Dumbarton vs Stranraer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish League Two Dumbarton - Stranraer
Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 8

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Hunter L. 🟨,
  • 24', Roy A. 🟨,
  • 31', BJ 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Russell M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Roy A. , Johnston C. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Durnan M. ,
  • 60', Gillies M. , Docherty S. ,
  • 60', BJ , Quigg A. ,
  • 60', Hunter L. , O'Donnell C. ,
  • 70', Honeyman S. , Wallace T. ,
  • 73', McKnight K. , Lang D. ,
  • 81', Tomlinson S. , Falconer T. ,
  • 87', Quigg A. 🟨,
  • 88', Russell M. , Plank D. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Dolan J. , Lang D. (A),

Chances of winning


Dumbarton
54.9%
Draw
23.7%
Stranraer
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 23.7% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 23.1% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dumbarton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Stranraer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Dumbarton - Stranraer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.67)
    3.84
    (3.88)
    4.38
    (4.33)
    8.5%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Dumbarton - Stranraer?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dumbarton (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 2.
    • Dumbarton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Stranraer is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Dumbarton is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dumbarton won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dumbarton - Stranraer were as follows:
    20.04.2024 Stranraer - Dumbarton 0:0
    05.03.2024 Stranraer - Dumbarton 5:0
    24.02.2024 Dumbarton - Stranraer 2:1
    30.09.2023 Dumbarton - Stranraer 3:1
    06.05.2023 Dumbarton - Stranraer 1:1
    Latest results of Dumbarton
    23.09.2025 Dumbarton - Kelty Hearts 3:3
    20.09.2025 East Kilbride - Dumbarton 1:1
    06.09.2025 East Fife - Dumbarton 1:1
    30.08.2025 Dumbarton - Edinburgh City 1:2
    Latest results of Stranraer
    23.09.2025 Stranraer - Motherwell 2 3:0
    20.09.2025 Stranraer - Elgin City 1:1
    13.09.2025 Stranraer - Spartans 0:2
    06.09.2025 Kelty Hearts - Stranraer 3:0
    Scottish League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spartans960315:10518
    2East Kilbride943219:14515
    3Clyde934217:11613
    4Stirling932414:18-411
    5Forfar Athletic932410:14-411
    6Annan932412:17-511
    7Dumbarton943217:15210
    8Elgin City923413:14-19
    9Stranraer91266:13-75
    10Edinburgh City943216:1330

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