Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 22
- Referee: Grotta M. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (283/353) | 85% (418/491) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (283/353) | 85% (418/491) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (37/69) | 64% (32/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (62/101) | 82% (133/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | -0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Conteh A. ⚽, Vilsvik L. (A),
- 33', 1 - 1, Taaje J. (Own goal),
- 38', Vilsvik L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Utvik B. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 1, Valsvik G. ⚽, Dahl F. (A),
- 67', Berget J. ↓, Tangen H. ↑,
- 67', Wikheim G. ↓, Enersen O. ↑,
- 68', Conteh A. ↓, Ampofo J. ↑,
- 73', Opoku M. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
- 73', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Trondsen A. ↑,
- 78', Reinhardsen P. 🟨,
- 79', Vilsvik L. ↓, Sormo B. ↑,
- 86', Sorli S. ↓, Nibe A. ↑,
- 86', Wichne E. ↓, Hiim A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Strømsgodset
44.8% | Draw
24.6% | Sarpsborg 08
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strømsgodset has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Strømsgodset's performance.Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarpsborg 08 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Strømsgodset that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarpsborg 08 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Strømsgodset - Sarpsborg 08 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.82) |
3.99 ↑
(3.91) |
3.22 ↑
(2.29) |
2%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Strømsgodset - Sarpsborg 08?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Strømsgodset will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Sarpsborg will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strømsgodset: 39.2% – 89.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Strømsgodset (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strømsgodset won 4.
- Strømsgodset is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sarpsborg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Strømsgodset: Andersen E.
(Knee Injury)
Johansen E. H.
(Knock)
Lampinen-Skaug S.
(Knock)
Melkersen E.
(Knee Injury)
Vilaseca Ardraa F. P.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Strømsgodset: Mehnert M.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Jeahze M.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Strømsgodset won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 37:31. (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Strømsgodset won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Strømsgodset won against Sarpsborg 08?
Strømsgodset has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Strømsgodset?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strømsgodset - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
27.04.2025
Sarpsborg 08
-
Strømsgodset
2:3
12.10.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Strømsgodset
1:0
21.09.2024
Strømsgodset
-
Sarpsborg 08
2:1
26.05.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Strømsgodset
1:3
12.08.2023
Sarpsborg 08
-
Strømsgodset
1:2
Latest results of Strømsgodset
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 59:20 | 39 | 49 |
| 2 | Viking | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 52:29 | 23 | 49 |
| 3 | Brann | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 41:30 | 11 | 43 |
| 4 | Tromso | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 35:27 | 8 | 42 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28:24 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Valerenga | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 37:36 | 1 | 31 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 29 |
| 9 | Sandefjord | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37:33 | 4 | 28 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 28 |
| 11 | Molde | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 29:29 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Kristiansund | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 26:42 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Bryne | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:38 | -12 | 21 |
| 14 | HamKam | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23:37 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 30:47 | -17 | 19 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12:56 | -44 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
