Result
2:1
25/01/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 19
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3, Moja TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 1, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 16 | 35 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (368/420) | 88% (515/582) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 57% (32/56) | 71% (97/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 29% (6/21) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 60% (12/20) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 35 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Sahraoui O. ⚽,
- 19', Doukoure I. 🟨,
- 33', Gudmundsson G. 🟨,
- 37', Andrey Santos 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Nanasi S. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
- 64', Diarra H. 🟨,
- 65', Ouattara A. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 1, Andrey Santos ⚽,
- 74', 2 - 1, Emegha E. ⚽, Diarra H. (A),
- 76', Bakker M. 🟨,
- 79', Ouattara A. ↓, Sebas J. ↑,
- 80', Lemarechal F. ↓, Senaya M. ↑,
- 80', Sahraoui O. ↓, Cabella R. ↑,
- 80', Bakker M. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
- 86', Bouaddi A. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 86', Emegha E. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
- 89', Bayo M. ↓, Malouda A. ↑,
- 90+2', Moreira D. ↓, Sylla A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg
31.2% | Draw
29.5% | Lille
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Strasbourg - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↓
(3.5) |
3.24 ↓
(3.49) |
2.45 ↑
(2.09) |
4.4%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Lille?
Users Predictions:
50 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 19 - 38%). Lille will win (votes: 6 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.1% – 63.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 1.
- Strasbourg in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Lille is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recently Strasbourg have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Bakwa D.
(Knee Injury)
Bellaarouch A.
(Groin Injury)
Delaine T.
(Back Injury)
Dion M. S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sobol E.
(Yellow Cards)
Wiley C.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N.
(Heart Problems)
David J.
(Yellow Cards)
Fernandez-Pardo M.
(Ankle Injury)
Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
Zhegrova E.
(Groin Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17:25 (average 1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Strasbourg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Lille?
Strasbourg has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Strasbourg?
Lille has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Lille were as follows:
21.09.2024
Lille
-
Strasbourg
3:3
21.04.2024
Lille
-
Strasbourg
1:0
20.12.2023
Strasbourg
-
Lille
2:1
12.02.2023
Lille
-
Strasbourg
2:0
14.10.2022
Strasbourg
-
Lille
0:3
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
