Strasbourg vs Le Havre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Strasbourg - Le Havre
Result
2:3
17/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 34
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.462.46
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
89% (412/465)84% (380/454)
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.462.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.572.63
Total shots
610
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
00
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
06
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
818
Passes
89% (412/465)84% (380/454)
Long passes
41% (9/22)43% (23/53)
Passes in final third
72% (69/96)70% (62/89)
Crosses
13% (2/16)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.83
Throw-ins
1222
Fouls
188
Tackles
58% (7/12)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4246
Clearances
1321
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.632.57
Goals prevented
-0.370.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Andrey Santos ⚽, Doue G. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Toure A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 53', 2 - 1, Nanasi S. ⚽,
  • 63', Sangante A. ↓, Koka ↑,
  • 64', Ayew A. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Casimir J. ⚽, Soumare I. (A),
  • 75', Barco V. ↓, Diarra H. ↑,
  • 75', Bakwa D. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
  • 76', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Diawara M. ↑,
  • 79', Mara S. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
  • 83', Nanasi S. 🟨,
  • 88', Lemarechal F. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
  • 88', Kechta Y. ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
  • 89', Casimir J. ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
  • 90+5', Omobamidele A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 2 - 3, Toure A. (Pen),
  • 90+8', Omobamidele A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Strasbourg
63.9%		Draw
19.5%		Le Havre
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 22.7% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 22% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
    •

    Strasbourg - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.49 ↓
    (1.56)    		 4.9 ↑
    (4.17)    		 5.84 ↑
    (5.73)    		 4.7%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). Le Havre will win (votes: 5 - 13.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 59.7% – 87.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Strasbourg will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 4.
    • Strasbourg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Le Havre is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Strasbourg is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Dion M. S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Le Havre: El Hajjam O. (Tooth injury) Kitala Y. (Ankle Injury) Logbo A. (Shoulder Injury) Mwanga J. (Loan agreement)
    • There are questionable in Strasbourg: Emegha E. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Le Havre were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Le Havre - Strasbourg 0:3
    04.05.2024 Le Havre - Strasbourg 3:1
    07.02.2024 Strasbourg - Le Havre 3:1
    10.12.2023 Strasbourg - Le Havre 2:1
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    10.05.2025 Angers - Strasbourg 2:1 ✺
    03.05.2025 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain 2:1 ✺
    26.04.2025 Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne 3:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 0:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Strasbourg - Nice 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Le Havre
    10.05.2025 Le Havre - Olympique Marseille 1:3 ✺
    04.05.2025 Auxerre - Le Havre 1:2 ✺
    26.04.2025 Le Havre - Monaco 1:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre 2:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Le Havre - Rennes 1:5 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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