Result
2:3
17/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 34
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (412/465) | 84% (380/454) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 2.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (412/465) | 84% (380/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 43% (23/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (69/96) | 70% (62/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.63 | 2.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Andrey Santos ⚽, Doue G. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Toure A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 53', 2 - 1, Nanasi S. ⚽,
- 63', Sangante A. ↓, Koka ↑,
- 64', Ayew A. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 2, Casimir J. ⚽, Soumare I. (A),
- 75', Barco V. ↓, Diarra H. ↑,
- 75', Bakwa D. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 76', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Diawara M. ↑,
- 79', Mara S. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
- 83', Nanasi S. 🟨,
- 88', Lemarechal F. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
- 88', Kechta Y. ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
- 89', Casimir J. ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
- 90+5', Omobamidele A. 🟨,
- 90+6', 2 - 3, Toure A. (Pen),
- 90+8', Omobamidele A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg
63.9% | Draw
19.5% | Le Havre
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Strasbourg - Le Havre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.56) |
4.9 ↑
(4.17) |
5.84 ↑
(5.73) |
4.7%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Le Havre?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). Le Havre will win (votes: 5 - 13.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 59.7% – 87.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Strasbourg will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 4.
- Strasbourg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Le Havre is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Strasbourg is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Dion M. S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Le Havre: El Hajjam O.
(Tooth injury)
Kitala Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Logbo A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mwanga J.
(Loan agreement)
- There are questionable in Strasbourg: Emegha E.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Le Havre?
Strasbourg has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Strasbourg?
Le Havre has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Le Havre were as follows:
15.12.2024
Le Havre
-
Strasbourg
0:3
04.05.2024
Le Havre
-
Strasbourg
3:1
07.02.2024
Strasbourg
-
Le Havre
3:1
10.12.2023
Strasbourg
-
Le Havre
2:1
Latest results of Strasbourg
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
