Result
3:2
31/08/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 3
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Albania | SuperSport 5 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Sport |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (323/386) | 88% (462/523) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (323/386) | 88% (462/523) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (26/46) | 58% (14/24) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (59/84) | 79% (116/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (17/25) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Akliouche M. ⚽,
- 8', Doukoure I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Doukoure I. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
- 46', Ouattara A. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Balogun F. ⚽, Camara L. (A),
- 71', Amougou M. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
- 71', Moreira D. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Bakwa D. ⚽, Amo-Ameyaw S. (A),
- 76', 2 - 2, Panichelli J. (Pen),
- 78', Camara L. ↓, Bamba A. ↑,
- 79', Biereth M. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
- 79', Hradecky L. ↓, Kohn P. ↑,
- 85', Golovin A. ↓, Minamino T. ↑,
- 90+2', Lemarechal F. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
- 90+6', 3 - 2, Minamino T. ⚽, Akliouche M. (A),
- 90+9', Nzingoula R. 🟥,
- 90+11', Balogun F. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
- 90+11', Bamba A. 🟨,
- 90+11', Akliouche M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monaco
65.4% | Draw
19.5% | Strasbourg
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monaco's performance.Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monaco that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Monaco - Strasbourg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.62) |
5.03 ↑
(3.9) |
6.62 ↑
(4.8) |
2.2%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Monaco - Strasbourg?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 58.8% – 89.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 4.
- Monaco has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Strasbourg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Monaco is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Monaco: Embolo B.
(Inactive)
Fati A.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Pogba P.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Salisu M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Coulibaly S.
(Calf Injury)
Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
Sylla A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Strasbourg: Doue G.
(Injury)
Omobamidele A.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Strasbourg?
Monaco has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Monaco?
Strasbourg has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Strasbourg were as follows:
19.04.2025
Monaco
-
Strasbourg
0:0
09.11.2024
Strasbourg
-
Monaco
1:3
10.03.2024
Strasbourg
-
Monaco
0:1
20.08.2023
Monaco
-
Strasbourg
3:0
02.04.2023
Monaco
-
Strasbourg
4:3
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Lyon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Marseille | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Monaco | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Lens | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Angers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Le Havre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Nice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Nantes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Brest | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Metz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
