Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 4
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 China | Migu |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 6, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (400/453) | 87% (408/468) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (400/453) | 87% (408/468) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (23/37) | 47% (21/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (66/90) | 73% (68/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 73% (19/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Hogsberg L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lemarechal F. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
- 46', Chilwell B. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
- 46', Amougou M. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 69', Ndiaye R. ↓, Seko A. ↑,
- 69', Doucoure F. ↓, Khadra R. ↑,
- 70', Luis R. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
- 75', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
- 76', Toure A. ↓, Ebonog S. ↑,
- 82', Moreira D. ↓, Godo M. ↑,
- 90', Kechta Y. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, Panichelli J. (Pen),
- 90+3', Sangante A. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
- 90+3', Kechta Y. ↓, Youte Kinkoue E. ↑,
- 90+4', Hogsberg L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg
55.1% | Draw
24.5% | Le Havre
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strasbourg's form might have worsened.Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strasbourg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Strasbourg - Le Havre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.56) |
3.94 ↓
(4.25) |
4.78 ↓
(5.68) |
4.6%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Le Havre?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 6.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 61.2% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 3.
- Strasbourg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Le Havre is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Strasbourg is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Coulibaly S.
(Calf Injury)
Doue G.
(Injury)
Emegha E.
(Injury)
Enciso J.
(Knee Injury)
Nanasi S.
(Injury)
Nzingoula R.
(Red Card)
Omobamidele A.
(Injury)
Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
Sylla A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Strasbourg: Penders M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Le Havre?
Strasbourg has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Strasbourg?
Le Havre has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Le Havre were as follows:
17.05.2025
Strasbourg
-
Le Havre
2:3
15.12.2024
Le Havre
-
Strasbourg
0:3
04.05.2024
Le Havre
-
Strasbourg
3:1
07.02.2024
Strasbourg
-
Le Havre
3:1
10.12.2023
Strasbourg
-
Le Havre
2:1
Latest results of Strasbourg
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
