Result
2:1
25/01/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 19
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3, Moja TV |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | DAZN 1, DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
India | GXR World |
Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Caliente TV App |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | beIN Sports |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.06 | 1.58 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
11 | 15 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots off Goal |
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2 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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5 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 10 |
Offsides |
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4 | 2 |
Fouls |
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10 | 9 |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
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11 | 19 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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16 | 35 |
Passes |
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88% (368/420) | 88% (515/582) |
Passes in the final third |
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57% (32/56) | 71% (97/137) |
Crosses |
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28% (5/18) | 29% (6/21) |
Tackles |
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63% (5/8) | 60% (12/20) |
Clearances Total |
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35 | 16 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Sahraoui O. ⚽,
- 19', Doukoure I. 🟨,
- 33', Gudmundsson G. 🟨,
- 37', Andrey Santos 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Nanasi S. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
- 64', Diarra H. 🟨,
- 65', Ouattara A. 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 1, Andrey Santos ⚽,
- 74', 2 - 1, Emegha E. ⚽, Diarra H. (A),
- 76', Bakker M. 🟨,
- 79', Ouattara A. ↓, Sebas J. ↑,
- 80', Lemarechal F. ↓, Senaya M. ↑,
- 80', Sahraoui O. ↓, Cabella R. ↑,
- 80', Bakker M. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
- 86', Bouaddi A. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
- 86', Emegha E. ↓, Mara S. ↑,
- 89', Bayo M. ↓, Malouda A. ↑,
- 90+2', Moreira D. ↓, Sylla A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg 31.2% | Draw 29.5% | Lille 39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Strasbourg - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.06 ↓ (3.5) |
3.24 ↓ (3.49) |
2.45 ↑ (2.09) |
4.4% (5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Lille?
Users Predictions:
50 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 19 - 38%). Lille will win (votes: 6 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.1% – 63.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 1.
- Strasbourg in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Lille is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recently Strasbourg have a series of guest games.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Bakwa D.
(Knee Injury)
Bellaarouch A.
(Groin Injury)
Delaine T.
(Back Injury)
Dion M. S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sobol E.
(Yellow Cards)
Wiley C.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N.
(Heart Problems)
David J.
(Yellow Cards)
Fernandez-Pardo M.
(Ankle Injury)
Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
Zhegrova E.
(Groin Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17:25 (average 1:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Strasbourg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Lille?
Strasbourg has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Strasbourg?
Lille has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Lille were as follows:
21.09.2024
Lille
-
Strasbourg
3:3
21.04.2024
Lille
-
Strasbourg
1:0
20.12.2023
Strasbourg
-
Lille
2:1
12.02.2023
Lille
-
Strasbourg
2:0
14.10.2022
Strasbourg
-
Lille
0:3
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2