Result
2:3
27/04/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 4
- Referee: Hansen T. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (368/450) | 81% (351/434) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (368/450) | 81% (351/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/57) | 44% (32/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (124/176) | 69% (69/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.91 | 2.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.09 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Farji M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 51', 0 - 2, Dahl F. ⚽,
- 64', Carstensen F. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
- 64', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Reinhardsen P. ↑,
- 64', Tangen H. ↓, Haheim-Elveseter M. ↑,
- 69', Tomasson L. ↓, Moller N. ↑,
- 79', Farji M. ↓, Westerlund S. ↑,
- 83', Wichne E. ↓, Sandberg N. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 3, Sher A. (Own goal),
- 88', 1 - 3, Karlsbakk D. ⚽,
- 90', 2 - 3, Gudjohnsen S. ⚽, Sandberg N. (A),
- 90+2', Mehnert M. ↓, Marcello Silalahi S. A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sarpsborg 08
53.5% | Draw
24% | Strømsgodset
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Strømsgodset has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Strømsgodset might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarpsborg 08 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Strømsgodset could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sarpsborg 08 - Strømsgodset Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.96) |
3.95 ↓
(4.09) |
4.23 ↑
(3.34) |
5.1%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 - Strømsgodset?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sarpsborg (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Sarpsborg 08 will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg won 1.
- Sarpsborg in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Strømsgodset is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recently Sarpsborg have a series of guest games.
- Sarpsborg will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sarpsborg: Hiim A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Strømsgodset: Andersen E.
(Knee Injury)
Enersen O.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Jeahze M.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Strømsgodset: Vilsvik L.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Sarpsborg to win the game is with odds 1.94.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 30:35 (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sarpsborg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Strømsgodset?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Strømsgodset won against Sarpsborg 08?
Strømsgodset has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarpsborg 08 - Strømsgodset were as follows:
12.10.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Strømsgodset
1:0
21.09.2024
Strømsgodset
-
Sarpsborg 08
2:1
26.05.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Strømsgodset
1:3
12.08.2023
Sarpsborg 08
-
Strømsgodset
1:2
09.07.2023
Strømsgodset
-
Sarpsborg 08
5:2
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Latest results of Strømsgodset
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 51:18 | 33 | 45 |
| 2 | Viking | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 49:27 | 22 | 45 |
| 3 | Brann | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 35:28 | 7 | 37 |
| 4 | Tromso | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 36 |
| 5 | Valerenga | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 30 |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 30 |
| 7 | Sandefjord | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 36:28 | 8 | 28 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 31:24 | 7 | 27 |
| 9 | Fredrikstad | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 27 |
| 10 | Molde | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 27 |
| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 31:30 | 1 | 25 |
| 12 | Kristiansund | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
| 13 | HamKam | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22:34 | -12 | 21 |
| 14 | Bryne | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 20 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 26:45 | -19 | 13 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12:51 | -39 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
