Strasbourg vs Lille: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Strasbourg - Lille
Result
2:1
25/01/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 19
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
Strasbourg - Lille - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.061.58
Ball Possession
42%58%
Goal Attempts
1115
Shots on Goal
76
Shots off Goal
25
Blocked Shots
24
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
67
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
55
Free Kicks
910
Offsides
42
Fouls
109
Yellow Cards
42
Throw-ins
1119
Touches in the Opposition Box
1635
Passes
88% (368/420)88% (515/582)
Passes in the final third
57% (32/56)71% (97/137)
Crosses
28% (5/18)29% (6/21)
Tackles
63% (5/8)60% (12/20)
Clearances Total
3516
Interceptions
910

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Sahraoui O. ,
  • 19', Doukoure I. 🟨,
  • 33', Gudmundsson G. 🟨,
  • 37', Andrey Santos 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Nanasi S. , Omobamidele A. ,
  • 64', Diarra H. 🟨,
  • 65', Ouattara A. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Andrey Santos ,
  • 74', 2 - 1, Emegha E. , Diarra H. (A),
  • 76', Bakker M. 🟨,
  • 79', Ouattara A. , Sebas J. ,
  • 80', Lemarechal F. , Senaya M. ,
  • 80', Sahraoui O. , Cabella R. ,
  • 80', Bakker M. , Gomes A. ,
  • 86', Bouaddi A. , Mbappe E. ,
  • 86', Emegha E. , Mara S. ,
  • 89', Bayo M. , Malouda A. ,
  • 90+2', Moreira D. , Sylla A. ,

Chances of winning


Strasbourg
31.2%
Draw
29.5%
Lille
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 27.3% 45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 27.2% 45.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Strasbourg - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (3.5)
    3.24
    (3.49)
    2.45
    (2.09)
    4.4%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
  • What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 19 - 38%). Lille will win (votes: 6 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.1%63.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 1.
    • Strasbourg in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Lille is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Strasbourg have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Bakwa D. (Knee Injury) Bellaarouch A. (Groin Injury) Delaine T. (Back Injury) Dion M. S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sobol E. (Yellow Cards) Wiley C. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N. (Heart Problems) David J. (Yellow Cards) Fernandez-Pardo M. (Ankle Injury) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17:25 (average 1:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Strasbourg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Lille were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Lille - Strasbourg 3:3
    21.04.2024 Lille - Strasbourg 1:0
    20.12.2023 Strasbourg - Lille 2:1
    12.02.2023 Lille - Strasbourg 2:0
    14.10.2022 Strasbourg - Lille 0:3
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    15.01.2025 Thaon - Strasbourg 2:3
    12.01.2025 Toulouse - Strasbourg 1:2
    05.01.2025 Strasbourg - Auxerre 3:1
    21.12.2024 RC Calais - Strasbourg 0:3
    Latest results of Lille
    21.01.2025 Liverpool - Lille 2:1
    17.01.2025 Lille - Nice 2:1
    10.01.2025 Auxerre - Lille 0:0
    04.01.2025 Lille - Nantes 1:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Strasbourg - Lille?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
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    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
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    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
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    franceFranceDAZN 1, DAZN France
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
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    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
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