Result
2:1
08/02/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 21
- Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 10, Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (331/385) | 86% (333/389) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (331/385) | 86% (333/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (18/39) | 57% (24/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (92/120) | 66% (53/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 40% (8/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (17/27) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 1 - 0, Zagadou S. ⚽, Boufal S. (A),
- 29', Doukoure I. 🟥,
- 32', Chilwell B. 🟨,
- 33', Mwanga J. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
- 36', 1 - 1, Godo M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 2 - 1, Soumare I. ⚽, Sangante A. (A),
- 63', Vinette E. K. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
- 64', Doucoure F. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
- 74', Gourna-Douath L. 🟨,
- 76', Godo M. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 78', Sangante A. ↓, Lloris G. ↑,
- 79', Boufal S. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
- 84', Enciso J. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
- 85', Soumare I. 🟨,
- 89', Ebonog S. ↓, Mosengo D. N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Le Havre
21.7% | Draw
25.7% | Strasbourg
52.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Strasbourg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Le Havre - Strasbourg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.41 ↑
(3.69) |
3.72 ↑
(3.42) |
1.81 ↓
(2) |
4.8%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Strasbourg?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Strasbourg (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2 - Strasbourg (5.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Strasbourg (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Strasbourg will win
(47 of 55 users predict this - 85.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.13% – 94.77%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Strasbourg will win (32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 39 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 2 - 5.1%). Strasbourg (votes: 35 - 89.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2.
- Recent performances by Le Havre have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Strasbourg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Strasbourg is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Le Havre: Khadra R.
(Shoulder Injury)
Seko A.
(Ribs Injury)
Toure A.
(Knee Injury)
Vinette E. K.
(Shoulder Injury)
Youte Kinkoue E.
(Health problems)
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Lloris G.
(Injury)
Samatta A.
(Knock)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Strasbourg?
Le Havre has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Le Havre?
Strasbourg has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Strasbourg were as follows:
14.09.2025
Strasbourg
-
Le Havre
1:0
17.05.2025
Strasbourg
-
Le Havre
2:3
15.12.2024
Le Havre
-
Strasbourg
0:3
04.05.2024
Le Havre
-
Strasbourg
3:1
07.02.2024
Strasbourg
-
Le Havre
3:1
Latest results of Le Havre
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
