Strasbourg vs Le Havre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Strasbourg - Le Havre
Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 4
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chinaChinaMigu
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 6, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.69
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
71
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
88% (400/453)87% (408/468)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.420.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.340.10
Total shots
910
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1615
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
167
Passes
88% (400/453)87% (408/468)
Long passes
62% (23/37)47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
73% (66/90)73% (68/93)
Crosses
29% (5/17)23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.23
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
816
Tackles
78% (14/18)73% (19/26)
Duels won
5747
Clearances
2317
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.101.34
Goals prevented
0.100.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Hogsberg L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lemarechal F. , Paez K. ,
  • 46', Chilwell B. , Ouattara A. ,
  • 46', Amougou M. , Amo-Ameyaw S. ,
  • 69', Ndiaye R. , Seko A. ,
  • 69', Doucoure F. , Khadra R. ,
  • 70', Luis R. , El Mourabet S. ,
  • 75', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
  • 76', Toure A. , Ebonog S. ,
  • 82', Moreira D. , Godo M. ,
  • 90', Kechta Y. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 0, Panichelli J. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Sangante A. , Mambimbi F. ,
  • 90+3', Kechta Y. , Youte Kinkoue E. ,
  • 90+4', Hogsberg L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Strasbourg
55.1%
Draw
24.5%
Le Havre
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 22.4% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 21.9% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strasbourg's form might have worsened.
  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strasbourg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Strasbourg - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.56)
    3.94
    (4.25)
    4.78
    (5.68)
    4.6%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 61.2%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 3.
    • Strasbourg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Le Havre is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Strasbourg is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Coulibaly S. (Calf Injury) Doue G. (Injury) Emegha E. (Injury) Enciso J. (Knee Injury) Nanasi S. (Injury) Nzingoula R. (Red Card) Omobamidele A. (Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury) Sylla A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Strasbourg: Penders M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Le Havre were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Strasbourg - Le Havre 2:3
    15.12.2024 Le Havre - Strasbourg 0:3
    04.05.2024 Le Havre - Strasbourg 3:1
    07.02.2024 Strasbourg - Le Havre 3:1
    10.12.2023 Strasbourg - Le Havre 2:1
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    31.08.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 3:2
    28.08.2025 Brøndby - Strasbourg 2:3
    24.08.2025 Strasbourg - Nantes 1:0
    21.08.2025 Strasbourg - Brøndby 0:0
    17.08.2025 Metz - Strasbourg 0:1
    Latest results of Le Havre
    31.08.2025 Le Havre - Nice 3:1
    24.08.2025 Le Havre - Lens 1:2
    16.08.2025 Monaco - Le Havre 3:1
    02.08.2025 Paris FC - Le Havre 1:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG650112:4815
    2Lyon65018:3515
    3Marseille640212:5712
    4Monaco640214:10412
    5Strasbourg64029:7212
    6Lille631213:9410
    7Lens63128:5310
    8Paris FC731312:13-110
    9Rennes62317:8-19
    10Brest621311:1107
    11Toulouse62139:11-27
    12Nice62137:10-37
    13Lorient72149:16-77
    14Auxerre62044:8-46
    15Le Havre61236:8-25
    16Nantes61235:7-25
    17Angers61233:6-35
    18Metz60245:13-82

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