Result
1:4
25/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 19
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2 |
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (352/413) | 87% (423/484) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 2.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (352/413) | 87% (423/484) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (21/45) | 57% (23/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (93/128) | 72% (44/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.56 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.44 | 1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 25', 0 - 1, Panichelli J. ⚽, Doue G. (A),
- 26', 0 - 2, Enciso J. ⚽, Panichelli J. (A),
- 36', Doue G. 🟨,
- 36', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 55', El Mourabet S. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 3, Godo M. ⚽, Moreira D. (A),
- 61', El Mourabet S. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
- 64', Perraud R. 🟨,
- 69', Mandi A. ↓, Meunier T. ↑,
- 69', Santos T. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
- 69', Perraud R. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,
- 72', 0 - 4, Godo M. ⚽, Enciso J. (A),
- 76', Doue G. ↓, Luis R. ↑,
- 76', Moreira D. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 76', Enciso J. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
- 80', Giroud O. ↓, Correia F. ↑,
- 87', Panichelli J. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
- 87', Mbappe E. ↓, Broholm M. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 4, Fernandez-Pardo M. ⚽, Broholm M. (A),
Chances of winning
Lille
38.8% | Draw
28.2% | Strasbourg
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lille's form might have worsened.Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Strasbourg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+14.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Strasbourg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lille - Strasbourg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(1.85) |
3.39 ↓
(3.76) |
2.89 ↓
(3.98) |
4.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lille - Strasbourg?
Users Predictions:
46 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 32 - 69.6%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 10 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 56.3% – 82.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Strasbourg (1.55) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Strasbourg (2.11) (votes: 5 - 71.4%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Lille (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 29 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 19 - 65.5%). Strasbourg (votes: 8 - 27.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 1.
- Lille has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Strasbourg is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N.
(Injury)
Haraldsson H.
(Yellow Cards)
Igamane H.
(Knee Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Amougou M.
(Ankle Injury)
Lemarechal F.
(Inactive)
Oyedele M.
(Groin Injury)
Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Andre B.
(Injury)
Gomes A.
(Inactive)
Sahraoui O.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lille won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Strasbourg?
Lille has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Lille?
Strasbourg has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Strasbourg were as follows:
09.11.2025
Strasbourg
-
Lille
2:0
25.01.2025
Strasbourg
-
Lille
2:1
21.09.2024
Lille
-
Strasbourg
3:3
21.04.2024
Lille
-
Strasbourg
1:0
20.12.2023
Strasbourg
-
Lille
2:1
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
