 4 | Bristol City | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 22 | 
| 5 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 21 | 
| 6 | Charlton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 19 | 
| 7 | Preston | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 | 
| 8 | Hull | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 | 
| 9 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 | 
| 10 | Leicester | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 | 
| 11 | West Brom | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 17 | 
| 12 | Ipswich | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 | 
| 13 | Swansea | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 | 
| 14 | Watford | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Birmingham | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 | 
| 16 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 | 
| 17 | Derby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 | 
| 18 | Portsmouth | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 | 
| 19 | Oxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 | 
| 20 | Southampton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 | 
| 21 | Blackburn | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 10 | 
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 | 
| 23 | Norwich | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:18 | -6 | 8 | 
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | -6 | 
      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One