Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 10
- Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (453/532) | 79% (331/417) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (453/532) | 79% (331/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (27/60) | 37% (22/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (128/170) | 67% (64/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/19) | 6% (1/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Thomas S. ⚽, Cresswell A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Sheaf B. ↓, Broadhead N. ↑,
- 62', Longman R. ↓, Cacace L. ↑,
- 62', Dobson G. ↓, James M. ↑,
- 74', Mubama D. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
- 75', Kabore I. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
- 82', Manhoef M. ↓, Cisse L. ↑,
- 82', Seko T. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,
- 84', Hyam D. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
- 87', Cisse L. 🟨,
- 90', Wilmot B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stoke City
51.8% | Draw
26.9% | Wrexham
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Stoke City - Wrexham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(1.92) |
3.72 ↑
(3.55) |
4.99 ↑
(3.95) |
0.7%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Wrexham?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Wrexham will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 35.2% – 84.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Stoke (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Stoke (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Stoke (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stoke City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Stoke (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
- Stoke has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wrexham is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Stoke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Stoke is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Stoke: Lawal B.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H.
(Ankle Injury)
Cacace L.
(Knock)
Cannon A.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Leg Injury)
Ward D.
(Elbow Injury)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Baker L.
(Calf Injury)
Gallagher S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Wrexham: Rathbone O.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 3.3:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Stoke won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Wrexham?
Stoke City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Stoke City?
Wrexham has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Wrexham were as follows:
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Wrexham
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 70:37 | 33 | 68 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:34 | 17 | 63 |
| 3 | Millwall | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 59 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56:34 | 22 | 57 |
| 5 | Hull | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | 7 | 57 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 53:45 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Southampton | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 54:45 | 9 | 50 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 47:42 | 5 | 50 |
| 9 | Preston | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 49 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:43 | 2 | 49 |
| 11 | Derby | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
| 12 | Watford | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 48 |
| 13 | Stoke | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 38:32 | 6 | 47 |
| 14 | QPR | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 47 |
| 15 | Swansea | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 40:40 | 0 | 46 |
| 16 | Sheffield Utd | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 48:48 | 0 | 45 |
| 17 | Norwich | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 45:44 | 1 | 42 |
| 18 | Charlton | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 34:43 | -9 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 32:43 | -11 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 47:54 | -7 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 29:46 | -17 | 29 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 34 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 20:68 | -48 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
