Strasbourg vs Le Havre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 4
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chinaChinaMigu
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 6, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.69
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
88% (400/453)87% (408/468)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.340.10
Total shots
910
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1615
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
167
Passes
88% (400/453)87% (408/468)
Long passes
62% (23/37)47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
73% (66/90)73% (68/93)
Crosses
29% (5/17)23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.23
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
816
Tackles
78% (14/18)73% (19/26)
Duels won
5747
Clearances
2317
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.101.34
Goals prevented
0.100.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Hogsberg L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lemarechal F. , Paez K. ,
  • 46', Chilwell B. , Ouattara A. ,
  • 46', Amougou M. , Amo-Ameyaw S. ,
  • 69', Ndiaye R. , Seko A. ,
  • 69', Doucoure F. , Khadra R. ,
  • 70', Luis R. , El Mourabet S. ,
  • 75', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
  • 76', Toure A. , Ebonog S. ,
  • 82', Moreira D. , Godo M. ,
  • 90', Kechta Y. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 0, Panichelli J. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Sangante A. , Mambimbi F. ,
  • 90+3', Kechta Y. , Youte Kinkoue E. ,
  • 90+4', Hogsberg L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Strasbourg
55.1%
Draw
24.5%
Le Havre
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 22.4% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 21.9% 16.3%

Strasbourg - Le Havre Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.72
(1.56)
3.94
(4.25)
4.78
(5.68)
4.6%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 61.2%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 3.
    • Strasbourg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Le Havre is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Strasbourg is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Coulibaly S. (Calf Injury) Doue G. (Injury) Emegha E. (Injury) Enciso J. (Knee Injury) Nanasi S. (Injury) Nzingoula R. (Red Card) Omobamidele A. (Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury) Sylla A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Strasbourg: Penders M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Le Havre were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Strasbourg - Le Havre 2:3
    15.12.2024 Le Havre - Strasbourg 0:3
    04.05.2024 Le Havre - Strasbourg 3:1
    07.02.2024 Strasbourg - Le Havre 3:1
    10.12.2023 Strasbourg - Le Havre 2:1
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    31.08.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 3:2
    28.08.2025 Brøndby - Strasbourg 2:3
    24.08.2025 Strasbourg - Nantes 1:0
    21.08.2025 Strasbourg - Brøndby 0:0
    17.08.2025 Metz - Strasbourg 0:1
    Latest results of Le Havre
    31.08.2025 Le Havre - Nice 3:1
    24.08.2025 Le Havre - Lens 1:2
    16.08.2025 Monaco - Le Havre 3:1
    02.08.2025 Paris FC - Le Havre 1:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens16121328:131537
    2PSG16113235:142136
    3Marseille16102436:152132
    4Lille16102433:201332
    5Lyon1683522:16627
    6Rennes1676327:24327
    7Strasbourg1672725:20523
    8Toulouse1665524:19523
    9Monaco1672726:27-123
    10Angers1664617:18-122
    11Brest1654721:27-619
    12Lorient1646619:28-918
    13Nice1652919:29-1017
    14Paris FC1644821:29-816
    15Le Havre1636713:22-915
    16Auxerre16331014:25-1112
    17Nantes1625914:28-1411
    18Metz16321117:37-2011

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